Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Friday - February 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   02/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25.2K) 45 ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOKIN FOR JUSTICE Jan23         (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 126 5.00    
TRANSFER THE FUNDS Jan23         (buckley rick)RUIZ JORGE 126 3.00 14% 5.90    
CLEVER BOB Jan30         (valvo zoe)ARAUJO DENIS 126 20.00    
ONE MOST WANTED Jan23         (dilodovic)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 2.50 39% 1.50    
CAPTAIN CARDO Jan20         (keefe timothy )ROSADO JOHAN 126 4.50 17% 4.80    
ALBERTANO Jan20         (mcmahon tho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 5.00    
SPRITZER Jan23 Jan16       (kee j)ACOSTA D 126 6.00    
 
LRL-2   02/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.6K) 4UP M/F PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMAGINE VICTORY Jan02         (pickett )BUTTERFLY L 115 8.00 8% 10.90    
BETCHA BY GOLLY Jan22 Jan02       (garibay andres)ROSADO JOHAN 126 5.00 15% 5.70    
MARKETABILITY Jan02         (nazario pedro)CEDENO CAROL 122 4.00 24% 3.10    
UNSHAKABLE U Jan02         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 1.60    
HASHTAG LUCKY Jan16 Jan02       (sanchez-salom)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 2.50 16% 5.40    
SALAMINA         (juarez calixto)JUAREZ NIK 126 15.00    
OFFLEE GRAYSFUL Jan27 Jan01       (ovando melvin)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 30.00 8% 12.20    
 
LRL-3   02/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($37.8K) 3 ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CACHIRULO Jan02         (cash l)CRUZ ANGEL 124 5.00    
KIAWAH ISLAND Jan23         (pecoraro anthony)ACOSTA D 124 12.00    
MAKE THE WAY CLEAR Jan16         (parram d)BUTTERFLY L 117 5.00 11% 8.30    
NIGHT BOSS Jan16         (roadca)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 12.00    
SPEED DIALER         (ovando melvin)TREJOS JOSEPH 124 30.00    
MERCURY TEN Jan16         (shuman mark)CEDENO CAROL 124 8.00 30% 2.30    
ROOKIEOFTHEYEAR Jan02         (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 124 0.60 33% 2.00    
 
LRL-4   02/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($33.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
O K GAME ON         (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 118 6.00 13% 6.70    
ROUGH SEA Jan23         (tessore bruno)ACOSTA D 123 4.50    
MY MAN POTS N PANS Jan23         (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 126 10.00 9% 10.60    
SPOTTED BULL Jan22         (pradenas serg)KARAMANOS A 123 20.00    
HALITE Jan23         (magee ki)BUTTERFLY L 119 3.50 23% 3.40    
VISUAL ARTIST Jan28 Jan17 Jan01     (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 6.00    
SILENT MALICE Jan23         (sanchez-salom)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.00    
OTHER THINGS EQUAL         (ness j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 5.00 25% 2.90    
 
LRL-5   02/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($20.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEJOHN         (serey ma)BUTTERFLY L 119 4.00 20% 4.00    
EL EQUALIZER Jan21         (sanchez-sal)CORUJO LEONARDO 126 12.00    
STAND MY GROUND Jan21         (trujillo elvis)HESS SARA 116 30.00 8% 11.00    
JUST PICK ONE Jan21         (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 126 20.00 9% 10.10    
LIFESPAN Jan20         (corrales jose)MONTERREY R 126 2.50    
CRYING FOR MORE         (capuano dale)ALVELO C 121 1.80    
KING SHAWN Jan20         (demario charles)GARCIA LUIS 126 15.00    
BALTIMORE BUD Jan20         (andreadakis geor)ACOSTA D 126 20.00    
TRADITION Jan21         (sanchez-salomo)ARAUJO DENIS 126 5.00 36% 1.80    
 
LRL-6   02/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAMEITONTHEFUN Jan21         (barr d)ENRIQUEZ JR 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
KEEN ON YOU         (mcmahon hu)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 10.00 13% 6.90    
SHANGHAI CANDY Jan16         (mancilla carl)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 12.00    
GARITOFF Jan16         (salazar marco)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
ICY MINISTER Jan22         (smith hamilton)ARAUJO DENIS 124 6.00    
PIT STOP MAN Jan13         (allard edward )BOYCE FOREST 124 1.60 29% 2.40    
VIRGINIA FULLA Jan22 Jan16       (cooney s)BUTTERFLY L 117 15.00    
AUKSINE KULKA Jan16         (aguirre antho)ALVELO C 119 8.00 15% 5.70    
MONEY CODE Jan13         (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 124 3.00 18% 4.60    
 
LRL-7   02/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($48K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CANOODLE Jan02         (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
MARVELLA NASTY Jan22 Jan02       (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 1.80 47% 1.10    
RESPONSE TIME Jan28 Jan02       (smith hamilton)ARAUJO DENIS 123 4.50 8% 11.80    
MOONSAFE Jan14         (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 126 5.00 6% 15.80    
MATTITUDE         (bailes robert)MONTERREY R 123 6.00    
MIT MAZEL Jan16         (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 126 3.50 12% 7.40    
MAGICAL LUNA Jan02         (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 118 12.00    
SCR  BRANDYURAFINEGIRL Jan14         (jones )ENRIQUEZ JR 116 30.00    
 
LRL-8   02/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($67.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REDEEM EDDIE         (simoff andrew)ACOSTA D 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
BORRACHO Jan21         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 1.80    
BOBBY G Jan21         (mohan da)BUTTERFLY L 116 15.00    
KADRI Jan08 Jan01       (cash norm)CARRASCO R 126 3.50 46% 1.20    
WHISKEY AND YOU Jan21         (peacock m)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 6.00    
ARTHUR'S HOPE Jan21         (salazar marco)BOYCE FOREST 123 5.00    
 
LRL-9   02/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($46.8K) 3 ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESPRESSO LUNGO Jan22         (salazar marco)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
MOCEPHUS Jan20         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 124 6.00    
SCR  MONEY ROOM Jan23         (bracciale v)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 3.50    
WHENIGETTOHEAVEN Jan21         (trombetta micha)GARCIA LUIS 124 5.00    
MUST BE LOVE Jan23         (capuano dale)RUIZ JORGE 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  GOLDENIZE Jan20         (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 124 6.00 15% 5.60    
WE GOT LUCKY Jan20         (delgado p)DELGADO A 124 20.00    
SCINTILLIO         (keefe timothy)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 6.00 8% 12.10    
FULL OF MISCHIEF         (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 124 15.00    
 
LRL-10   02/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($20.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAY THE KID Jan28 Jan02       (sanchez-salomon )ACOSTA D 126 10.00    
MUCHACHO MACHO Jan22 Jan04       (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 8.00    
STRAIGHT UP GUY Jan22         (sillaman richa)BOYCE FOREST 126 4.50 14% 6.10    
FORE ON SEVEN Jan28         (gorham)ENRIQUEZ JR 119 15.00    
VOLTAMOUR Jan22         (magee kieron)ALVELO C 121 3.00 8% 10.90    
COX'S LEDGE         (englehart)CARRASCO R 126 6.00    
SCR  SHOULDA HAD IT Jan28         (albert l)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 15.00 7% 13.80    
YOWZA YOWZA YOWZA Jan22         (shuman mark)CEDENO CAROL 126 12.00    
PAINT MUSIC FOR ME Jan21         (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 4.00 46% 1.20    
10  ALPHA QUEUE Jan28 Jan01       (dove kev)BUTTERFLY L 119 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.