Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Saturday - February 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   02/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($69K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPLIT THEN DOUBLE (GB)         (sadler john)HERRERA A 117 3.00 25% 2.90    
ANNAGHLASA (IRE) Jan09         (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
OCTANE (BRZ)         (drysdale n)HERNANDEZ J 124 10.00    
CHARGES DROPPED         (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 4.00 13% 6.90    
TROUVILLE Jan23         (powell leonar)CURATOLO RYAN 122 12.00    
GINJA Jan09         (baffert bob)SMITH E 122 5.00    
KUORA (PER) Jan07         (baltas richard)BRAVO J 124 6.00    
DRAMATIZER Jan07         (knapp steve)BAZE C 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
SA-2   02/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAYTON KID Jan28 Jan21       (stute gary)HERNANDEZ J 126 2.50 19% 4.30    
STOIC LUNA Jan09         (marquez p)BAZE C 126 3.00    
TEAM CONCEPT         (gaines carla)FREY KYLE 126 8.00 7% 12.70    
FIVE CIRCLES         (mulhall kr)GONZALEZ RICARDO 126 8.00    
FOR LOVE NOT MONEY Jan07         (glatt mark)HERRERA A 121 2.00 35% 1.80    
GOLDEN JOURNEY Jan17         (baltas richard)EMIGH A 126 4.00 7% 12.70    
 
SA-3   02/12/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VELLA Jan01         (quinonez rola)VALDIVIA JR 124 30.00    
FREEDOM LASS Jan09         (spawr william)BAZE C 124 6.00    
TRANSLATE Jan22         (falcone rob)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
BESTRELLA (IRE) Jan09         (o'neill do)VAN DRAYDEN 124 15.00    
MISS TOKYO Jan09         (powell leo)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00    
GALLOVIE (GB)         (baltas rich)HERRERA A 119 4.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  ATLANTIC STRIKE Jan29         (wong jonathan)FREY KYLE 124 12.00    
SUITE MADAM BLUE Jan22         (hess b)SMITH E 124 8.00    
EQUILOVE (IRE)         (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00 14% 6.30    
 
SA-4   02/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
D K'S CROWN         (f)ROJAS EDUARD 122 8.00 8% 11.30    
STARSHIP CHEWBACCA Jan17         (papaprodro)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.80    
INVICTATATUS         (pineda milton)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 15.00    
PELICAN WAY Jan28         (azcarate dan)FREY KYLE 122 2.50    
FOLLOW THE SIGNS         (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 3.00 18% 4.60    
JAN'S RESERVE         (uranga jesu)RAMIREZ RICARDO 115 5.00 41% 1.50    
AROUND THE DIAL         (aquino ange)HERRERA A 119 12.00 11% 8.30    
 
SA-5   02/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($69K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS COSTA RICA Jan23         (baltas richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00    
FEARLESS GIRL (IRE) Feb02 Jan23 Jan17     (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 3.00    
MISS ADDIE PRAY         (gallagher patrick)SMITH E 122 15.00    
GLESGA GAL (IRE) Jan23         (callaghan sim)CURATOLO RYAN 124 15.00    
ALOHA KITTEN         (o'neill do)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 122 6.00 35% 1.80    
ULTIMATE HY Jan23         (heap blake)VAN DRAYDEN 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
DERBY QUEST Jan17         (gomez ruben)RAMIREZ RICARDO 115 50.00    
POP POP'S DREAM Jan09         (puype mike)FREY KYLE 122 4.00 18% 4.50    
SHE'S DEVOTED Jan15         (baltas richard)BRAVO J 124 6.00    
 
SA-6   02/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUSICAL GEM         (brinkerhoff val)BAZE C 126 12.00    
SOMETIMES ALWAYS Jan16         (knapp steve)CURATOLO RYAN 126 3.00 43% 1.30    
ME LIKEY Jan01         (pineda milt)GUTIERREZ MARIO 126 6.00    
EL DURANGO         (scolamieri )HERRERA A 121 12.00    
CIRCLE BACK Jan28         (hess b)FREY KYLE 126 8.00 8% 12.00    
SIR FLATTER Jan23         (ruiz lorenzo)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 3.00    
FURY KAP         (sadler w)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 1.60 18% 4.40    
 
SA-7   02/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3 F PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET TALKED         (baltas ric)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
ROCK THE BOURBON         (papaprodromou)VALDIVIA JR 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
HAPPY HAPPY         (gallagher )VAN DRAYDEN 122 15.00    
ISOLA MIA         (mccarthy mi)HERRERA A 117 12.00    
DISTORTED QUEEN Jan23 Jan01       (wong jonathan)FREY KYLE 122 15.00    
PHENOM Jan08         (d'amato ph)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 8.00    
CARROLL GIRL         (baltas richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.80 33% 2.00    
STERLING CREST (IRE)         (baltas rich)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
TALENTED LADY         (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 122 12.00    
10  HEMMERLE         (mandella e)BRAVO J 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
 
SA-8   02/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3 ALL PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEROUAC Jan21         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 9% 10.50    
COVER ME UP         (baltas rich)HERRERA A 117 4.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  MONGOLIAN BOX         (ganbat eneb)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
GOT THUNDER         (sadler w)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 0.80 39% 1.60    
CLASSIC MARK Jan22         (callaghan simon)BAZE C 122 15.00    
SENSE OF DOMINANCE Jan22         (baffert bo)VAN DRAYDEN 122 12.00    
NOBLE UNION         (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 122 8.00    
 
SA-9   02/12/2022 4290ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELLAMIRA Jan15         (specht steve)BAZE C 124 15.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of TUESDAYS WITH P by GHOSTZAPPER)
OURAIKA (FR)         (motion g)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00    
  (by ZELZAL (FR) out of SLEEK GOLD by DANSILI (GB))
I GOT A GAL         (eurton pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 3.50 23% 3.30    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of DESERT ILLUSION by SKY MESA)
HALF PAST TWELVE Jan16         (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 122 15.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of J'S HOT SHOT LADY by BADGE OF SILVER)
DOLLY MAY (IRE)         (sadler w)CURATOLO RYAN 120 8.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of PEDIMENT by DESERT PRINCE (IRE))
BABY STEPS Jan16         (hanson ryan)SMITH E 120 20.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of COMPETITIVEBALANCE by INTO MISCHIEF)
KITTY KITANA (GB) Jan08         (d'amato phili)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.00 19% 4.20    
  (by BOBBY'S KITTEN out of MISTAKEN LOVE by BERNARDINI)
IMPEACHD ALEXANDER (IRE) Jan16         (d'amato ph)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 12.00    
  (by STARSPANGLEDBANNER (AUS) out of PIOUS ALEXANDER by ACCLAMATION (GB))
URBAN Jan08         (callaghan simo)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of MOONLIGHT SKY by SKY MESA)
10  SHE'S SO SHINY Jan08         (o'neill do)VAN DRAYDEN 120 20.00    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of SKY AY AY AY by SKY MESA)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.