Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Tuesday - February 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   02/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOYS OF QUEENS Jan28 Jan07       (ippolito mark)BAKER J 120 20.00    
2  BREEZE BURNER Jan28         (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 124 3.50 ★    
3  CRUSH IT Jan28         (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 2.00 51% 1.00    
4  WAHOOWA WAHOOWA Jan12         (lingenfelter )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 ★    
5  RON DON SCORESE Jan28         (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 ★    
6  CHARGING LION Jan27 Jan13       (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
 
PEN-2   02/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOLAR WARMING Jan19         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.60 59% 0.70    
2  SPIN CYCLE Jan19 Jan07       (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 1.80 15% 5.50    
3  THUNDER GRUNDER Jan26 Jan07       (kravets m)OTERO P 124 4.00 ★    
4  FLEET IRISH Jan19         (hillegass alexandr)FLORES E 124 12.00 ★    
5  AMERICAN FLEET Feb01         (santaella-caldero)CRUZ JOEL 124 3.50 ★    
 
PEN-3   02/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUMBERLAND GAP Jan12         (shea timoth)INIRIO J 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
2  DIDNT DO IT Feb07 Jan18       (klesaris st)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 5.00    
3  STONE SCULPTOR Jan25 Jan12       (bobadilla j )BERRIOS C 124 50.00    
4  PEPE TONO         (oliva robert)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.50 5% 17.20    
5  LETORT Jan12         (stites w)AGUILAR M 124 12.00    
6  PECOS BILL         (bartoni )DAVIS A 124 15.00    
7  COLOUR GUARD Feb02 Jan17       (guerrero me)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 117 2.50 65% 0.50    
8  PETTINBERG Jan12         (moreno-barba)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 6.00 ★    
9  NAUTICAL NATURE Jan28         (o'hearn heather)BEATO INOEL 124 30.00    
10  EXECUTIVE DECREE Jan28 Jan12       (hillegass alexandr)FLORES E 124 10.00 ★    
SCR  KEEPING THE PEACE Feb13 Jan29 Jan16     (leaf j)SILVERA RUBEN 124 10.00    
 
PEN-4   02/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3 ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONTSHAKETHEROCKET Feb01         (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 8.00    
2  UNCLE YUDI         (kravets m)OTERO P 122 6.00 6% 14.60    
3  BUMBLE MONSTER         (iorio sa)DAVIS A 122 10.00 6% 16.30    
4  FED CHAIR Feb01         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.40 48% 1.10    
5  THINKIN OUT LOUD Feb01 Jan12       (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.60 ★    
6  WISH FOR PEACE Feb01         (stites w)AGUILAR M 122 10.00 8% 12.10    
 
PEN-5   02/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUL FIGHT Jan19         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 30% 2.40    
2  FIND YOUR BOAZ Feb06         (demario a)FLORES E 120 8.00    
3  GOOGLE IT Jan19         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 4.00 33% 2.10    
4  ITSKNOWNASTHEBERN Feb06         (meister w)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 ★    
5  ALL TACKED UP Jan26 Jan07       (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 1.80 ★    
6  A T M AWESOME Feb01 Jan14       (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 ★    
 
PEN-6   02/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SURFER BOY GEORGE Jan11         (harigeorgiou konstan)CORA D 120 20.00    
2  ODIE Jan25         (patterson )ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 2.00 10% 8.60    
3  PAPA TONY Jan25 Jan11       (dimitriou harry)WHITNEY G 120 10.00 8% 12.00    
4  BLUEGRASS POSSE Feb01         (sinnefia paulina)OTERO P 120 8.00 ★    
5  DON'T LOSEMYMONEY Jan25 Jan04       (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 22% 3.60    
6  WHERE U B Jan14         (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
7  MEMORY BOUQUET Jan25 Jan11       (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 3.00 35% 1.90    
 
PEN-7   02/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LADY BREXIT Jan25 Jan08       (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 124 2.00 ★    
2  ATTENTIVELY Jan04         (stites w)AGUILAR M 122 8.00 ★    
3  TUXEDO LEMON Jan19 Jan04       (sells rachel)FLORES E 122 4.50 64% 0.60    
4  ROYALBONNIELEGACY Jan19 Jan12       (sells rac)VARGAS L 122 4.00 ★    
SCR  NOT IN THE MOOD Jan12         (pattershall m)REQUENA PEDRO 122 6.00 ★    
6  I'M THIRSTY Jan25 Jan03       (pattershall)OCASIO JONATHAN 122 3.50    
7  TEACHER DRAMA Feb08 Jan14       (salinas jose)OTERO P 122 15.00    
 
PEN-8   02/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY MAN GEORGIO Jan28 Jan07       (carpio erin)CORA D 124 5.00 ★    
2  ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT         (stites w)AGUILAR M 124 6.00 17% 4.90    
3  KINDA CLASS'Y Jan14         (albright amy)FLORES E 124 12.00    
4  GREY QUEST Jan28 Jan14       (sinnefia paulina)OTERO P 124 1.60 36% 1.80    
5  ARTIE CHILLER         (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 ★    
6  ALPHA'S CANDY MAN Feb01 Jan12       (chacon gustavo)CHIAPPE R 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
 
PEN-9   02/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEAVE 'EM LOADED Jan04         (kravets m)OTERO P 122 8.00 ★    
2  BERMONDSEY Jan25 Jan07       (nunley randy)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00    
3  JOCULARITY Feb02         (mileni nick)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00    
4  MIDDLE EARTH Feb02 Jan04       (fields kevin)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.50 10% 8.70    
5  MIDTOWN Jan25 Jan07       (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 6.00 ★    
6  AMERICAN FORCES Jan25         (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 54% 0.90    
7  CRAFTY JACK Feb02         (albright amy)FLORES E 122 3.00 8% 11.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.