Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sam Houston Park
Saturday - February 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HOU-2   02/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE IS A BLING Feb05 Jan07       (dupuy allen)MELANCON JANSEN 123 15.00    
COCO LOCO MAMA Jan22         (echeverria hecto)MONTALVO C 123 8.00    
SISTEROFTHEMOON Jan22         (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 20.00    
WEST COAST TEMPLE Jan22         (short thomas)DIAZ CARLOS 123 6.00 18% 4.50    
BOLD LEGEND Jan27 Jan06       (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 123 12.00 12% 7.50    
SHESMYBROKER Jan28         (eoff terry)ERAMIA E 123 0.60 29% 2.50    
MAD TABBY Jan27         (villafran)TRIANA JR 123 4.00 19% 4.20    
 
HOU-3   02/12/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EUROEAST Feb04 Jan14 Jan06     (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 20.00    
MORE LIKE IT Jan22         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 2.00 34% 1.90    
HIGH TONE Jan29 Jan07       (villafranco)WETHEY JR 123 6.00 14% 6.00    
ISTAN WARRIOR Jan29 Jan14       (eoff terry)LARA EZEQUIEL 123 15.00    
VETERAN'S HOLIDAY Jan29         (scholl )GONCALVES R 123 4.50    
SMART CALL Jan29 Jan14       (roberts j)STEINBERG GARRETT 123 12.00 9% 9.80    
AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Jan22 Jan07       (cravens ronn)ALVAREZ L 123 20.00    
PREFERITO DA BARBI Jan14         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 8.00    
BROCK ON BY Jan14         (lucarelli fran)MORA GERARDO 123 3.00 16% 5.30    
 
HOU-4   02/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAILSINTHESUNSET Jan27 Jan08       (whitelaw mi)HAMILTON WESTON 123 4.50 19% 4.40    
MY GOLDEN BLING Feb05 Jan07       (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 3.00    
FETCHING FURY         (williams f)MONTALVO C 123 15.00    
RAGATAGTAG Jan06         (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 1.40 26% 2.90    
SILVER COIN Jan22 Jan07       (whitelaw micha)MORA GERARDO 123 20.00 6% 14.60    
SCR  SWEET PRAYERS Feb05 Jan20       (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 8.00 10% 9.40    
UPGRADE ME Jan08         (ewing e)SANCHEZ OBED 123 6.00 11% 7.80    
 
HOU-5   02/12/2022 3300ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3 F PT- 9:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST PEEK'N         (willis mi)TRIANA JR 122 6.00    
SANGRIA CITY Jan21         (padilla car)HAMILTON WESTON 122 4.50    
LADY SIERRA         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 4.00 43% 1.30    
IZEADISTORTEDLADY         (keen dallas)MELANCON JANSEN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
NEON SUMMER         (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 12.00    
WALK SOFTLY         (gustafson aus)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 10.00    
GET OUT TONIGHT Jan21         (jacks kare)ERAMIA E 122 3.50    
SUMMER CAT Jan21         (eoff terry)MONTALVO C 122 8.00 27% 2.60    
SCR  RECLUSIVE         (hurley re)LANDEROS C 122 20.00    
10  SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL Jan21         (moreno carlos)DIEGO V 122 6.00    
 
HOU-6   02/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT-10:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER LUKE SILVER Feb04 Jan15 Jan06     (barton aman)MELANCON JANSEN 123 3.50 13% 6.50    
HULEN Jan21 Jan06       (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 1.60 16% 5.20    
MAC B QUICK Jan30         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 2.50 40% 1.50    
GRADESTER Jan06         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 15.00    
TEXAS TITAN Jan30         (johnston )STEINBERG GARRETT 123 10.00    
EUROROCKSTAR Jan28         (rossi lee )ERAMIA E 123 8.00 9% 10.50    
FIRST BUMP RIDGE Feb04 Jan21 Jan07     (k)DE CRUZ 123 20.00    
 
HOU-7   02/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($21K) 3 F PT-10:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS WOW WOW Jan15         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 1.20 39% 1.50    
SCR  MIDNIGHT FLYER Jan21         (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 122 20.00    
MIA BABY Jan13         (silva miguel)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 8.00    
DIAL IT IN Jan27 Jan14       (barton aman)MELANCON JANSEN 122 12.00    
HOT CAVIAR Jan27         (villafran)TRIANA JR 122 15.00    
COLD NIGHT AIR Jan27         (broberg)GONCALVES R 122 3.50 39% 1.60    
GRASS QUEEN Jan13         (eoff terry)MONTALVO C 122 20.00    
REINA DEL SUR         (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 15.00    
UNINHIBITED (IRE) Jan15         (diodoro rober)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 6.00    
SCR  JOY IN THE BATTLE         (clary jayla)HAMILTON WESTON 122 30.00    
 
HOU-8   02/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS. RED ROCKETTE         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.40 32% 2.10    
SCR  SHE'S AN ANGEL Jan22 Jan07       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.40    
SEVEN S'S SPECIAL Jan20         (carrizale)STEINBERG GARRETT 123 10.00    
PIXIE Jan20         (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 20.00    
A SONG FOR MICKEY         (bustamant)TRIANA JR 123 15.00 7% 12.50    
SHEZA HUNK         (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 123 3.00    
SHIASGOLD LADY         (garc)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 15.00    
MISS M J         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 4.00 31% 2.20    
MY BABY BLUE         (cruz eduar)ERAMIA E 123 10.00 7% 13.30    
ZOE'S GOLDLADY Jan20 Jan07       (g)DE CRUZ 123 20.00    
 
HOU-9   02/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 35 ALL PT-11:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING ARTHUR RIDGE Jan27         (kotara ronald)SANCHEZ M 115 30.00    
GOOD SWIMMER Jan29         (willis mi)TRIANA JR 123 20.00    
BRENTLEY (GB)         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.50 36% 1.80    
CAIRO WARRIOR Jan22 Jan06       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 4.00 20% 4.10    
LIGHT CRUISER         (stuart cli)ERAMIA E 123 2.50 8% 11.80    
SCR  SIGNE         (swi)RODRIGUEZ ALBERTO 118 50.00 5% 19.00    
BULL RING Jan22         (young scott)MELANCON JANSEN 123 30.00    
WHITAKER         (fogarty desmond)SORENSON D 123 6.00    
OPTIMAL TRIP Jan22         (rossi j)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 4.50 13% 6.90    
10  DYNA STRIKE Jan22         (eoff )MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 10.00    
 
HOU-10   02/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M A STEPHANIE Jan06         (george wayne)LANDEROS C 123 15.00 6% 16.80    
PATRICIA L Jan22         (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 123 4.50    
DUCHESS OF ZMOR Jan21         (francis alvin )HUGHES CARLY 118 20.00    
FASTED Jan28         (gar)RODRIGUEZ ALBERTO 123 10.00    
DREAMIN TIGER Jan07         (eoff terry)LARA EZEQUIEL 123 8.00 6% 16.80    
CROSS BOSS LADY Jan21         (clar)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 20.00    
TAYLOR'S VISION Jan07         (scholl )GONCALVES R 123 3.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  QUEEN OF THE LANE Jan21 Jan06       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 1.00 35% 1.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.