Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Parx Racing
Wednesday - February 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRX-1   02/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRAME THIS Feb01         (linder )GONZALEZ LUIS 121 4.50 8% 11.00    
CALL THE PO PO Feb01 Jan19       (perez ruperto)OCASIO M 124 3.00 17% 5.00    
RELENTLESS RUBY Feb08 Jan10       (linder louis )SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.50 41% 1.40    
SEAMIALAUGH Feb01         (moore michael )RIVERA EDWIN 121 4.00 12% 7.40    
FLAT OUT PHOEBE         (tzortzakis e)CASTILLO A 121 6.00    
BOHEMIA BABE Jan31         (mercedes ped)HERNANDEZ ANDY 114 12.00    
RISQUE'S JEWEL         (dandy ronal)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 114 6.00    
 
PRX-2   02/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT-12:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNOCKDOWN KID Jan19         (crook-demasi kat)JUAREZ NIK 121 10.00    
BORRACHO CONCHO Jan19         (pearce penny)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 3.50 26% 2.80    
MUTTLEY Jan19         (servis c)PENNINGTON F 121 4.00    
TALENTED MAN Jan19         (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 114 10.00    
SCR  JEAN VALJEAN         (hendriks mclan)CEDENO CAROL 121 8.00    
DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN Jan12         (coletti edward)RIVERA EDWIN 121 4.50 9% 10.70    
DON GIUSEPPE Jan19         (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 121 3.00 21% 3.70    
ICY COLD Jan18         (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 121 5.00 22% 3.50    
LUCKY RUNNING CAT         (crook-demasi )SILVERA RUBEN 121 8.00    
 
PRX-3   02/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JUMP SHOT Jan25 Jan10       (lee hale)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 2.00 20% 4.10    
TWIXY CAT Jan18         (montoya marya)ADORNO ABNER 121 5.00    
TOOK A CAB Jan12         (rodriguez joh)RIVERA D 121 6.00    
CATCH FIRE Feb01 Jan12 Jan05     (bouchard les)HERNANDEZ ANDY 114 8.00    
CIGAR BOX Feb01         (taylor joseph)CRUZ JOEL 121 15.00 6% 14.50    
IRISH COLONEL Jan26 Jan17 Jan05     (betancourt )SALGADO ANTHONY 124 1.60 33% 2.00    
GREEN MANSIONS Jan26 Jan03       (rodriguez migue)BEATO INOEL 121 6.00 17% 4.80    
 
PRX-4   02/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($26K) 3 F PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARUMA         (padilla-prec)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 8.00    
LUNA FORTUNA Feb01         (padilla-p)VARGAS A 121 8.00    
PEARLBDANCING Jan12         (pattershall m)OCASIO M 121 8.00    
SCR  CICI UNIFIED         (soto c)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 8.00    
ONE PAIR OF HANDS Feb02         (aristone phil)RIVERA D 121 3.50 24% 3.20    
PINK VODKA         (allen randy)RIVERA EDWIN 121 4.00 9% 10.00    
CATHERINES CONNECT         (klesaris st)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
WITHOUT A VIEW Feb01 Jan02       (linder j)PENNINGTON F 121 4.50 40% 1.50    
TOURING MARYANNE         (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 8.00    
10  DIVINE TWIST         (reid j)HERNANDEZ ANDY 114 8.00    
11  CALIENTE RUM         (hogan william )ADORNO ABNER 121 12.00    
12  LAVENDEL         (rodriguez j)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 12.00    
 
PRX-5   02/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($42K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOONCHILD Feb01         (pearce penny)ADORNO ABNER 124 4.50 17% 4.80    
NYSSA Feb01         (rodriguez joh)RIVERA D 124 12.00    
USING COCONUTS Feb01         (servis c)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.80 19% 4.40    
SUPER DUPER FLY Feb01         (curry dee)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 8.00    
XENATOWN Feb01         (velazquez a)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 117 4.00 23% 3.40    
CLOSET SHOPPER Jan15         (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
EMMA'S TOUCH Feb01         (farro patric)HERNANDEZ ANDY 117 15.00    
STANDUP OR SHUT UP         (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 5.00    
 
PRX-6   02/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3 F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN EIB MICRPHN Jan25         (simoff andr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 8.00    
WHAT'S COOKIN Jan25         (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 118 8.00    
PRINCESS KAIRA Jan25         (penaloza mig)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 8.00 27% 2.70    
KISSIN COUSIN         (lake scott )NUNEZ Y 118 5.00    
SCR  PLATINUM ICE Jan25         (coletti ed)GILARDO COURTNEY 111 8.00    
ADVOCATE HARBOR Jan25         (reid rob)GOMEZ ANTONIO 111 3.50    
HALLIGIRL Jan05         (pino v)ADORNO ABNER 118 6.00    
STARSHIP LAOBAN Jan25 Jan05       (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 118 2.00 44% 1.30    
 
