Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Oaklawn Park
Saturday - February 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
OP-1   02/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIVE DREAMS Jan15         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  INCORRUPTIBLE Jan28         (holthus paul )BAILEY CHEL-C 115 6.00 7% 12.40    
THAT'S SOMETHING Jan15         (chleborad lyn)CANCHARI ALEX 122 15.00    
BITCOIN BANKER Jan14         (deville j)HIRALDO JOHN 112 10.00    
SHACKS WAY Jan07         (broberg karl)COHEN DAVID 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
VIOLENT GIGI Jan28         (young e)CABRERA DAVID 122 10.00    
ALPINE GHOST Jan08         (haran john)HARR KELSI 122 15.00    
WHEREVER HE IS Jan15         (rie)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 12.00    
THE FEATURE Jan28 Jan07       (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 8.00    
10  ROAD BIBLE Jan15         (villafra)SANTANA JR 122 4.00    
 
OP-2   02/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR FROST Jan16         (martin e)TOHILL S 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
BEST TIME         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 125 6.00 14% 5.90    
GUNSTONE Jan01         (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 125 8.00    
BRODY BOUCHER Jan01         (jacquot gene)GARCIA MARTIN 125 15.00    
KING OF STING Jan08         (sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 10.00    
RESERVE Jan01         (moquett ronald )VAZQUEZ A 125 4.00    
CRONUS Jan09         (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 3.50 5% 19.00    
PORTSMOUTH         (brisset rodol)CABRERA DAVID 120 3.00 49% 1.00    
BENEDICTUS Jan09         (martin wi)DE CRUZ 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  RIVER REDEMPTION         (gar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 125 6.00    
 
OP-3   02/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOTARY Jan08         (lukas wayn)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 3.00 35% 1.90    
HANKS Jan07         (hawley wesley)COHEN DAVID 124 12.00    
UNEMBELLISHED Jan14 Jan02       (villafran)TORRES A 126 8.00    
BEACHWALKER Jan16         (puhl kim)DE CRUZ 124 4.50    
SAQEEL Jan14         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 126 3.50 9% 10.40    
PURE ROCKET Jan22 Jan08       (garcia ge)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00 13% 7.00    
ONE LAST HAND Jan16         (combs bentley)HIRALDO JOHN 121 12.00    
MOTION PICTURE Jan02         (moquett ronald )VAZQUEZ A 126 6.00 20% 4.00    
JUNESANDRA Jan08         (von donn)QUINONEZ S 124 10.00    
 
OP-4   02/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($84K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J'S LITTLE MAN Jan01         (martin wi)DE CRUZ 125 12.00    
YOU VEE CEE Jan22         (deville carl)GEROUX FLORENT 125 3.00 33% 2.00    
LOUD BOY Jan22         (martin e)TOHILL S 120 10.00    
BELLAMYS ROAN Jan22 Jan16       (westermann ron)HIRALDO JOHN 120 5.00    
TRAFFIC CONTROL Jan22         (cangemi daniel)QUINONEZ S 125 6.00    
UNCLE O. G.         (reynolds bran)COURT J 125 30.00    
FETCHS BRAHM Jan09         (fires h)COURT K 120 10.00    
KISSOFTHENILE         (lukas wayne)CABRERA DAVID 120 15.00    
ROYAL DE BE         (williams bla)LOPEZ E 125 20.00    
10  SLIMER         (hewitt michael)BOREL H 125 20.00    
11  PEACE DOG         (witt ii)CANCHARI ALEX 120 12.00    
12  EV'S SHERMAN Jan09         (villafranco frederi)WALES T 120 3.50    
SCR  FORSAKEN Jan22 Jan01       (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 4.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  TOPF ROAD RULES Jan22         (peitz da)SANTANA JR 125 5.00 21% 3.80    
 
OP-5   02/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A REAL JEWEL Jan23         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 125 2.50 19% 4.30    
LADY GUSTO Jan28         (hewitt michael)BOREL H 123 20.00    
HOPING FOR A RING Jan09         (mcknight norma)HIRALDO JOHN 120 20.00 9% 9.80    
MY BOSS LADY Jan15         (villafranco fre)VAZQUEZ A 123 8.00    
ROCK STAR PARKING         (contreras ci)CONTRERAS LUIS 123 3.50 27% 2.70    
BEAUTY DAY         (morse l)COURT K 121 20.00    
SAPPHIRE ROYALTY         (cox e)GARCIA MARTIN 123 5.00    
PARKIN IN THE REAR         (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 6.00    
AIRBORNE GAL         (cates al)SANTANA JR 123 4.50 10% 9.20    
10  LADY SHAMAN         (pot)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 123 15.00 6% 15.40    
 
OP-6   02/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIDDEN PROMISE         (ortiz al)CABRERA DAVID 118 30.00 5% 18.30    
TOMATO BILL Jan30 Jan07       (mcknight nor)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 15.00    
PLATINUM EQUITY         (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 118 4.50    
SOUIXPER CHARGER Jan16 Jan02       (prather h)VAZQUEZ A 119 5.00    
AMERICAIN JOEY Jan02         (vance thomas)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 20.00    
RIVERBOAT GAMBLER Jan29         (morse l)HIRALDO JOHN 116 3.00 32% 2.20    
BASEBALL POLITICS Jan22         (manley s)SANTANA JR 124 4.00 15% 5.50    
MR. ANKENY Jan02         (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 20.00    
TAPPIN FORA DANCE Jan29 Jan07       (mason ingrid)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00 8% 11.20    
10  SECRETARY AT WAR Jan22         (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 10% 9.00    
11  LOOKIN FOR EIGHT         (vance d)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00    
 
