Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sam Houston Park
Friday - February 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HOU-1   02/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3 ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LINC'S BOY Jan27 Jan15       (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 122 3.00    
VALENTORO Jan07         (guzman adan)ALVAREZ L 122 15.00 13% 6.70    
ROCKED Jan27         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 2.00 23% 3.40    
WITT AMERICA Jan28         (barton aman)MELANCON JANSEN 122 12.00 12% 7.20    
TALK OF TEXAS Jan15         (davidson )TRIANA JR 122 4.00 13% 6.70    
TENQUE Jan27         (pish danny)SORENSON D 122 2.50 13% 6.70    
 
HOU-2   02/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCHOENHARDT Jan27         (carrizales ede)MORA GERARDO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
TACTICIAN         (gar)RODRIGUEZ ALBERTO 123 8.00 13% 6.60    
WITT'S TAQUITO Jan20         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 6.00    
TAPIT CITY         (mcdaniel sher)LARA EZEQUIEL 123 4.50    
BIG POWER RED Jan14         (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 123 1.20 38% 1.60    
HE'S PRETTY LUCKY Jan20 Jan06       (hurley rena)MONTALVO C 123 2.50 17% 5.00    
 
HOU-3   02/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER AND GOLD Jan30         (jacks karen)HAMILTON WESTON 123 8.00    
TEXAN BOY Jan30 Jan06       (kota)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 6.00    
TEXAS PRADO         (pish danny)SORENSON D 123 3.00 49% 1.00    
RUNNING JESSE Jan30 Jan13       (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 3.50    
PROUD TO SERVE Jan21         (carrizales )MELANCON JANSEN 123 30.00    
GUERO DINERO Feb04         (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 123 15.00    
SCR  FIRST BUMP RIDGE Feb04 Jan21 Jan07     (kotara ronald)SANCHEZ M 123 4.50    
A HUNK OF HEAVEN Jan21         (baldillez alej)LUZZI J 123 15.00    
MUCHO BLING Jan21         (y)DE CRUZ 123 8.00    
10  TENACIOUS LION         (lucarelli)TRIANA JR 123 20.00    
11  OH SNAP         (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 123 15.00 24% 3.10    
 
HOU-4   02/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PICK UP THE FONE Jan20 Jan06       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 8.00    
SHE B GLAMOROUS Jan15         (villafran)TRIANA JR 119 6.00 14% 6.10    
SEE WHAT'S WHAT Jan06         (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 4.00 18% 4.50    
HIGH CLASS EURO Jan28         (williams steve)LANDEROS C 119 12.00    
MUSICAL MILLIE Jan28 Jan15       (cravens ronn)ALVAREZ L 119 2.50 15% 5.80    
FIRST EMPRESS Jan28 Jan21       (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 1.40 28% 2.50    
 
HOU-5   02/11/2022 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($38K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPREME CAPO         (echeverria hecto)MONTALVO C 119 15.00    
MEN OF KYLE Jan22         (duhon paul)ALVAREZ L 119 4.00 16% 5.30    
LET'S GO ALAMO Jan22         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 119 3.50 46% 1.20    
J C'S NIGHTCAP         (willis mi)TRIANA JR 119 4.50 14% 6.30    
DR. BOEHRER         (dodson )GONCALVES R 119 30.00    
BOBBY BRINKLEY         (lucarelli fra)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 15.00    
SCR  K C TIZ MORO Jan08         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 10.00    
HUNTSINGER         (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 119 8.00    
ARYESCELESTIC MAN Jan28 Jan20       (g)DE CRUZ 119 8.00    
10  AFFLUENT GENTLEMAN Jan08         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 5.00    
 
HOU-6   02/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT-10:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THATSALOTOFBLING Jan22 Jan07       (barton amand)PIVARAL GERBER 123 6.00 19% 4.30    
1A  WITT'S TENNY TEN Jan22         (barton aman)MELANCON JANSEN 123 6.00    
MISSISZIPPY BLING         (diodoro r)TRIANA JR 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SALTAMONTES DIVA Jan14         (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 4.50 46% 1.20    
DUST A FLYING Jan07         (calhoun wi)ERAMIA E 123 8.00    
TEXAS WHIRLWIND Jan07         (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 123 12.00    
COSMETOLOGY Jan22         (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 123 15.00    
BEBOP BABY Jan22 Jan07       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 20.00    
TAKE CHARGE WOMAN Jan22 Jan07       (villafranco)WETHEY JR 123 3.00    
DAVID'S DREAM GIRL         (uriegas henr)ALVAREZ L 123 15.00    
10  MISS CARMEN Jan22 Jan07       (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 12.00    
11  DIXIE CARROUSEL         (gustafson aus)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 4.00    
 
HOU-7   02/11/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT-10:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE MARK Jan30         (milligan a)ERAMIA E 123 15.00    
DARYLSLITTLEDIABLO Jan30         (castellanos jaim)MONTALVO C 123 5.00 42% 1.40    
BONHAM Jan28         (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 123 6.00    
BIG ONE         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 12.00    
MR B QUIET         (gustafson aus)EIKLEBERRY RY 115 6.00 8% 12.10    
FANDO Jan30         (uriegas henr)ALVAREZ L 123 5.00 15% 5.80    
TRULY DANZIG         (willis mi)TRIANA JR 123 4.00 6% 16.80    
COWBOY RIDGE Jan06         (kota)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.50 7% 12.40    
PHARME'S PHAITH Jan29         (jacks e)DIEGO V 123 20.00    
10  GHOST COWBOY Jan15         (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 115 12.00    
 
HOU-8   02/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 35 ALL PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICKSLINCOLNLAWYER Jan15         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 8.00 11% 7.80    
RED WITT AND BLUE Jan30         (barton aman)MELANCON JANSEN 115 20.00    
STANS HOME RUN Jan27 Jan07       (gustafson aus)EIKLEBERRY RY 115 2.00 34% 1.90    
INFINITE JETSETTER Jan28 Jan15       (roberts j)STEINBERG GARRETT 123 3.00    
FLY'N SEXY         (c)DE CRUZ 123 30.00    
FEARLESS PRINCE Jan28 Jan13       (castellanos ja)MORA GERARDO 123 4.50    
RICHARD'S TX BLING Jan27 Jan07       (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 115 15.00 5% 18.60    
REGAL PRIZE Jan20 Jan15       (payne w)DIEGO V 115 30.00    
CLAIMJUMPER Jan15         (villafranco)HAMILTON WESTON 123 6.00 22% 3.60    
10  RUNNIN THE RED         (fullerton kris)LANDEROS C 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
HOU-9   02/11/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3 ALL PT-11:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARE TO BE WILD Jan13         (clary jaylan)LUZZI J 122 15.00    
VIENNA PRIZE Jan15         (offolter jo)HAMILTON WESTON 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LITTLE SOLDIER BOY         (pruitt jo)TRIANA JR 122 20.00    
SIDE BAR (IRE)         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 8.00 9% 10.80    
GOLDBRIDGE         (fullerton kris)MONTALVO C 122 12.00    
SCR  MAN IN THE MIDDLE         (c)DE CRUZ 122 50.00    
MALIBU CHANNEL Jan15         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 12.00    
BRUCELEA Jan15         (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 10.00    
RONIC         (ashford)GONCALVES R 122 3.50 13% 6.70    
10  BIG BERNIE Jan15         (willis mindy)DIEGO V 122 1.40 53% 0.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.