Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sunland Park
Saturday - February 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SUN-5   02/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.5K) Purse ($8.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KELL'S KISS Jan22         (gherardi j)CARRENO J 123 3.50    
SCR  MARIA'S TOWER Feb08 Jan22 Jan18     (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 5.00 30% 2.40    
LONG RANGER Feb08 Jan18       (cappellucci dic)NEGRON LUIS 123 1.20 35% 1.90    
ZIVA DA'VID Jan18         (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 3.00 12% 7.10    
TRAVELIN LADY Jan18         (chavez a)BENN J 123 10.00    
CORNERSTONE Jan15         (munoz guadalup)VERA GERARDO 123 15.00    
 
SUN-6   02/12/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3 F PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUNDOFME NOTCALLN Jan25 Jan08       (lambert t)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.50    
SCR  DUKE CITY KITTY         (gree)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 5.00    
LAS TRES MARIPOSAS Jan28         (aldavaz herm)BEVERLY JR 121 10.00    
HOLLYWOOD BOUND Jan15         (gonzalez sal)REYES FRANK 121 8.00    
SCR  KATE'S WARRIOR Jan04         (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 121 3.50 23% 3.30    
JASMINE WHO         (sedillo tony)SIGALA ALFREDO 121 4.00    
JAZZY HEAT Jan18 Jan01       (gutierrez j)PEREZ A 121 3.00 46% 1.20    
 
SUN-7   02/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO PASA NADA Jan13         (buechler sim)FUENTES A 124 1.80 34% 2.00    
WRAPPED Jan09         (valdes aureli)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 23% 3.40    
BOOMER WHO         (sedillo d)PEREZ A 124 6.00 12% 7.60    
DINOS DA DADDY Jan09         (aldavaz jaime)REYES FRANK 124 5.00    
DIABOLICAL RULER Jan21 Jan04       (valdez-cabral)JUAREZ J 124 2.00    
JORNALERO Jan16         (ascencio arn)SIGALA ALFREDO 124 6.00    
 
SUN-8   02/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIGALERT Jan25         (armstrong sh)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 8.00 10% 9.00    
PIRATE JUNCTION Jan01         (fincher leroy)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 3.50 19% 4.20    
MT. TAYLOR         (armstrong sherr)REYES FRANK 123 10.00    
SCR  DYNAMIC RULER Jan01         (wool)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 3.50    
GODDARD Jan04         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 123 5.00    
WILMAS IRISH ROVER Jan23 Jan01       (gutierrez l)CHIRINOS ROIMES 123 4.00 19% 4.30    
CONVENTION (IRE) Jan23         (lebsock greg)NEGRON LUIS 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
SUN-9   02/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.5K) Purse ($8.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHACKEY'S LOVE Jan21         (cappellucci dic)NEGRON LUIS 124 7.00 27% 2.70    
TANDES Jan22         (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 10.00 6% 15.60    
REMEMBER THE BULL         (barrios bern)SIGALA ALFREDO 124 8.00    
MINISTERTOMYHEART Jan21         (cappellucci )FUENTES A 124 5.00 17% 4.90    
ELUSIVE ACCOUNTING Jan21 Jan04       (hudson jeff)CARRENO J 124 4.50 11% 8.50    
FANTASY SUITE Jan21 Jan04       (sedillo e)REYES FRANK 124 3.00    
SCR  WHISKEY THERAPY Jan21 Jan04       (smith paul )CHIRINOS ROIMES 124 6.00    
U S N CADEN Jan18 Jan04       (payan ruben)JUAREZ J 124 4.00 13% 6.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.