Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sam Houston Park
Wednesday - February 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HOU-1   02/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 45 M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHITE DIAMOND SKY         (echeverria hecto)MONTALVO C 123 8.00    
1A  SWEET BABY SHAE         (echeverria hecto)MONTALVO C 123 8.00    
EURORICHGIRL Jan29 Jan14       (castellanos )PIVARAL GERBER 123 4.00 9% 9.90    
PEEK FACTOR Jan14         (peek kevin)ERAMIA E 123 2.00 19% 4.30    
BLUEGRASS DIXIE Jan14         (harrison rebec)MORA GERARDO 123 30.00 6% 16.70    
IMABADGER         (k)DE CRUZ 123 3.00 27% 2.70    
AMERICAN ENIGMA Jan14         (chacalta)CHACALTANA DOMINGO 123 2.50 18% 4.60    
 
HOU-2   02/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($21K) 3 ALL PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUE DIAMOND         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.50    
MANOR BORN         (offolter jo)HAMILTON WESTON 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SARGENT KLINE         (lucarelli frank)SORENSON D 122 6.00    
MOOGIE SON Jan28         (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 122 3.00 18% 4.60    
BOLD N WILD Jan28         (eoff terry)ERAMIA E 122 1.40 39% 1.60    
SOLDIER'S FIGHT         (willis mi)TRIANA JR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
BOLD EXCAPER         (johnston johnn)MORA GERARDO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
HOU-3   02/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OFF TRACK Feb04 Jan20       (offolter j)ERAMIA E 123 3.00 16% 5.40    
DANCE KINGDOM Feb04         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.50 16% 5.10    
JUST ASK JOEL Feb04 Jan27       (roberts j)STEINBERG GARRETT 123 6.00    
RANCHO BARGO         (williams steve)HUGHES CARLY 118 20.00    
CROCODILE JACQUES Jan29         (zenon alv)TRIANA JR 123 50.00 5% 19.00    
ELITCH Jan28 Jan14       (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 123 2.50 35% 1.90    
CLIFTON PARK Feb04         (williams f)MONTALVO C 123 8.00    
ZENUCCI Jan27 Jan14       (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 4.00 6% 15.30    
 
HOU-4   02/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLOWER HOUSE Jan22         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.80 35% 1.80    
WILD PROSPECT Jan13         (davidson sa)WETHEY JR 123 4.50    
HEIGHTEN Jan22         (williams st)HAMILTON WESTON 123 20.00    
MOM'S PASS Jan28 Jan06       (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 3.50    
BLURRED VISION Jan07         (johnston johnny)DIEGO V 123 12.00 14% 6.30    
MALIBU MIDNIGHT Jan13         (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 123 20.00 10% 9.40    
GRAYGIRLGO Jan29 Jan07       (barton aman)MELANCON JANSEN 123 2.50 16% 5.40    
 
HOU-5   02/16/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNITED PATRIOT         (biehler mic)HAMILTON WESTON 119 3.00    
PAPA RIZZO Feb05 Jan21       (roberts j)STEINBERG GARRETT 119 15.00    
EZMOSH         (jacks kare)ERAMIA E 119 12.00    
ARMCHAIR JOCKEY Feb05 Jan20       (pish danny)SORENSON D 119 8.00    
HE'S A SUITOR         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 3.50 14% 6.30    
SEDUCTIVE U S A         (g)DE CRUZ 119 4.50 59% 0.70    
HARD ATTACK Jan21         (duhon paul)ALVAREZ L 119 2.50 5% 19.00    
I'M AN EIGHT         (moreno carlos)DIEGO V 119 30.00    
BIG MONEY MACHINE Feb09         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  INCA WARRIOR Jan26         (broberg karl)LUZZI J 119 30.00    
11  PASAMONTE MAN Jan22 Jan08       (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 8.00    
SCR  REDSKIESATNIGHT         (young scott)WETHEY JR 119 15.00    
 
HOU-6   02/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($38K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ST. LOUIE GUY Jan21         (barton aman)MELANCON JANSEN 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
BANDIT SWANSON Jan15         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 6.00    
HONORING MAJOR Jan22         (delany )GONCALVES R 121 3.00 43% 1.30    
HEAVENLY RHYTHM         (hurley re)LANDEROS C 114 30.00    
IMPLICATOR Jan27 Jan16       (baldillez alejand)DIEGO V 123 15.00    
VANGILDER Jan21         (diodoro ro)ERAMIA E 119 2.50 26% 2.80    
AKTULGALI         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 3.50    
SCR  HUNKA BURNING LOVE         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 6.00 5% 18.60    
LEMON KICK Jan21         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 12.00    
 
HOU-7   02/16/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SEEING DOUBLE Jan13         (david)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 3.00    
DIPPING IN Jan13         (ashford h )ERAMIA E 123 6.00    
DADDYMADEMEDOIT Jan13         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 0.60 54% 0.90    
SCR  A GIRL LIKE ME Jan13         (hall john)TRIANA JR 123 1.60    
GASTOWN Jan13         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.50 10% 9.00    
SCR  GREAT IN RED         (g)DE CRUZ 123 15.00    
ENDLESS ROMANCE Jan28         (craddoc)GONCALVES R 123 12.00    
TREATY OF PARIS         (asmussen m)DIEGO V 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
TOO MUCH IRISH Jan13         (pish danny)LUZZI J 123 8.00    
SCR  KIZZY B Feb03 Jan13       (stidham micha)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
11  FETCHING         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 2.50    
12  THORNY ROSE Jan28         (villafranco)WETHEY JR 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
HOU-8   02/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARKETBOOK Jan07         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.40    
1A  SELLING SHORT Jan27         (biehler e)ELLIOTT S 123 1.40 33% 2.00    
KOBE BEAN         (davidson )TRIANA JR 123 20.00    
LUCKY BREAK         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 6.00    
TEMPLE OF LIGHT Jan28         (pish da)GONCALVES R 123 3.50 33% 2.10    
COACH DAN Jan14         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 8.00    
FINDING SILVER Feb04 Jan22 Jan06     (villafranco)WETHEY JR 123 4.00    
THREE TIME CHARMER Jan06         (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 123 10.00 10% 9.10    
 
HOU-9   02/16/2022 3300ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3 ALL PT- 8:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MESABI Jan13         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 1.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  TATANKA Jan13         (calhoun wi)ERAMIA E 122 3.00    
SNAPPEREE Jan15         (broberg karl)LUZZI J 117 6.00    
DARE TO FAIL         (gustafson aus)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 12.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT MONEY         (willis mi)TRIANA JR 122 20.00    
HEZA FREAK Jan28         (villafranco)WETHEY JR 122 20.00    
SMART BATTLE Jan28 Jan08       (duhon paul)DIEGO V 122 30.00    
SCR  UNION DATA         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 30.00    
GOLDEN ALE         (lucarelli f)MELANCON JANSEN 122 30.00 5% 17.50    
10  BRICK TOWN         (ashford)GONCALVES R 122 10.00    
11  UPTOWNEAGLESLANDED Jan30 Jan07       (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 122 15.00    
12  KNIGHTED         (padilla car)HAMILTON WESTON 122 30.00 23% 3.30    
13  TIME TO MEDDLE Jan13         (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 122 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.