Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - February 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   02/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($16K) 3 F PT-12:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN'S BEST Jan21 Jan12       (be)SCALDAFERRI ROSANA 120 3.50 20% 4.10    
FOXY AUSTIN Jan21         (acker scott)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 15.00    
CARLA'S HONOR Feb02 Jan21       (hall philip)HERNANDEZ K 120 2.50 18% 4.50    
NIGHTMIDST Jan21 Jan02       (vinson g)BISONO J 120 6.00 13% 6.90    
TIPHARAH Jan22         (lusk r)JUDE JOHN 120 10.00    
TAP INTO THE HONEY         (machado antoni)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 9% 10.40    
OVERTHEBLUESKY Jan08         (bordis rob)ALONSO LUIS 120 3.00 20% 4.00    
 
TAM-2   02/13/2022 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT-12:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVIN LIVIN Jan29 Jan15 Jan09     (morzan javier)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50 16% 5.30    
TIZ HERSELF Jan29 Jan09       (nunn douglas)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 4.50    
GRANDMARY Jan29 Jan09       (bennett)DE CRUZ 120 2.00 17% 4.90    
SILVER PACKAGE Jan29         (machado ant)GARCIA A 120 15.00    
AUBURN Jan23 Jan05       (bagwandeen)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 8.00    
BEAUTIFUL TIZ Feb06 Jan30       (machado an)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 12.00 11% 7.80    
LA VIEXA Jan23         (barboza victor)CAMACHO SAMY 123 3.50 24% 3.10    
 
TAM-3   02/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL FOOLS DAY Feb05 Jan22 Jan09     (poole a)FELICIANO R 123 2.50 43% 1.30    
PAPA LUKE Jan19 Jan01       (raymond rob)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 5.00 8% 11.20    
SCR  FREE FLAYME         (vera )DOMINGUEZ G 120 10.00    
HIGHLY NOTED Feb05 Jan07       (raven kerri)BOWEN ROCCO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
VALIANT VIRTUE         (arriagada )ROWLAND MADELINE 113 4.50    
VALID EXCHANGE Jan19         (mcgoey monica)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 6.00    
THROWN FOR A LOUPE         (hemin)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 2.00 23% 3.30    
 
TAM-4   02/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE SKIPSTER Jan23         (house gary)ALLEN M 122 10.00    
CARROTS OR CARATS Jan07         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
LA LENA Feb04         (nunn douglas)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 6.00    
LIL CROWN         (bordis rob)ALONSO LUIS 122 30.00    
MIDNIGHT TEQUILA Jan22 Jan07       (munoz car)RODRIGUEZ A 122 3.00 53% 0.90    
BAHAMIAN DUDE         (davis richar)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 20.00    
NEPTUNES REVENGE Jan23 Jan07       (pimental j)URDANETA J 122 12.00    
LIL GREEN MACHINE Jan15         (philipp kar)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 10.00    
CPOWER         (azpurua edu)GARCIA A 122 8.00    
10  CHAIRMAN FOX         (banach darwin)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  STORM SEVENTEEN         (dye steven)PEREZ EDGAR 122 20.00    
12  RAL COPPERHEADROAD Feb02 Jan16 Jan01     (russo victor)SPIETH S 122 15.00    
SCR  AMERICAN DOLLAR         (romero raf)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 6.00    
 
TAM-5   02/13/2022 7260ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ZUZUDINI         (barker edward )CASTANON L 122 12.00    
LE COSTE Jan29 Jan07       (carvajal luis)ARROYO MIGUEL 115 4.00    
MAKING IT         (weave)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 8.00    
PONGO LOUIE Jan12         (sims n)JUDE JOHN 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
BATTLE OF BRITAIN Jan29         (mcgaughey re)CASTANON L 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
CHINA BEACH         (brown l)BOWEN ROCCO 122 10.00    
MCLOVIN         (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 122 1.80 35% 1.90    
THE HAPPY GIANT         (fennessy j)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 6.00 10% 9.00    
 
