Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turfway Park
Saturday - February 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TP-1   02/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 3 ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MATTHEWSTHIRTYFOUR         (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 1.00 58% 0.70    
ROYAL OUTLAW         (hernandez rey)LEZCANO ABEL 120 15.00    
SCR  J BOONE Jan02         (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00    
ADICCION         (caramori caio)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 20.00    
LESTERS DREAM Jan09         (calvo kelsie)CANUTO THIAGO 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
MR LIBERTY         (nance jonath)RAMOS D 120 12.00    
SCR  SHACKLESFLY         (romans da)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 10.00    
SCR  DIABLO DADDY         (reed r)MCKEE J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BETTER DASHER         (davis joseph)MORALES JOSHUA 120 12.00    
10  BAD GUS         (figueroa ne)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 20.00    
11  SCHENECTADY STAR Jan14         (garcia ge)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 12.00    
12  SEA LANE         (corr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
13  UPTOWN GUY Jan01         (chapman k)ACHARD ALEX 120 4.00 8% 12.10    
 
TP-2   02/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEAWARD Jan15         (evans ii)FELIX E 127 2.50 27% 2.70    
1A  QUEEN LOUISE Jan29 Jan07       (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 124 2.50    
GENERAL GINNY Jan29         (forston roy)MOJICA JR 124 20.00    
NARROWS BRIDGE Jan14         (jarvis kathy)RAMOS D 124 20.00    
PETRICHOR         (anderson susan)MACHADO LUAN 124 2.00 26% 2.90    
B DEB'S FORTUNE Jan08         (pitt)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 30.00    
TOP HAT INVASION Jan29 Jan08       (adams l)MORALES EDGAR 124 30.00    
CLASSY LYNN Jan08         (hester hale)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 8.00    
SCR  FIONA POWER Jan29 Jan07       (taylor brent)ACHARD ALEX 124 5.00 23% 3.40    
TEMPTATION EYES Jan08         (greenhill jeff)BEJARANO R 124 12.00    
10  TARANTA (IRE)         (reed r)LEON SONNY 124 5.00    
 
TP-3   02/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DERBY HOUSE         (sims phili)CORRALES GERARDO 124 2.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  HIGHCOTTON JUSTICE         (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
JOYRIDE         (douaihy michel)AYALA ISAIAS 124 15.00    
LOVE TWENTY SIX Jan02         (godsey marsh)MACHADO LUAN 122 12.00 9% 10.50    
SIR ACEALOT         (foster eric)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 5.00 13% 6.50    
RAULITO Jan01         (adams l)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00    
EL FRANCO         (humphries thomas)LEON SONNY 124 20.00    
SCR  HOT PASTRAMI         (ewing a)ACHARD ALEX 124 4.00 23% 3.30    
VIDAL Jan08         (ennis john)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 8.00    
SCR  WINTER SON         (chapman j)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 15.00    
11  TOM'S LAST GENERAL Jan16         (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 124 6.00    
 
TP-4   02/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($27K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLYOUBEMINE         (danner doug)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 10.00    
JEN TAKE CHARGE         (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.50 19% 4.30    
SINGSONG BIRD         (pincins j)BEJARANO R 120 4.00    
SCR  PRINCESS ATHENA Jan08         (kahles ronald)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 20.00    
REDHOT KATIE Jan08         (cannon ste)MOJICA JR 120 15.00    
NATIVE CHARM Jan09         (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 4.00 17% 5.00    
MOONLIGHT RAIN Jan08         (casse mark)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 19% 4.20    
SUPER STEAMY         (esquivel jes)RAMOS D 120 12.00 12% 7.10    
OUR CLOSURE Jan08         (hernandez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 8.00 12% 7.40    
 
TP-5   02/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($62K) 3 ALL PT- 8:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WOLFE COUNTY         (walsh brendan )ROCCO S 120 5.00    
BRAWNDO Jan14         (garcia ge)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 8.00    
MUCHO MOJO         (asmussen m)FELIX E 120 12.00    
LUCKY NINETEEN         (maker michae)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 8.00    
BIG DADDY LIAM         (sims phili)CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00    
CRIMSON AND CREAM         (colebrook be)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 15.00    
YOU MAKE ME HAPPY Jan16         (veinot trudy)MOJICA JR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
WILDCAT RUN         (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00    
PERUVIAN LUCKY Jan16         (correas ignacio )BEJARANO R 120 5.00 5% 17.60    
10  ICONIC LEGACY         (cox brad )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 2.50 9% 10.70    
SCR  BATTLE BORN         (west w)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 20.00    
12  MASTER LEA Jan07         (bahena ismael)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00    
13  LORD GATLING Jan16         (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  GIANT NOVA Jan16         (reed r)LEON SONNY 120 2.50 30% 2.30    
 
