Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Oaklawn Park
Friday - February 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
OP-1   02/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($42K) 3 ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL POTENTE         (amescua )SANTANA JR 122 4.00 32% 2.10    
PENETRATOR         (hollendor)TORRES A 122 6.00    
CAN MAN DO Jan01         (hobby steve)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 4.50    
ROYAL CONSORT         (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50 41% 1.40    
SCR  SCOTCH NO ROCKS         (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00    
PUBLIC RECORD         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00    
HUMERO D'ORO         (brisset rodol)CABRERA DAVID 122 6.00    
ARISTOCAT Jan08         (martin e)COURT K 122 15.00    
LITTLE FRAPPUCINO Jan15         (milligan allen)HIRALDO JOHN 117 10.00 5% 18.00    
10  CONTRABANDISTA         (morse l)CANCHARI ALEX 122 10.00    
 
OP-2   02/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3 ALL PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SONNYISNOTSOFUNNY Jan16 Jan01       (deville carl)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
STEALTH FIGHTER Jan07         (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00    
AQUITANIA ARRIVAL Jan16         (amescua rene)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 46% 1.20    
BIG BOSS BEN Jan15         (ortiz al)CABRERA DAVID 119 3.50    
SWIFT TAP Jan15         (hollendorfer )PEREIRA TIAGO 119 3.00    
SPEAK UNITY Jan14         (mck)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 5.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  SHANGHAI SILVER         (morse l)HIRALDO JOHN 114 15.00    
DEALMEINBUD Jan16 Jan01       (cates al)SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
JERRY'S EIGHTY Jan01         (smith ken)TORRES A 119 8.00    
 
OP-3   02/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RECKLESSNESS         (mason ingr)GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 20.00    
TIZ MCNAMARA         (becker scott)LOPEZ ALBERT 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
STUD PUPPY Jan15         (zito nichola)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 15.00    
STRIKE A BEAT Jan08         (mcknight nor)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 4.50 39% 1.50    
OREGON COUNTY Jan15         (hornsby tammy)CANCHARI ALEX 117 15.00    
MR. COUGAR Jan28 Jan07       (westermann l)WALES T 114 12.00    
MEGA MAX Jan16         (cates al)HARR KELSI 122 8.00    
SEASIDE BOY Jan07         (durham danele)HIRALDO JOHN 117 5.00    
SOUTHERNER Jan07         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.50    
10  GRAVES MILL ROAD Jan15         (ros)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 4.00 34% 1.90    
11  MOON IN THE SKY         (loy dewaine)TOHILL S 117 15.00    
12  MAS TAKELA Jan22         (deatherage co)BAILEY CHEL-C 112 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHASE TRACKER Jan15         (garcia genaro)CABRERA DAVID 119 6.00    
SCR  WINDY NATIONS Jan07         (maker mi)SANTANA JR 119 5.00    
 
OP-4   02/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTY STRIPES Jan15         (hollendor)TORRES A 117 8.00    
BUCKINGHAM PRINCE         (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 9% 9.70    
ALL IN SYNC Jan01         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.80 34% 2.00    
DRIFTER Jan09         (puh)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 10.00 7% 13.70    
BANJO BEAR         (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00    
BACK TO NORMAL Jan15         (maker mi)SANTANA JR 122 5.00 26% 2.80    
PRESSURE Jan15         (asmussen steven)VAZQUEZ A 119 3.50    
 
OP-5   02/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WISE KHOZAN Jan15         (puhl kim)PEREIRA TIAGO 123 20.00    
SALADO Jan01         (sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 3.50 8% 11.70    
NIP N TUCK Jan08         (villafranco fre)VAZQUEZ A 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
ERNIE BANKER Jan15         (broberg karl)COHEN DAVID 123 3.00 66% 0.50    
DARKNESS TREMBLES Jan13         (deville j)HIRALDO JOHN 120 15.00    
SCR  ALPINE GHOST Jan08         (haran john)HARR KELSI 123 20.00    
SCR  FAY DAN Jan16         (mcknight nor)MEDELLIN ERICK 116 10.00    
LATIN CASINO Jan08         (mcbride d)TOHILL S 123 20.00    
APPRAISAL Jan15         (lukas wayn)CONTRERAS LUIS 123 5.00    
10  BEER CHASER Jan08         (anderson doug)CANCHARI ALEX 123 4.00    
 
