Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - February 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   02/11/2022 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWINGIN FRIAR Feb05 Jan19       (blair j)DE CRUZ 120 5.00 ★    
2  DOHKO Jan07         (mc john)HERNANDEZ K 120 4.00 23% 3.40    
3  VIGO Jan23 Jan07       (o'connell kathl)BOWEN ROCCO 120 8.00 12% 7.20    
4  TIMEWON'TLETMEGO Jan23 Jan01       (isbell dan)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00    
5  MISTA DONZELLA Jan23 Jan07       (wasiluk pet)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 2.50 17% 5.00    
6  SUPER EDGAR Jan07         (lawrence dalto)HENRY WESLEY 123 1.60 27% 2.80    
 
TAM-2   02/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3 ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHINBORO Jan16         (nunn douglas)CASTANON L 122 10.00    
2  TRIPULANTE Jan16 Jan01       (granitz)DE CRUZ 122 3.00 10% 9.10    
3  MY WAY OR NO WAY Jan26 Jan02       (munoz carlos)BATISTA A 122 6.00    
4  GOLD SPECIAL Feb03 Jan15       (rodriguez ange)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.50 8% 12.00    
5  CYBERVIKING Jan15         (delgado jorg)CASTELLANO J 122 1.80 50% 1.00    
6  SHED A TEAR Jan16         (carrascojr v)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 5.00 ★    
SCR  JUST PLAIN ORNERY Jan16         (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 12.00 7% 12.60    
 
TAM-3   02/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUNNY PRINCESS         (me)SCALDAFERRI ROSANA 122 10.00    
2  QUEEN TIGER Jan08         (axmaker w)CASTANON L 122 6.00 49% 1.00    
3  FABIOLA PRINCESS         (tsirigotis ja)ARROYO MIGUEL 115 12.00    
4  DIALING VALENTINE Jan26         (bordis w)BISONO J 122 10.00    
5  THE JOKES ON ME         (amado enri)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 2.50 6% 17.00    
6  RANSOMS REWARD Jan21 Jan02       (dobber w)WALES GARY 122 2.00 8% 12.30    
7  KITTENS MISS MOJO Jan26 Jan19       (dobber arno)GARCIA A 122 20.00 ★    
8  SHES ASTYLISH KATZ Jan21         (d)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 3.50 18% 4.70    
 
TAM-4   02/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEESSE Jan23 Jan09       (wetherington m)MBATHA LUCKY 109 12.00    
2  OB LA DI Jan23 Jan09       (ryan derek )QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 6.00 18% 4.40    
3  DE PURA SANGRE Jan12         (cahill ste)ROWLAND MADELINE 112 20.00    
4  FANCYSOUL Jan23 Jan05       (davis richard)HERNANDEZ K 119 5.00 ★    
5  JULIE'S GRACE Jan22 Jan08       (wilson tony)GARCIA A 122 3.00 35% 1.90    
6  ASPROPODIA Jan16         (cruz jesus)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 1.60 19% 4.30    
7  IDEAL BREEZE Jan22         (delgado jorg)CASTELLANO J 119 4.00 8% 11.70    
 
TAM-5   02/11/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($29K) 3 F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE NASTY Jan15         (delgado jorg)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00    
2  NOVELERA Jan19         (delgado h)MARAGH TONY 118 6.00    
3  MUSIC AMORE Jan08         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00 8% 12.20    
4  MISS Z Jan19         (harty eoin)BOWEN ROCCO 122 3.50 33% 2.10    
SCR  TACTICAL RANGE Jan29         (ryan s)CASTANON L 118 8.00    
6  LATIN NIKKITA Jan28 Jan14       (schistl raf)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MINING CHROME Jan01         (bennett geral)ALVARADO JR 118 2.50 18% 4.60    
8  I'M BUZZY Jan19         (dini mi)DE CRUZ 120 4.00    
9  STYLE         (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 118 3.00 12% 7.60    
 
TAM-6   02/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAMAY (PER) Jan23         (lecesse micha)HERNANDEZ K 118 8.00 10% 9.50    
2  IMPERIAL KING Jan08         (ward dennis)MORALES PABLO 118 5.00 9% 9.80    
3  EXPENSIVE STYLE Jan08         (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 120 4.00    
4  OIL MONEY         (arnett g)BOWEN ROCCO 118 2.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  MYSTERY MAN Jan29 Jan02       (banks chris)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 6.00    
6  HE'S SMOKIN NOW         (bennett geral)ALVARADO JR 118 10.00 7% 13.20    
7  ARCADIA CALLS         (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 118 3.50 15% 5.60    
 
TAM-7   02/11/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($24K) 3 F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUSANS NOVELA Jan26         (klesaris stev)MORALES PABLO 118 5.00 ★    
2  STERLINA Jan12         (wasiluk pet)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 15.00    
3  KATIES A LADY Jan22         (o'connell kathl)BOWEN ROCCO 118 2.50 43% 1.30    
4  PERGOLA         (lopez bernardo)CHAVEZ DEIVY 118 10.00    
SCR  SASSY LIKE JULIA Jan29         (tsirigotis j)SPIETH S 118 15.00    
6  SUMMER HELPER Jan19         (adorn)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 3.00 ★    
7  SCOOP THERE IT IS Jan29 Jan02       (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 20.00    
8  MURUMBI Jan26         (bennett)DE CRUZ 118 8.00 ★    
9  ROYAL ROCKER Jan26         (casse ma)GALLARDO A 118 4.50 29% 2.40    
 
TAM-8   02/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARMICHAEL Jan12         (oliver victoria)CENTENO E 120 10.00    
2  TAPSASIONAL         (o'conne)DE CRUZ 122 6.00 ★    
3  BOLD PAYNTER         (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
4  VICARAGE Jan22 Jan08       (arriagada juan)CASTANON L 120 3.00 20% 4.10    
5  FIRSTCADETE Jan21         (macha)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 20.00    
6  IRISH VALOR Jan22         (arnett jon )GARCIA A 120 10.00 11% 8.30    
7  SCALDING Jan05         (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 122 1.80 15% 5.60    
8  ISLAND BOY Jan14         (wilkes i)GALLARDO A 120 8.00    
 
TAM-9   02/11/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29K) 3 ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DELTA RIDGE         (hayford jennifer)SPIETH S 120 8.00    
2  CALL ME CASSIUS         (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 120 8.00    
3  BAILEYS RUN         (granitz)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
4  NAVY KING         (ferraro ant)HERNANDEZ K 120 20.00 13% 6.60    
5  MERCI         (cleme)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.00 26% 2.80    
6  MOST WANTED MAN         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.60 38% 1.70    
7  REMEMBER THE TUNE         (carvajal lui)BATISTA A 120 20.00    
8  JIMMY THE BOOT Jan02         (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 ★    
9  ONE COOL DUDE         (sanner daniel )CASTANON L 120 15.00    
10  BET         (fisher david)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 30.00    
SCR  DEFENSIBLE Jan06         (motion grah)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00    
SCR  BAGE Jan21         (hamm timothy)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 20.00    
SCR  THE THUNDERER         (motion h)GALLARDO A 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  MOON WARRIOR         (hemingway michelle)SPIETH S 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.