Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Friday - February 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   02/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3 ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REGAL HOLIDAY Jan22         (dye steven)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 21% 3.70    
DANLEY Jan27         (lutchman padarath)MARAGH A 120 10.00    
INNER WAVE         (pita daniel)REYES LEONEL 120 12.00    
SLOE GIN BIZ Jan27 Jan13       (gonzalez claudi)HOLMES GAGE 110 3.50 15% 5.50    
GREEN DOT BRAH         (rodriguez m)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
CANAAN Jan12         (lightner micha)RIOS M 120 8.00    
SCR  MINISTER QUINN         (gazader dan)CALLES FRANKLIN 113 20.00    
INDEED INDEED         (olivares lui)MENESES MARCOS 120 30.00    
U U STAR Jan27         (spatz )VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
10  LICHTMAN Feb04         (gutierrez fa)MORELOS E 120 15.00    
 
GP-2   02/11/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($54K) 3 F PT-12:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE IDENTITY Jan22         (plesa edward)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.00 18% 4.40    
RUNAWAY BREEZE Jan26 Jan12 Jan02     (rice kevin)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00    
FIRENSPICE Jan12         (davis chris)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00    
SHOOTLIKEAGIRL Jan19         (casse )VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 3.50 44% 1.30    
GOLDEN ISLE Jan21 Jan06       (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
POIEMA Jan27 Jan12       (bates larry)PANICI LUCA 120 4.50    
DONYA KNOW IT         (tomlinson mich)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 13% 6.80    
 
GP-3   02/11/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($43K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUNKER HILL         (toner j)JARAMILLO E 122 3.50 14% 6.20    
SCR  AMERICAN TRYST Jan09         (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50    
RIGHTEOUS ROY         (hiles a)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  FUSION JAZZ         (sanche)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00    
BIG ART Jan07         (cazares laura)REYES LEONEL 122 5.00    
MAGICAL MARRIAGE         (mcburney pat)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
STARLITE WALKER Jan12         (fawkes david)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00 20% 3.90    
 
GP-4   02/11/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DADDY'S JOY Jan14         (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50 30% 2.40    
PRETZEL Feb02         (sano antonio)REYES LEONEL 122 15.00    
QUEEN CALYPSO Jan30         (delgado gustav)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
AMERICAN TAP Jan28         (cas)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 1.80    
FAST VENEZUELA Jan14         (klesaris ste)ARROYO S 120 15.00    
RED WIND Jan14         (sano antoni)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.50 19% 4.20    
MY MASTERPIECE Feb02 Jan06       (fuentes mauri)FUENTES MARIO 120 15.00    
MOONROCK Jan14         (gonzal)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 8.00    
 
GP-5   02/11/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($37K) 3 F PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIGNIFIED Jan26         (pinchin jose)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 12.00    
SEABROOK SUMMER Jan16         (o'conn)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 15.00    
HATARI Jan01         (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 34% 1.90    
VEXEDNRELAXED Jan14         (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 7% 12.80    
BRAVO ZULU Jan26 Jan02       (lee f)JARAMILLO E 118 6.00    
EISWEIN         (danner)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00    
NO NANNETTE NO         (belsoeur )WILSON JAYNE 118 15.00    
THATAINT TOOSHABBY         (casse mark)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 4.50 7% 14.20    
UKIYO         (danner kels)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00    
10  MANDY GREEN Jan23         (hennig mark)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 31% 2.30    
11  CINDY'S SONG         (nicks ralp)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
 
GP-6   02/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  POSEIDON'S SON Jan21         (negrete javier)RAMIREZ R 120 8.00    
KING D         (cricht)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 12.00    
SCR  LORD JAXSTON Jan23         (hills )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 4.50    
CANTANKEROUS CAT         (dini mike)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 5.00    
KLUGMAN Jan07         (ple)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 2.50 53% 0.90    
AGARRAMESIPUEDES         (duco luis)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00 23% 3.40    
CRY MACHO Jan23         (londono odin)MORELOS E 120 20.00    
THE MAR         (nunez eduardo)RIOS M 120 20.00    
 
GP-7   02/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHALL RETURN Jan01         (bennett gera)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 5.00    
WEDONTBELIEVEHER         (avila ca)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
LAWN DART Feb02         (brooks gerald )ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
TUNSTALL         (viands greg)CALLES FRANKLIN 113 20.00    
TREVESS Jan20         (cazares laura)REYES LEONEL 122 1.20 42% 1.40    
MIDSHIP LADY Jan16 Jan02       (londono odin)MORELOS E 120 20.00    
SAMMY'S TOWN Jan06         (lutchman padar)MARAGH RAJIV 120 10.00    
DESIGNED BY KITTEN Jan14 Jan06       (swe)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 3.50 30% 2.40    
 
GP-8   02/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($54K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALECKA STAR         (yates )VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 4.00 12% 7.00    
ROMANTIC TALE         (pinnock hubert)PANICI LUCA 120 12.00    
CHEVELITA         (hess b)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.50    
AMERICAN OF COURSE Jan14         (o'connell )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
FOXY LADY Jan14         (spatz ronald )ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
SPANISH DELIGHT Jan09         (lorito mario)RIOS M 120 20.00    
DOMINEER Jan14         (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 19% 4.20    
KOZY DREAMS Jan14         (garoffalo jose)REYES LEONEL 120 12.00 5% 17.70    
PATRICK'S LASS Jan06         (rodriguez an)MENESES MARCOS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
GP-9   02/11/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EAGLE CHIEF Jan07         (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.40 32% 2.10    
SCR  THE ZIP FACTOR Jan16         (cibelli jan)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 15.00    
TRUPIA Jan07         (duarte jorge)MORELOS E 122 5.00    
EL PECADO Jan19         (mos)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 4.50 29% 2.50    
AMERICAN GREAT         (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00 13% 6.40    
SONIC SPEED Jan09         (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 122 12.00    
RAVE ON Jan07         (winebaugh ch)ARROYO S 122 12.00    
SIR TERRE Jan15         (amaya gustav)MENESES MARCOS 122 15.00    
ROGER THAT B         (arias d)RIOS M 122 50.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.