TAM-6   02/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAINTER'S PRIDE Jan28 Jan19       (mazza w)WALES GARY 122 12.00    
SEVENTY SEVENTYCAT Jan09         (d)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 10.00 5% 17.60    
PHILO Jan16         (alvarado diane)BOWEN ROCCO 122 3.00 55% 0.80    
PICCADILLY BEAU Feb02 Jan23 Jan16     (gatis chris)HENRY WESLEY 122 15.00    
POLLOCK Jan26         (guciardo ka)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 15.00    
ENGLISH LAUGHTER Feb02         (ferraro an)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.50    
MIGHTY GHOST Feb02 Jan05       (arnett jon )GARCIA A 122 8.00    
AYCAPOTE Feb02 Jan02       (glyshaw tim)CENTENO E 122 2.50 13% 7.00    
UNSPOILED MOMENTS Jan23 Jan08       (house gary)ALLEN M 122 20.00    
10  MIRIAM'S SKY Jan28         (dunslow mike )HERNANDEZ K 122 10.00    
SCR  GO TIME Jan16         (caramori cai)BATISTA A 122 6.00    
 
TAM-7   02/13/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUNTRESS MOON         (delac)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 8.00    
VARSITY KICKLINE (IRE) Jan26         (escobar alison)BISONO J 122 12.00    
MERICATHEBEAUTIFUL Jan30         (skelton dawn)JUDE JOHN 122 20.00    
WICKED INTENT         (caramori caio)BOWEN ROCCO 122 5.00    
HURRY UP DEAR         (seale c)DE CRUZ 122 12.00 7% 12.70    
BRAMBLE BUSH Jan14         (dini mike)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 2.50    
CECI'SAPRILHOTTIE Jan28 Jan14       (negrete j)RODRIGUEZ A 122 8.00 8% 12.00    
BEAUTIFULAZULENE         (parra herna)GARCIA A 122 20.00    
FIRST LADY DI DA Jan14         (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 122 3.50 26% 2.80    
10  SWEET TINA Jan19         (ward dennis)CAMACHO SAMY 122 5.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  LA MAGNOLIA Jan26         (dominguez r)MATA F 122 30.00    
SCR  BELLABOO Jan22         (lanum crys)ALONSO LUIS 120 30.00    
SCR  UNMARKED MONEY         (romero rafael)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 10.00 9% 10.20    
 
TAM-8   02/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRANKIE Z Jan22 Jan08       (rigattieri)URDANETA J 119 3.50 19% 4.40    
EXCELLENT MARK Jan15         (yanez mois)ALONSO LUIS 122 10.00    
LUCA DREW THE ACE Jan21 Jan09       (raymo)DOMINGUEZ G 119 10.00    
GOLD DUCAT Jan16         (bordis robert)ARROYO MIGUEL 112 20.00 5% 19.00    
NANTUCKETER Jan22 Jan07       (raymond robe)BATISTA A 119 4.00 55% 0.80    
MIAMI CHROME Jan22         (mcgoey moni)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 6.00    
HOLIDAY DANCER Feb02         (march will)ROWLAND MADELINE 112 20.00    
UNCLEJACKOMO Jan22         (lu)SCALDAFERRI ROSANA 119 15.00    
TITHED Feb02 Jan22 Jan08     (berken tod)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 8.00    
10  JACKSON STRONG Jan28 Jan09       (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 2.50    
 
TAM-9   02/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.45K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OSPREY Jan29         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 5.00    
VINTNER Jan29 Jan07       (yanez mois)ALONSO LUIS 120 4.50    
COCHISE CHARLIE Jan21 Jan02       (glyshaw tim)CENTENO E 123 6.00    
ALBIE Jan13         (cruz jesus)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 2.00 15% 5.60    
KING ANDRES Jan29 Jan12       (poole a)FELICIANO R 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
JO JO KATZ Jan26 Jan07       (bennett)DE CRUZ 120 6.00 28% 2.50    
BRIDGEKEEPER Feb06 Jan19       (russo victo)GARCIA A 120 10.00 9% 9.70    
BEE BY THE SEA Jan19         (mccarthy brenda )FERRER C 120 12.00    
GOLOVKIN Jan29 Jan07       (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 120 15.00    
10  BRILLIANT JOURNEY Jan19         (hamm timothy)CASTANON L 120 12.00    
SCR  SPIRITUAL KING Jan19 Jan05       (nunn dougla)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 3.50 16% 5.20    
SCR  VENTRY BAY         (ward wesley )KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 3.00    
SCR  BUC'S INVESTMINT         (raymond robe)BATISTA A 120 20.00    
SCR  CASTLE KING Jan12         (bowersock maria)LOPEZ E 120 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.