TP-6   02/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AVENIDA MANANA Jan08         (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 3.50 19% 4.30    
THIRST TRAP Jan02         (sanchez e)BERMUDEZ E 120 15.00    
SILVERA         (candelas blanca)FELIX E 120 15.00 7% 13.60    
CHECK SIX Jan04         (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 113 4.50 23% 3.30    
HERO OF THE BEST         (krummen mon)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 20.00    
SEDUCTIVE (IRE) Jan14         (short rick)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 26% 2.80    
COLORINCOLONEL         (estvanko rich)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 3.50    
MISS NEKO Jan12         (godsey marsh)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.50    
 
TP-7   02/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 9:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUTIFUL EMPIRE Jan08         (casse mark)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 6.00 18% 4.50    
ZAWISH         (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00    
MURGATROYD         (prib)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 30.00    
BUBBLE ROCK         (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 124 1.40    
SCR  TAP DANCING LADY Jan08         (kahles ronald)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 15.00    
MARISSA'S LADY         (morey e)BEJARANO R 124 1.00 51% 1.00    
ROYAL COUNTY         (reed r)LEON SONNY 120 12.00    
 
TP-8   02/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($29K) 3 F PT- 9:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPLIT DECISION Jan08         (ewing ann)MCKEE J 120 20.00    
THEFABULOUS MOOLAH Jan01         (d'angelo fr)LEON SONNY 120 3.50    
QUARIA THUNDER Jan08         (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.50 39% 1.60    
MISS INVINCIBLE Jan14         (chichakly)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 15.00    
LA NEBLINA Jan08         (humphries tho)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00 7% 13.70    
SCARTINI MARTINI         (colebrook ben)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 10.00    
SCHLOFMITZ         (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  DANIELLA'S CAUSE Jan01         (romans da)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 12.00    
BODACIOUS BABY Jan22         (minnock g)BEJARANO R 120 12.00    
10  LANTERN'S CANDY         (bogle fergus)ACHARD ALEX 120 15.00    
SCR  JUSTASTAR Jan08         (casse mark)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 10.00    
 
TP-9   02/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT-10:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECTACULAR GEM Jan16         (sherman justin)FELIX E 120 30.00    
POLE SETTER         (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 30.00    
MAJESTIC VALLEY Jan08         (greenhill)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 50.00    
DIVINE LEADER Jan23         (ennis john)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.50    
THREE TECHNIQUE         (cook b)BEJARANO R 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
VISITANT         (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 122 1.00 36% 1.80    
SIR ALFRED JAMES Jan22 Jan01       (cash l)MCKEE J 124 1.80    
RACE DRIVER         (hernandez)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00 33% 2.00    
IWILLPERSEVERE         (slager mike)ORM CORY 120 50.00    
 
TP-10   02/12/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-10:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY PAL JOHNNY         (radcliffe )CORRALES GERARDO 125 8.00    
LITTLE CAIRO         (chapman k)ACHARD ALEX 125 12.00    
SKY BOLT         (cowans wi)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 125 3.50 48% 1.10    
PRO BONO         (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 125 3.50    
BARBARINO Jan22 Jan01       (jazdzewsk)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 10.00    
C F V NOBODYCARES         (gonzalez lil)MORALES JOSHUA 125 10.00    
WHITE SILVER SANDS         (holden ja)BERMUDEZ E 125 30.00    
KEEP SCROLLING Jan22         (walsh ryan )PETERSON FERRIN 120 15.00    
BULLBRIAR         (guida e)MOJICA JR 125 20.00    
10  TEMPESTA         (lawrence james)ROCCO S 125 3.00 15% 5.80    
11  BLOWDACOALWHISTLE         (mate)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 15.00    
12  KING T'CHALLA         (johnston re)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 20.00 6% 16.60    
SCR  LASTTRAINTOBOSTON         (royal madelyn)LEZCANO ABEL 125 15.00    
SCR  INTEND         (ellio)ULLOA PATRICIO 125 6.00 9% 10.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.