Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Friday - February 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   02/11/2022 5940ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($31K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DOMINANT SOUL Jan14         (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 124 2.00    
ALGERIA (IRE) Jan28 Jan14       (knapp steve)BAZE C 124 4.00 39% 1.50    
PRIMER DIMER         (bell r)PYFER JESSICA 122 8.00    
ENDLESS SUNSET Jan14         (mccarthy mi)HERRERA A 117 4.00 25% 3.00    
STONE'S RIVER         (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.80    
MONGOL ALTAI Jan16         (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 10.00    
 
SA-2   02/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($43K) 3 ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAD STEVEN Jan23 Jan01       (miyadi stev)HERRERA A 115 1.60 19% 4.30    
MASHHAD FLATS         (hanson ryan)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.20 42% 1.40    
PRINCE HUSSAR Jan21         (palma o)BAZE C 116 6.00    
RIVIERA CHAMP Jan29 Jan23 Jan09     (o'neill doug)CEDILLO ABEL 118 4.00    
ABADON Jan28         (hanson ryan)PYFER JESSICA 118 10.00    
 
SA-3   02/11/2022 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($69K) 3 ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THIRSTY ALWAYS         (solis walther)CEDILLO ABEL 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
WHO'S CANDY Jan01         (koriner brian)MALDONADO E 120 3.00 29% 2.40    
MOOSE MITCHELL         (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
IM STILL THIRSTY Jan21         (periban jorge)EMIGH A 120 15.00    
STAR ENTRY Jan23         (periban jorge)CURATOLO RYAN 120 5.00    
FRANKLIN ONE STAR Jan30         (o'neill doug)FREY KYLE 120 5.00    
RICHARDS THE DREAM         (alvarez g)BAZE C 120 20.00    
SMUGGLER'S RUN Jan30 Jan01       (baltas richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
 
SA-4   02/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($29K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ A MASTER Jan28 Jan02       (dealba cesa)HERRERA A 119 2.50    
CALIFORNIA COOL Jan14         (mendez luis)VALDIVIA JR 121 12.00    
SCR  SUEZAAANA         (williams artur)GARCIA ERICK 124 30.00    
SWIRLING Jan29 Jan01       (barocio librado)MALDONADO E 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  LADY MO         (gomez ruben)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 115 20.00    
BELLA RENELLA Jan28 Jan07       (o'neill doug)BAZE C 124 2.50 14% 6.10    
LI'L GRAZEN Jan16         (wong jonathan)FREY KYLE 122 2.00    
 
SA-5   02/11/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VA VA VOOM Jan22 Jan02       (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
MAJESTIC STEPS (IRE)         (eurton peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.60 23% 3.30    
WESTWARD BREEZE Jan07         (gaines carla)BLANC B 124 12.00    
BOWL OF CHERRIES Jan21         (ellis w)CEDILLO ABEL 124 3.50    
ROSES R BLUE Jan16         (knapp steve)HERRERA A 119 6.00 18% 4.50    
UNUSUAL RIDE Jan23         (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50    
 
SA-6   02/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($200K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUTIFUL ART Jan22         (callaghan simo)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00    
DELMAS         (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 20% 4.10    
MIDNIGHT FURY Jan22         (o'neill doug)FREY KYLE 122 0.80 28% 2.60    
MAGICNTHEMOONLIGHT         (glatt mark)CEDILLO ABEL 122 4.00 20% 4.10    
SALTO DE TIGRE         (desormeaux j )CURATOLO RYAN 122 15.00    
CANDY FOR CARMEL         (baltas ric)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 8.00    
 
SA-7   02/11/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($69K) 3 F PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRECIOUS INSIGHT Jan15         (solis walther)CEDILLO ABEL 120 15.00    
SCR  SUE ETTAS GHOST Jan08         (solis walther)FREY KYLE 120 15.00    
EMERALD LAKE Jan08         (alvarado ru)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 3.00    
SCR  SHE'S BULLETPROOF Jan02         (alvarado r)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 6.00    
SCR  SMILIN EVIE Jan08         (baltas richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00    
BIG NOVEL Jan15         (sadler w)VELAZQUEZ R 120 1.80 54% 0.90    
VIVACIOUS VANESSA Jan15         (mandella g)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  PROFESSORS' PRIDE Jan15         ( )TBA null      
 
SA-8   02/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($26K) 3 F PT- 7:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO CONNELLY         (miyadi steven)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.80 65% 0.50    
SO SOFTLY Jan02         (palma hecto)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 6.00    
MIDNIGHT'S GIRL Jan02         (d'amato phi)HERRERA A 113 8.00    
STARSHIP DIPLOMACY         (hess b)CEDILLO ABEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
RAVENCLAW         (rosales richa)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 20.00 9% 9.60    
NEVER SWAY         (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00    
LUCY JANE Jan14         (mendez luis)PYFER JESSICA 122 5.00    
SILENT BEAUTY Jan08         (zucker l)BAZE C 122 4.00    
 
SA-9   02/11/2022 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PREACHING TRAINER Jan01         (gaines carla)BAZE C 122 30.00    
GRIT AND CURIOSITY         (mullins je)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 5% 18.00    
SCR  MCWHERTER Jan07         (miyadi steven)CEDILLO ABEL 122 8.00    
VIA EGNATIA Jan08         (baltas richard)ESPINOZA V 122 4.00    
VERY IRISH         (dealba cesar)FRANCO CESAR 120 15.00    
SCR  JOHNNY PODRES         (miyadi steven)FREY KYLE 122 4.00    
CASTLE (IRE) Jan08         (mulhall kr)GONZALEZ RICARDO null   7% 14.40    
IAN GLASS Jan08         (sadler john)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 5.00    
11  FRONTIER MARKET         (sadler w)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 65% 0.50    
SCR  ALLEVA         ( )TBA null      
SCR  FOLLOW THE SIGNS         ( )TBA null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.