Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Oaklawn Park
Sunday - February 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
OP-1   02/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($84K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP FOR ME Jan07         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 125 1.80 30% 2.30    
LADY COMMANDER Jan07         (fires h)COURT K 125 10.00    
MARTIQUE MISS         (hollendorfer )CABRERA DAVID 125 3.00 31% 2.30    
FARASINO         (witt ii)CANCHARI ALEX 125 8.00    
MAGGIE'S WILL         (borel renay)BOREL H 120 15.00    
SALUTE THE FLAG         (jones larry)QUINONEZ S 125 8.00    
GOLDENA Jan07         (hollendor)TORRES A 125 10.00    
CHURCH SERVICE Jan30 Jan07       (cline n)HARR KELSI 125 4.00 18% 4.50    
 
OP-2   02/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAVENS REFLECTION         (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 118 3.50 71% 0.40    
SCR  TRUE SAINT Jan14         (green aidan)MEDELLIN ERICK 111 3.50    
ITS MY BAG BABY         (mason ingrid)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00    
MIAS MOONBEAM Jan22         (broberg karl)VAZQUEZ A 118 8.00    
PRIVATE LAKE Jan15         (martin wi)DE CRUZ 113 12.00    
PULL MY CHAIN Jan22 Jan02       (cangemi danie)CANCHARI ALEX 118 20.00    
DARK NINJA Jan22 Jan02       (swearingen h)COURT K 113 20.00    
LONELY PRIVATE Jan29         (hawley wesley)CABRERA DAVID 118 3.00    
SCR  OLSON Jan14         (haran john)HARR KELSI 118 20.00    
SEEK N JUSTICE Jan23         (litfin nevada)BAILEY CHEL-C 111 30.00    
10  CHICORY BLUE Jan22 Jan01       (litfin ne)TORRES A 118 10.00    
11  BOURBON COWBOY Jan30         (young scott )GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 10.00 8% 11.80    
12  FLATOUTJUSTICE Jan23         (villafra)SANTANA JR 118 5.00    
 
OP-3   02/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHI O'SHI Jan15         (pot)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 2.50 14% 6.10    
SCR  SUMMER STORM Jan14         (pot)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 2.50    
SOPHIE'S ANGEL Jan07         (diodoro rober)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 3.50 55% 0.80    
COURTLY Jan07         (puhl kim)DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
GIRLS A BULLET Jan15         (duncan van)COURT K 120 5.00    
TAKE CHARGE ERICA Jan15         (shorter a)TORRES A 120 8.00    
MONGOLIAN LOTUS Jan15 Jan07       (rosin w)CABRERA DAVID 120 8.00 6% 15.00    
LICHITA Jan15         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.00    
WAR BALLAD         (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 115 15.00    
 
OP-4   02/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($101K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REEF'S DESTINY Jan16         (cline n)COURT K 121 20.00    
SKYPED         (nelson r)BAILEY CHEL-C 114 30.00    
TEMPT FATE         (deville carl)GEROUX FLORENT 125 2.00 35% 1.90    
BANDIT POINT Jan22         (cline n)HARR KELSI 121 3.50    
K J'S NOBILITY Jan16         (hawley wesley)CABRERA DAVID 121 6.00 23% 3.30    
BLAME J D Jan23         (green aidan)VAZQUEZ A 121 3.00    
GAR HOLE Jan15         (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 125 5.00 10% 9.40    
DINNER AT CRUMPIES Jan16         (hornsby tammy)WALES T 121 20.00    
J. E.'S HANDMEDOWN Jan28         (green aidan)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 15.00 7% 13.90    
 
OP-5   02/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REMEMBER NORMANDY Jan30 Jan02       (zito nichola)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 30.00    
WORTHTHEMONEY         (robertson mc)GONZALEZ ELVIN 126 8.00    
BIG PETE Jan30 Jan02       (rengstorf tony)BOREL H 121 15.00    
HARRY Jan28         (durham danele)TOHILL S 126 30.00    
BLUES TUNE Jan01         (holthus e)JOHNSON M 121 5.00    
ABDAN         (garcia genaro)CABRERA DAVID 126 1.80 54% 0.90    
TANGO KILO         (von don)CANCHARI ALEX 126 4.00    
OUTCOME Jan01         (barkley j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00    
MY KINDA TETON Jan16         (rhea sherry)BAILEY CHEL-C 114 30.00    
10  TIMEFORAWOODFORD         (petalino )DE CRUZ 126 3.50 24% 3.20    
11  DOX BIZ Jan09         (morse l)HIRALDO JOHN 113 15.00    
12  CATS GOTTA CHANCE Jan22         (hewitt michael)WALES T 121 30.00    
 
