Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Thursday - February 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   02/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 45 M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SWEET BABY SHAE         (echeverria he)LARA EZEQUIEL 123 15.00 ★    
2  MY RACING HEART Jan29 Jan14       (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 3.00 11% 7.70    
3  PHARME'S PHINALE Jan14         (jacks e)DIEGO V 123 10.00    
4  BAILEY ANN         (p)GARCIA-ALFARO AROLD 123 4.50 ★    
5  WOO HOO Jan29 Jan14       (rossi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 1.60 61% 0.60    
6  WHY KENZLY Jan29         (mitchell billy)HUGHES CARLY 118 20.00    
7  AMANTE DE SARA Jan29         (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.00 ★    
 
HOU-2   02/10/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AGENT MCGEE Jan21         (offolter j)ERAMIA E 119 2.50 20% 3.90    
SCR  SUPER BRADY         (duhon paul)DIEGO V 119 1.40 31% 2.20    
3  FIFTYSHADESOPURPLE Jan28         (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 119 20.00    
4  TOUGH CHARLIE         (thomas lee)WETHEY JR 119 4.00 26% 2.90    
5  FRESH ONE Jan21         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 12.00 ★    
6  COMMON KNOWLEDGE Jan13         (tracy)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 10.00    
7  BEAUTY BOY Jan21 Jan14       (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 6.00 ★    
 
HOU-3   02/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3 ALL PT- 5:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  KING WITT Jan28         (barton amand)PIVARAL GERBER 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WITTS SHOWTIME         (barton amanda)HUGHES CARLY 117 15.00 ★    
2  AUTOCRATIC         (ashford)GONCALVES R 122 2.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  ROCKED Jan27         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 3.50 5% 18.00    
4  NORTHERN ORBIT Jan15         (pruitt m)SANCHEZ OBED 122 6.00    
5  LAB RAT Jan28 Jan13       (davidson )TRIANA JR 122 3.00 27% 2.80    
6  ARBUCKLE OUTLAW         (padilla a)MONTALVO C 122 8.00    
7  KNIGHT AT THE ROXY Jan08         (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  BIG BAD DON Jan30         (pish dann)STEINBERG GARRETT 122 10.00    
 
HOU-4   02/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLD TRAFFORD Jan15         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 1.80 44% 1.30    
SCR  GOOD SCOUT Jan15         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 1.80 ★    
SCR  UPGRADE ME Jan08         (ewing e)SANCHEZ OBED 114 30.00 ★    
3  CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH Jan22         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 119 4.00 11% 8.40    
4  DECLINED Jan22 Jan07       (davidson m )HAMILTON WESTON 123 3.50 ★    
5  TIZ ALLUPTOME NOW Jan20         (bustamante r)VERA T 119 20.00    
6  POMEROY HAZE Jan07         (gustafson aus)EIKLEBERRY RY 121 3.00 19% 4.10    
7  D C HERO         (villafranco mart)MONTALVO C 119 6.00    
 
HOU-5   02/10/2022 3300ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 45 ALL PT- 6:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAHMS BOY Jan27         (stevens w)STEINBERG GARRETT 123 20.00    
2  WHEELS         (broberg ka)ERAMIA E 123 4.50    
3  WILTON Jan29 Jan07       (cravens ronn)ALVAREZ L 123 8.00 16% 5.20    
4  HOOVES YOUR DADDY Jan22         (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 10.00    
5  LONESTAR CHROME Jan08         (williams steve)HUGHES CARLY 118 20.00 ★    
6  LULOS Jan22         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.00 36% 1.80    
7  SILVER WINGS Jan22         (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 6.00 ★    
8  HARD CANDY Jan22         (garza roy)DIEGO V 123 3.00 25% 2.90    
9  TIZ STRONG         (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 15.00    
10  SKY WATCH         (uba)RODRIGUEZ ALBERTO 123 50.00    
 
HOU-6   02/10/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIOLIN MAKER Jan07         (lucarelli)TRIANA JR 123 2.50 17% 5.00    
2  WICKED REBEL Jan06         (hurle)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 12.00 ★    
3  KINGSTEN'S GOLD         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.80 9% 9.70    
4  RUNAWAY TRACY Jan07         (scholl kev)ERAMIA E 123 8.00 ★    
5  SMACK ATTACK         (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 10.00    
6  REALLY SLOW Jan14         (stuart clinto)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 4.50 41% 1.40    
SCR  MISTY'S FOOL         (williams steve)HUGHES CARLY 118 10.00    
8  RESOLVE NOW         (eoff terry)LUZZI J 123 15.00    
 
HOU-7   02/10/2022 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($38K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIKARA         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 3.50 10% 8.70    
1A  FACTUAL Jan20         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 121 3.50 ★    
2  TIZ MAGIC         (jacks e)DIEGO V 119 4.00 ★    
3  LACEY BOSS Jan14         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 20.00    
4  MAGICAL SOUL Jan13         (stuart )GONCALVES R 119 6.00 ★    
5  SHACKLELACKALACKA Jan27         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 12.00    
6  SWEET ADELINE Jan15         (baldillez alejand)PEREZ E 119 15.00    
7  LADY GWEN Jan30         (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 119 4.50 ★    
8  QUICK QUICK QUICK Jan20         (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 119 2.50 65% 0.50    
 
HOU-8   02/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 45 ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GENOMIC         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 4.50    
2  FINAL NARRATIVE Jan27         (pish dann)STEINBERG GARRETT 123 10.00 8% 12.10    
3  ULTRA SPECIAL Jan08         (padilla carlo)LARA EZEQUIEL 123 2.00    
4  MR L B J Jan28 Jan06       (pruitt jo)TRIANA JR 123 15.00    
5  DELIRIUM         (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 3.00 32% 2.20    
6  HIGHTAIL COWBOY         (ste)RODRIGUEZ ALBERTO 123 15.00 8% 12.10    
7  HE'S A PRINCE Jan08         (padilla car)HAMILTON WESTON 123 3.50 19% 4.20    
8  LOUISIANA BLING         (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 123 30.00    
9  PURLOINER         (george wayne)LANDEROS C 123 50.00 5% 17.20    
 
HOU-9   02/10/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3 F PT- 8:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASHMERE DANCER         (willis mi)TRIANA JR 122 12.00    
2  SAGANAKI         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  AUSTIN CITY GIRL         (ashford r)HAMILTON WESTON 122 8.00    
4  LUCK IS FICKLE         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  SO FULLY SUE         (hebert matt)MORA GERARDO 122 12.00 7% 13.70    
6  GIRLS GOT GAME         (jacks e)DIEGO V 122 4.50    
7  EILEEN GRAY         (mckeever andre)LUZZI J 122 3.50 13% 6.80    
SCR  AMERICAN SWAY Jan15         (pish danny)ALVAREZ L 122 15.00    
9  CHA         (stuart )GONCALVES R 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  REUNIFICATION         (gustafson aus)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.