Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Wednesday - February 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   02/16/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSTON BELLE Jan20         (segura kearney)STOKES J 113 15.00    
D'ORO MOON Jan05         (birzer bonnie)PUSAC ALBERTO 116 3.00 5% 19.00    
BOURN Jan19 Jan08       (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 116 2.50 39% 1.60    
VALERIE LOUISE         (zeno benjam)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 10.00    
I SEE BLING Jan28         (giangrosso russ)MCMAHON J 123 8.00    
MY LITTLE GUERA Jan20 Jan08       (zeno benjamin)STOKES A 123 15.00    
SAY WHAT Jan20         (ward ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 113 4.50 34% 2.00    
IMMACULATE GLORY         (richard chris)MELANCON G 116 3.50    
 
DED-2   02/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR ROGUE Feb04 Jan14       (roberts roy)BACA L 115 8.00 15% 5.80    
LIAM SKYE Jan26 Jan07       (gallaway eddie)BARNES JOSE 115 6.00    
HUMPHREY Feb04         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 4.00 28% 2.50    
KING NATE Jan29 Jan15       (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 1.80    
WAR TRIBUTE Jan23         (roberts kenneth)MCMAHON J 115 3.00 25% 3.00    
SUCH Feb04 Jan14       (vance terry )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 5.00    
 
DED-3   02/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3 ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AS THUNDER HEART Jan14         (mojica a)THORNTON G 121 3.00 10% 8.50    
BIG ACE Jan21         (klanfe)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 2.00 48% 1.10    
KING OF CONTRABAND Feb05 Jan21       (ward ronnie)STOKES J 121 5.00    
PAPIRINGO         (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 10.00 6% 14.40    
R T'S IRON MAN         (sam w)STOKES A 121 10.00 6% 14.40    
PLAY MO         (delhomme je)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 8.00 6% 14.40    
ORPHAN CREEK Feb05 Jan14       (breaux samuel)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 4.00    
 
DED-4   02/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORESTDUNGONE Feb05 Jan07       (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 1.80    
TEMPRANO Jan22 Jan07       (johnson b)POMPELL L 118 5.00 12% 7.30    
NATEALYZE Feb04         (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 10.00    
BET AGAIN Jan20         (toups brent)BARNES JOSE 118 6.00    
STRONG RULES         (white dale)FUSILIER C 120 3.50 35% 1.90    
MASTERLY (ARG) Jan20 Jan05       (hebert dori)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 8.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  ADIOS YANKEE Feb03         (gallaway eddie)KENNEDY TY 118 15.00    
VELVET RIDGE Jan02         (delany sarah)STOKES J 118 8.00    
 
DED-5   02/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WISE ANCHOR Jan15         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 115 1.60 27% 2.70    
BODE'S LIGHT         (segura kearney)MCMAHON J 118 10.00    
UNCLE FRANK         (sturrock b)BROUSSARD ASHLEY 118 10.00 11% 7.70    
EGEAUXTISM         (landry ray)STOKES J 115 6.00    
EASY TO MISS         (rubin donald)MELANCON G 115 4.00 16% 5.30    
HAIL SOUTHERN Jan27 Jan08       (ramire)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 118 8.00    
ELUSIVE D'ORO Jan29         (delahoussaye)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.50 18% 4.60    
 
DED-6   02/16/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
D'WILD BARONESS Jan08         (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 5.00 15% 5.70    
BIND ON EARTH Feb05 Jan27 Jan19     (white dale)STOKES J 118 2.00    
MISS UNDERRATED Jan29         (larrosa juan )PUSAC ALBERTO 118 8.00    
TWN MS MIDSHIP Jan22 Jan01       (nixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 118 10.00    
GOODNIGHT GRACIE Jan27 Jan08       (magnon jason)MAGNON H 118 3.00 10% 8.70    
PUZZLING PRIORITY Jan28         (thomas lee)BROUSSARD ASHLEY 118 4.50 48% 1.10    
KASEN'S SISTER Jan27 Jan06       (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 8.00    
 
DED-7   02/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 5:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS TONALIST Jan21         (tracy greg)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 2.50 23% 3.40    
AMERICAN REALITY Feb02 Jan21 Jan05     (hibdon n)BURNINGHAM J 121 6.00    
L G GIRL Feb02         (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 8.00    
HEY SISSY Feb02         (dixon tim)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 8.00    
MARK WITH AN E Feb03         (ramire)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 121 4.50 28% 2.60    
MO CLASSY         (nixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 118 12.00 7% 13.40    
CUPIE CUTIE Jan29         (gelner scott)MCMAHON J 118 3.50 20% 4.00    
MISS CARUSO Jan30 Jan02       (harrison cortlan)KENNEDY TY 118 8.00    
 
DED-8   02/16/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOURSWEETNIECES Jan27         (white dale)STOKES J 120 3.50    
MISS MESS Jan14         (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 4.50 10% 8.50    
FIRSTSLATE Jan14         (melancon do)FLORES S 118 4.00 19% 4.20    
AIKEN TO BE Jan14         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 2.50 31% 2.20    
SARAHS HOME Jan26 Jan08       (dixon ti)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 8.00 16% 5.30    
COUNTRY DREAM Jan29 Jan06       (reeves jeffery )MCMAHON J 118 8.00    
SCR  SAINT KENNEDY Jan14         (antwine mic)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 8.00    
 
DED-9   02/16/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON TILT Jan22         (turner patt)FLORES S 118 12.00    
MY FORTUNATE SON Feb03 Jan22       (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 4.00 59% 0.70    
TRAELEE Jan27 Jan05       (harrison cortland)STOKES J 118 15.00    
SOUTH AL SPARKY         (larrosa jua)RAMIREZ PAULINA 115 15.00    
MONZZA Jan27 Jan05       (chatte)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 4.50 12% 7.70    
SCR  DA'MONEY ALARM Jan19         (breaux samuel)KENNEDY TY 120 6.00    
LOUISIANA THUNDER Jan29 Jan20       (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 110 8.00    
VOYANT Feb03 Jan07       (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 123 6.00    
SING LOUD Jan22 Jan05       (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 2.50 7% 12.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.