OP-6   02/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLD AS HELL Jan29 Jan16       (lukas wayne)CABRERA DAVID 121 15.00    
TANGO CHARLIE Jan16         (morse randy )GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00    
ALTERED         (lauer michael)PEREIRA TIAGO 123 8.00    
HERD IMMUNITY Jan16         (baltas ri)TORRES A 123 3.50 39% 1.60    
RIBBONS AND MEDALS Jan16         (martin william )VAZQUEZ A 121 3.00 20% 4.00    
AMONGST FRIENDS Jan07         (matthews randy)COURT K 121 20.00    
KHOZAN'S SUCCESS Jan08         (becker scott)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 20.00    
MR. THUNDERSTRUCK         (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 20.00    
DEVIL'S TOWER Jan16         (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 4.50    
10  CHIEF RON Jan08         (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  U. S. STEEL Jan16         (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 125 5.00 14% 6.20    
 
OP-7   02/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3 F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAINBOWS ARE FREE         (smith ke)SANTANA JR 122 15.00    
AIN'T SHE A PISTOL Jan15         (puh)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 8.00 8% 11.70    
VITA BONA Jan15         (witt ii)CANCHARI ALEX 122 12.00    
TROPINKA         (anderson l)TOHILL S 122 8.00    
EXCULPATE         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
CHARLOTTES WAY         (villafran)TORRES A 122 4.00    
RIO LADY         (divito p)HIRALDO JOHN 117 8.00    
WOOHOO JACKIE BLUE         (moquett ronald )VAZQUEZ A 122 6.00 12% 7.70    
FIVEDCONSCIENCENES Jan23         (lauer michael)COURT K 122 15.00    
10  TRUEBLUEGIRL         (prather h)COHEN DAVID 122 12.00    
SCR  GYPSY WARRIOR         (morse l)BAILEY CHEL-C 115 15.00    
12  RACEDAY ATTIRE Jan15         (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 8.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  ROMANTIC COMEDY Jan30         (milligan allen)QUINONEZ S 122 10.00    
SCR  BIG JAVA         (puhich mike)BAILEY CHEL-C 115 10.00    
 
OP-8   02/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($101K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TURNSTONE         (ortiz al)CABRERA DAVID 114 4.50 14% 5.90    
BREAK CURFEW Jan09         (hiles rick)CONTRERAS LUIS 116 5.00    
SUN PATH         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 15% 5.80    
PRETTI XTREME         (robertson mc)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 8.00    
ITSALLINTHENOTES Jan08         (deatherage corey)HARR KELSI 121 15.00    
BLESSED AGAIN         (chl)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 6.00 8% 12.10    
WILLFUL WOMAN         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 38% 1.70    
WEST SIDE GIRL Jan09         (borel renay)BOREL H 119 8.00    
 
OP-9   02/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($35K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KILGORE Jan09         (moquett ronal)CABRERA DAVID 121 3.50 11% 8.00    
ORBITAL STARR Jan09         (prather h)VAZQUEZ A 121 15.00    
UCANTMAKETHISTUFUP Jan22         (villafran)TORRES A 121 3.00 61% 0.60    
VISION OF ELIAS         (martin e)TOHILL S 121 15.00    
ROLL DINERO ROLL Jan16         (garcia ge)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 126 6.00 6% 14.60    
ACCEL JOE Jan22         (williams bl)COURT J 121 30.00    
RISKY SITUATION Jan30         (cline n)HARR KELSI 126 12.00    
SCR  DEGRAY         (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 121 6.00    
SCR  BUMPER POOL Jan22 Jan01       (von do)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 8.00    
10  ALLO ENRY Jan29 Jan09       (deville j)HIRALDO JOHN 116 5.00    
11  KRUSIN ROCKET         (martin wi)DE CRUZ 126 15.00    
12  MOONSHINE SURFER Jan16         (deatherage co)BAILEY CHEL-C 119 30.00    
13  KINFOLK         (moquett ronald)HIRALDO JOHN 116 6.00    
14  BRASKA Jan22         (cline n)HARR KELSI 126 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.