PRX-7   02/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIFTY CENTS Jan22 Jan08       (martine)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 4.00 7% 12.90    
CHOCLATE BODIE Jan25 Jan03       (catalano l)OCASIO M 121 5.00    
I'M BLAMING YOU Jan09         (falcone )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 2.00    
SIT DOWN GRANDPA Feb02 Jan04       (padilla-pre)OCASIO JONATHAN 121 15.00    
HALSTAAT Feb02 Jan10       (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 6.00    
VOY A TI Jan26         (wilhelm jen)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 114 15.00    
THE METHOD Feb07 Jan26 Jan07     (sanchez-piner)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 15.00 5% 17.90    
HACHACHA Feb07 Jan17 Jan04     (hamilton stephe)BOWMAN ADAM 121 15.00    
HEATED BATTLE Jan17 Jan04       (aro c)SILVERA RUBEN 121 15.00    
10  KIKKERLAND Feb02         (englehart je)HERNANDEZ ANDY 114 3.00 62% 0.60    
 
PRX-8   02/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BRILLIANT CHASE Jan26         (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 4.50    
MIDLANER Jan17         (arce jos)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 6.00    
JOHNNY RITT Feb01         (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 114 8.00    
PATEGORY ONE Jan26         (guerrero c)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 5.00 42% 1.40    
DIVINE MIRACLE Jan18         (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
EXCURSION Feb07 Jan18       (lake a)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 5.00    
ALFATEI Jan26         (pino v)CASTILLO A 121 4.00 5% 17.60    
FAST BOB Jan19         (velazquez dani)ADORNO ABNER 121 3.50 7% 13.30    
IRISH HONOR Jan17         (taylor joseph)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00    
 
PRX-9   02/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THATTA BOY GIRL Jan03         (guerrero ca)RIVERA D 121 15.00 6% 15.90    
KNOCK OUT KID Jan31 Jan12       (brown r)CASTILLO A 121 3.00 6% 15.30    
SPECIAL RISK Feb08 Jan19 Jan04     (wilhelm jen)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
JUST SMOK'N Jan12         (abrams ronald)RIVERA EDWIN 121 12.00    
WOMAN FLYER Jan31 Jan12       (crowell l)BOWMAN ADAM 121 20.00    
ATLANTIC AVENUE Jan12         (bullock jorda)OCASIO M 121 5.00    
SCR  TRUE UPGRADE Jan31 Jan12       (taylor bryant)MILAN GERARDO 121 20.00    
MAD MARY Jan31 Jan12       (arce josue)CRUZ JOEL 121 12.00    
TERPEYE Jan31         (moore mi)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 3.50 29% 2.50    
10  MIDNIGHT MIRACLE Jan12         (krebs stev)GILARDO COURTNEY 114 4.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  ROCHELA Jan31 Jan12       (wilhelm jenni)TORRES WESLEY 121 20.00    
12  CHECOTAH Feb09 Jan12       (lake a)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 4.00    
 
PRX-10   02/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIOLENT TURBULENCE         (crook-demasi )SILVERA RUBEN 121 4.00    
WENDELL FONG         (summers chad)PENNINGTON F 121 3.00 35% 1.90    
PRESS MY BETS Feb01         (lake a)RIVERA EDWIN 121 12.00    
DONTMESAWITHME Feb01         (stites w)ADORNO ABNER 124 5.00    
FORTHELUVOFBOURBON Feb01         (pino v)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.00 36% 1.80    
NEW COMMISSION Feb01         (pollara fran)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 6.00    
NEWSTOME Jan19         (trombetta)VARGAS A 121 10.00    
 
PRX-11   02/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIGGERS DIAMOND Feb01 Jan04       (farro patric)HERNANDEZ ANDY 114 4.00    
SACRAMENTO Q Jan25         (lake a)RIVERA EDWIN 121 6.00    
GRIT'N'GRIND         (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.00 10% 9.40    
SOCIAL GROUP Jan25 Jan10       (vazquez)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
SPRING EMPEROR Feb09 Jan04       (pollara frank)RIVERA D 124 10.00 8% 12.00    
BLUGRASCAT'S SMILE Feb01 Jan17       (lake a)PENNINGTON F 121 10.00    
THE ROBERT Feb01         (iannotti)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 5.00 47% 1.10    
LUCKY HERO Jan10         (flores-coba )LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 12.00    
ALEJANDRO'S TEAM Feb09 Jan10       (pollara frank)MILAN GERARDO 121 8.00    
10  MR THRIFTY         (montoya marya)ADORNO ABNER 121 6.00 10% 9.50    
11  AHSAD Feb07 Jan17       (penaloza mig)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.