OP-7   02/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($84K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAPNEL         (moquett ronald )VAZQUEZ A 125 6.00    
INVARIABLY         (hollendor)TORRES A 125 4.50    
SPARTY SENSE         (maker mi)SANTANA JR 125 8.00    
STAINLESS STEEL         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 125 3.50 33% 2.10    
TENTH OF GOLD         (asmussen steve)HIRALDO JOHN 120 4.50 37% 1.70    
LIFE IS HARD         (divito james )PEREIRA TIAGO 125 20.00    
QUARANTINE WHISKEY         (von donn)QUINONEZ S 125 20.00    
KINGMAKER         (moquett ronal)CABRERA DAVID 120 15.00    
THUNDERHEART         (stuart shea)WALES T 125 20.00    
10  STRATOFORTRESS Jan09         (hol)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 125 2.50 8% 12.00    
 
OP-8   02/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MATERA (ARG)         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 32% 2.10    
  (by MASQUED DANCER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
MISS BIGLY Jan08         (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 119 4.50    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of MISS PUZZLE (AUS) by CITIDANCER (IRE))
SHE'S ALL WOLFE         (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00    
  (by MAGNA GRADUATE out of SHE'S ALL IN by INCLUDE)
JILTED BRIDE         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 8% 11.40    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of CRY AT MY WEDDING by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  MARIAH'S PRINCESS         (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 119 5.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of MAYA PRINCESS by STREET SENSE)
QUEEN GODDESS         (mccarthy mich)CABRERA DAVID 119 3.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of ROYAL STORY by ROYAL ACADEMY)
COACH Jan08         (cox brad)SANTANA JR 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of AND STAY OUT by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
OP-9   02/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER CHIANTI         (stewart )SANTANA JR 120 15.00    
JOYFUL CADENCE         (ortiz al)CABRERA DAVID 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
FLIPPING FAST         (d'amato phili)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 15.00    
WINGS OF AN ANGEL Jan07         (jones larry)GARCIA MARTIN 124 8.00    
SCR  CONNIE K Jan08         (morse l)COURT K 119 5.00 9% 10.40    
SCR  GUANA CAY         (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 12.00    
KABOOM BABY         (witt ii)QUINONEZ S 115 4.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  I'M THE BOSS OF ME         (compton greg)HIRALDO JOHN 119 12.00    
LADY ASTRID         (cline n)HARR KELSI 117 20.00    
10  PHAROAH'S HEART         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 120 5.00    
SCR  WELL SPENT         (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 122 8.00    
12  URSULINA         (lukas wayne)BAILEY CHEL-C 113 15.00    
13  AVA'S GRACE         (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 120 5.00    
14  MONTGOMERY PARK         (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 8.00    
 
OP-10   02/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($600K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POPULAR KID         (davis sha)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 116 20.00 9% 10.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of LEMON SUPREME by LEMON DROP KID)
SUPER STOCK         (asmussen)SANTANA JR 120 4.50    
  (by DIALED IN out of SUPER GIRLIE by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
LONE ROCK         (diodoro roberti)VAZQUEZ A 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
  (by MAJESTIC WARRIOR out of RUBY LIPS by RUBIANO)
RATED R SUPERSTAR Jan15         (villafranco f)CABRERA DAVID 119 8.00    
  (by KODIAK KOWBOY out of WICKED WISH by GOLD CASE)
PROMISE KEEPER         (pletcher tod)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MIRA ALTA by CURLIN)
THOMAS SHELBY Jan15         (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 117 6.00    
  (by CURLIN out of HARRIETT LANE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
LAST SAMURAI         (stewart dallas)COURT K 118 8.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of LADY SAMURI by FIRST SAMURAI)
PLAINSMAN         (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50 40% 1.50    
  (by FLATTER out of S S PINAFORE by STREET SENSE)
SCR  SILVER PROSPECTOR Jan15         (asmussen ste)CONTRERAS LUIS 115 15.00 8% 12.20    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of TAP SOFTLY by TAPIT)
 
OP-11   02/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($84K) 3 ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMER IN MALIBU Jan16         (vance d)HIRALDO JOHN 117 15.00    
DEPUTY CONNECT         (cox brad )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 3.00 20% 4.00    
UNCLE BERLEY Jan09         (asmussen steven)COHEN DAVID 122 10.00    
WE THE PEOPLE         (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
SWITZER Jan15         (moquett ronald )VAZQUEZ A 122 6.00 31% 2.20    
ROME Jan15         (anderson doug)CANCHARI ALEX 122 15.00 5% 18.60    
CHILENO         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00    
UNSTABLE PRINCE Jan29 Jan02       (martin willi)MEDELLIN ERICK 115 30.00    
KUCHAR         (brisset rodol)CABRERA DAVID 122 12.00    
10  FRISCO LINE Jan02         (cox brad)SANTANA JR 122 5.00    
11  PAPA ROCKET         (lukas wayn)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.