Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sunland Park
Tuesday - February 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SUN-1   02/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALEXANDER WHO Jan30 Jan25 Jan08     (quiroz filib)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 6.00    
DAN WHO Jan25         (gonz)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 3.50 8% 11.90    
ROAD TO HEAT Jan25 Jan01       (payan ruben)JUAREZ J 124 2.00 25% 2.90    
FARMER FRED R F Jan23         (barrios bern)SALAZAR TERESA 119 6.00 9% 10.10    
POSTMANFOURTYEIGHT Jan18         (cross gar)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 4.50 25% 2.90    
MORE FIREWATER Jan30 Jan08       (rust terri)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.50    
 
SUN-2   02/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($10.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYERN TO BE WILD Feb01 Jan02       (aldavaz jaim)SIGALA ALFREDO 123 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  AISLE RUNNER Feb08 Jan29 Jan15 Jan09   (quiroz filib)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 10.00    
MORO APPEAL Jan21 Jan02       (valdez-cabral m)NEGRON LUIS 123 5.00 12% 7.00    
SAMURAI JACK Feb01 Jan21 Jan02     (rojero c)REYES FRANK 123 8.00    
SHANGHAI MIKE Jan21 Jan02       (rojero c)PEREZ A 123 4.00    
LEATHERNECK Jan25 Jan15       (gonzalez jos)FUENTES A 123 3.00 21% 3.70    
PHOENIX FIRE Feb05 Jan25       (quiroz filibe)JUAREZ J 123 3.50 17% 4.90    
 
SUN-3   02/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.5K) Purse ($11.6K) 3 F PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAMIE'S WARRIOR Jan25 Jan15       (lambert t)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.00 18% 4.50    
RUN LIKE THE WIND Jan11         (danley i)JUAREZ J 121 4.00 25% 3.00    
DUKE CITY KITTY         (gree)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 4.50 19% 4.40    
EXPRESS WARRIOR Jan25         (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 5.00 9% 9.80    
I GET STORMED Jan25 Jan08       (gonzalez fra)SALAZAR TERESA 116 7.00    
LOADED GUN Jan25         (gonzalez r)REYES FRANK 121 8.00    
DYNAMIC WOMAN Jan08         (aldavaz herm)BEVERLY JR 121 10.00    
MAMACITA CARTIER         (garcia j)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 6.00 9% 10.70    
 
SUN-4   02/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANYON DEL ORO Jan21         (summer)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 6.00    
ALL CHROME Jan18         (baldwin lyne)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 3.50    
QUANTUM BULL Jan18         (morales dan)CHIRINOS ROIMES 124 4.50    
DIABOLICAL MIGHT Jan29 Jan09       (cappellucci )FUENTES A 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
SECRET'S DOUBLE Jan18         (clemmer phill)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.00 29% 2.50    
WATFORD Jan18         (gutierrez j)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00 13% 6.60    
 
SUN-5   02/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIME IS PRECIOUS Jan23 Jan08       (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 8.00    
RED CLOUD EXPRESS         (hone bart)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
TRICKESSY Jan23         (summ)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 5.00 16% 5.40    
MINNIE ME HA Jan23         (lambert t)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
COUNTRY CLUB CUTIE Jan22 Jan08       (barton dalla)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 3.50    
ABBIE'S WAY Feb06         (cappellucci )FUENTES A 124 3.50    
SCR  HUNKA BULL Jan23         (danley fred )SIGALA ALFREDO 124 10.00    
 
SUN-6   02/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S OVER DUDE Jan30 Jan25       (lambert t)NEGRON LUIS 123 8.00    
SMOOTH BLUES Jan25 Jan01       (rojero c)REYES FRANK 123 5.00    
PUB Jan30 Jan25       (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 123 4.00    
SCR  SNOW IN THE NORTH Jan30         (henry )RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 10.00    
DIGGER'S GOLD Jan30 Jan11       (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 3.00    
GATLING GOLD Jan30 Jan08       (gonzalez a)CARRENO J 123 3.50    
COLOR ME GONE Feb06 Jan18 Jan04     (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 123 3.50 65% 0.50    
 
SUN-7   02/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRISH CREAM N KAFE Jan28 Jan08       (salazar mich)SALAZAR TERESA 119 8.00    
INDIAN DIVA Jan22         (lambert clif)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 10.00 10% 9.50    
TIZ MY HOUR Jan30 Jan07       (van rober)CARRENO J 124 6.00    
BETTY C         (meza franci)CHIRINOS ROIMES 124 15.00    
QUICK TO FUSS Feb05         (gonzalez jos)FUENTES A 124 3.00    
MISS MELODY Jan09         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
MICHELLE WHO Jan30 Jan11       (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
 
SUN-8   02/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL QUEEN Feb01         (valdes aureli)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
DIXIE JEN Feb01 Jan11       (chavez arturo)CARRENO J 124 3.00 23% 3.40    
MIDNIGHT SPECIAL T Feb01 Jan18       (cross gary)CHIRINOS ROIMES 124 8.00    
PLATINUM GREEK Feb01 Jan18 Jan02     (lambert clif)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 4.00    
STORM N GOLD Jan15         (marr h)FUENTES A 124 4.50 16% 5.40    
MISS EASYGO Jan30 Jan18 Jan02     (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 5.00 33% 2.00    
SPEED SEAL Feb01 Jan18       (rojero c)REYES FRANK 124 6.00    
UNBRIDLED DIVA Jan18         (riddle e)NEGRON LUIS 124 7.00    
 
SUN-9   02/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($10.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COWBOY TOBY Feb04 Jan21 Jan02     (lambert t)NEGRON LUIS 123 7.00 13% 6.90    
NICE WORK Jan21         (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 6.00    
KRIS' WILD KAT Jan18         (fincher todd)SIGALA ALFREDO 123 4.00 9% 10.20    
TAINO HOUSE         (armstrong she)JUAREZ J 123 4.50    
DISCREET TIGER Jan15         (richards rodn)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 5.00    
AWESOME K P         (rust)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 8.00    
SIDNEY'S HOPE Feb04         (rojero c)REYES FRANK 123 3.00 54% 0.80    
A CEE DOO CEE Jan11         (aldavaz )BENN J 123 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.