Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Sunday - February 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   02/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT-12:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FISHING FOR FUN Jan22         (spatz ronald )ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 30% 2.40    
HENRYTHETHIRD Jan14         (avila carlos)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00    
MOON AT MIDNIGHT Jan15         (de )HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 6.00    
BOGGIEMIESTER Jan15         (maragh)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
STARSHIP WIZARD Jan15         (dwoskin stev)BRIDGMOHAN X 120 15.00    
SUMMER ASH Jan16         (gonzal)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 12.00    
EUPHORIA STAR         (morrison m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 41% 1.40    
BOUND LUCKY Jan16 Jan06       (mcdonald mic)ARROYO S 120 10.00    
WIZARD SERRAT Jan13         (barboza victor)REYES LEONEL 120 12.00    
 
GP-2   02/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT-12:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICK ENOUGH         (escobar aliso)FLORES ADRIAN 122 20.00    
OCEAN RIDE Jan26         (delgado gustav)ORTIZ L 122 1.80    
NAVAJO CREED         (abreu fernando)REYES LEONEL 122 5.00    
SCR  PERSONAL MEADOW Jan05         (davey kathry)MENESES MARCOS 122 4.50 10% 8.90    
ASK FOR BODE Jan09         (walder)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 2.50 16% 5.40    
NO COMMISSION Jan30         (figueroa cesar)REYES R 122 4.00 54% 0.90    
 
GP-3   02/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3 F PT-12:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE CUBAN MISSILE Jan13         (fuentes mauric)RIOS M 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
PLAYA INCLUSION Jan26         (ramire)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 2.00 16% 5.20    
MOSA MIA Jan16         (nunez eduard)GONZALEZ AMETH 120 30.00    
NADINE'S GIRL Jan16 Jan08       (sano ant)MARTINEZ A 120 15.00    
ONLY GIRL Jan16         (pinchin jose)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 1.80 56% 0.80    
LIVINHERBESTLIFE         (davis chris)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.00    
RAW HONEY         (sanchez )BERTICELLI E 120 4.50    
 
GP-4   02/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 1:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MITIGATION Jan22         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.50 13% 6.90    
LADY PUCHI Jan19 Jan01       (sano antonio)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 29% 2.50    
COLD CALL         (arnold)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00    
LIMANI         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
PANAMA HATTIE         (toner j)JARAMILLO E 120 6.00    
LISA MARIE         (walsh brendan )ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
CRACKIN MISCHIEF         (motion graham)PRADO S 120 12.00    
SCR  AMAGE Jan19         (danner kelsey)SUTHERLAND C 120 20.00    
AMERICAN HEROINE Jan02         (clement ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 7% 12.60    
 
GP-5   02/13/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR MATUSCHEK Jan12         (tharrenos w)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00 7% 13.60    
COLONIST         (escobar aliso)FLORES ADRIAN 120 20.00    
J P HELLISH Jan12         (orseno f)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50    
OUTSHINE Jan12         (drexler martin)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 42% 1.40    
PARLOR Jan20         (catane)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 6.00 18% 4.50    
POPPY'S BOYS Jan15         (fuentes maur)ARROYO S 120 5.00 8% 11.70    
EMOJI GUY Jan13         (garoffalo jos)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00    
BIRD'S EYE VIEW Jan22 Jan01       (dini mike)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 6.00    
 
GP-6   02/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME STREET         (simon stuart)ORTIZ L 120 4.00    
LATE NIGHT LADY         (arnold r)JARAMILLO E 120 4.50    
ACADEMIC HONOR         (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 120 20.00    
HIGH RESOLUTION         (arnold georg)MORELOS E 120 12.00    
MISSY GREER         (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
STORY HOUR Jan09         (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 120 10.00    
LAKOTA SPIRIT Jan09         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 1.40 50% 1.00    
 
GP-7   02/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEASE Jan30         (preciado guadalup)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
SCR  GO MIKE         (miller herbe)ARROYO S 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MO HAWK Jan14         (avila c)CASTELLANO J 120 2.50 34% 2.00    
POUND GREEN Jan13         (depaulo m)WILSON JAYNE 120 8.00    
STAR SIGN         (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 24% 3.20    
ARCHER ROAD Jan14         (alvarado juan)ORTIZ L 120 15.00    
THENORTHREMEMBERS Jan19         (mckanas l)LEPAROUX R 120 12.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  DESOLATOR         (begg b)BRIDGMOHAN X 122 4.50    
SO SUAVE (IRE)         (sweezey ken)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00    
 
GP-8   02/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEARLINTHEROUGH Jan20         (breen j)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 17% 4.90    
LARA'S LADY Jan15         (d'angelo jose )ORTIZ L 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
DOMINANT JOY Jan20         (tharrenos )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 24% 3.20    
STORMIN' COUGAR Jan15         (o'dwyer jeremia)LANERIE J 122 8.00    
DOLCISIMA Jan12         (amado enrique)REYES LEONEL 120 15.00    
STACIAS RUBY Jan26         (gonzalez cla)ARROYO S 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
DEL REY DOLLY Jan15         (hurtak daniel)PRADO S 122 4.00 8% 10.90    
 
GP-9   02/13/2022 7920ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($61K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHADY MCGEE (IRE)         (maker michae)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 8.00    
MODUS OPERANDI (IRE)         (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00    
BOHEMIAN BOY Jan13         (casse mark)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 6.00    
MEGAYACHT         (clement ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 35% 1.90    
A THREAD OF BLUE Jan02         (sweezey kent)ORTIZ L 120 12.00 9% 10.30    
SMALL HOPE         (sweezey ke)MORELOS E 120 20.00 7% 13.50    
ASSIDUOUSLY (GB) Jan20         (caramori eduard)PANICI LUCA 120 30.00    
SCR  LANDBISCUIT Jan16         (mott i)LANERIE J 120 12.00    
SCR  ARTURO TOSCANINI (IRE) Jan05         (casse mar)WILSON JAYNE 120 15.00    
SCR  CONQUER THE WORLD Jan16         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 14% 6.30    
11  JARREAU Jan16         (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50 15% 5.70    
 
GP-10   02/13/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($34K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ODRAMARK Jan19         (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 5.00 21% 3.80    
ASKEW Jan16 Jan01       (winebaugh ch)ARROYO S 120 6.00    
YOLANDA'S PRIDE Jan20         (garoffalo )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50    
FLYING BLACK Jan19         (ramire)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 3.50 44% 1.30    
RIVETING SPIRIT Jan23         (catanese jose)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
BAYOU BELLE Jan19         (drexler mar)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00    
SMART SPENDING Jan15         (barboza victor)ORTIZ L 120 10.00    
OMNIA         (delgado jorge)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00    
 
GP-11   02/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BITTY BOSS Jan02         (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 5% 18.20    
SCR  FRIENDSHIP ROAD         (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 120 12.00    
BRISKY FROLIC Jan02         (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 120 3.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  PIMENOVA Jan02         (gargan dann)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00    
LAY THE GROUNDWORK Jan09         (brown c)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
HOWBOUTDEMAPPLES Jan21         (hiles a)JARAMILLO E 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
AMBLE         (clement ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00    
WALKATHON Jan09         (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 120 4.50 28% 2.50    
LOVING PROMISE         (mott william)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 10.00    
SCR  INFLUENCING Jan02         (proctor thomas )LANERIE J 120 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.