OP-6   02/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($84K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHTNING HART Jan07         (dixon tim)HARR KELSI 120 15.00    
HAMAZING DEBATE Jan07         (gonzalez n)BOREL H 120 15.00    
CATCH A WHIFF         (barkley jaso)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 3.00 20% 4.00    
CHOCTAW CHARLIE Jan28         (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 4.50 27% 2.80    
ONE WAY OR ANOTHER         (morse l)HIRALDO JOHN 115 20.00    
EPWORTH Jan28         (morse randy )MEDELLIN ERICK 118 20.00    
PATTERN BET Jan07         (moquett ronal)CABRERA DAVID 120 2.00 31% 2.30    
SWEETNESS TO Jan02         (westermann l)WALES T 125 20.00    
RUN FEARLESS Jan28 Jan02       (fires h)COURT K 125 5.00    
10  TWENTYTWENTYREDO Jan29 Jan07       (creighton)DE CRUZ 120 30.00    
 
OP-7   02/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIXIE PENNY Jan23         (smith ke)SANTANA JR 123 15.00    
BITTER VIXEN Jan15         (mcpeek kennet)PEREIRA TIAGO 123 8.00    
SCR  A PAYCHEQUE SMILE Jan07         (amescua r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.50    
STARRGARITA         (prather j)TORRES A 118 20.00 6% 14.60    
CHASING SHADOWS         (mcknight norman)VAZQUEZ A 123 10.00    
MEGAN'S CLARA         (garcia genaro)CABRERA DAVID 123 4.50 30% 2.30    
SUPER WONDER GIRL Jan23         (williamson bri)HIRALDO JOHN 118 6.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  FULLY AWARE         (hol)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 123 8.00 20% 4.10    
ITSY BITSY BETTY Jan08         (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 125 6.00    
10  FORTUNA ADIUVAT         (lukas wayne)WALES T 123 8.00    
11  STANLEY MARKET Jan07         (morse l)COURT K 118 10.00    
12  LITTLE BIRD FLASH Jan23         (puhl kim)LOPEZ ALBERT 116 20.00    
 
OP-8   02/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELUSIVE TARGET Jan14         (asm)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 114 12.00    
CHARTER OAK Jan14         (vance david )CONTRERAS LUIS 119 12.00    
WICKED GENIUS Jan14         (mcpeek kennet)CABRERA DAVID 119 8.00 17% 4.80    
BAROSSA         (brisset rodolp)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 6% 16.30    
CAN'T BEAT ME Jan01         (westermann r)MEDELLIN ERICK 112 20.00    
LONG CROW Jan16         (asmussen)SANTANA JR 122 8.00    
RUGGS Jan01         (moquett r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 116 8.00    
WE ALL SEE IT         (kenneally eddie)COHEN DAVID 119 4.00 42% 1.40    
ZOZOS Jan23         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 11% 7.80    
10  BUREAU Jan01         (moquett ronald )VAZQUEZ A 119 10.00    
11  VODKA N WATER Jan14         (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 112 12.00    
 
OP-9   02/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($84K) 3 F PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MADELYN'S MAGIC Jan23         (jones larry)HARR KELSI 121 12.00    
SWEET BEAUTY Jan14         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 8.00    
FAITH'S REWARD Jan14         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 121 6.00    
ICE ORCHID Jan14         (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 121 2.50 18% 4.70    
STAR TABLE Jan14         (combs ben)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 12.00    
SWAP SHOP Jan14         (jones larry)QUINONEZ S 121 6.00    
RUN THE TAP         (mcpeek kenneth )COHEN DAVID 121 10.00 11% 8.50    
SCR  EMITYAAZ Jan30         (puhl kim)DE CRUZ 121 20.00 6% 16.00    
FAST AND FEMININE Jan07         (snipes randy)LOPEZ E 121 30.00    
10  DUNVEGAN DOLL         (mcpeek kennet)CABRERA DAVID 121 5.00 17% 4.80    
11  OPENING NIGHT         (moquett ronald )VAZQUEZ A 121 4.00 28% 2.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.