Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Wednesday - February 09, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   02/09/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKY OF DREAMS Jan19         (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 124 1.60 53% 0.90    
SCR  TAK E LADY         (stites p)CHIAPPE R 124 2.00 21% 3.70    
OUR SWEET PEA Jan19         (saville niall)CONNER TYLER 124 8.00    
SCR  PRIME COAT         (stites william )WHITNEY G 124 4.00    
SAW Jan28         (hillegass alexandr)FLORES E 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
LIGHTNING ROUND         (valdez mo)RODRIGUEZ R 124 5.00    
 
PEN-2   02/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANK ROLLIN         (zalalas michael)CORA D 124 6.00    
RIDGELYSREDHOT         (oliva robert)BERRIOS C 124 5.00 14% 5.90    
CHECOTAH Jan12         (lake a)WHITNEY G 124 1.40    
DISCO PARTY Jan07         (sells rache)CAMILO D 124 30.00    
MONACO PRINCESS Jan04         (rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
FAIRY DUST Jan07         (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.80 50% 1.00    
 
PEN-3   02/09/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3 ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLACKJACK HUNCHO         (kravets m)OTERO P 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SANTIAGO SALSA         (mileni nick)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00    
REBEL RULER         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00    
BONEYARDHOLLER Jan27         (levine bruce)CORA D 122 2.50 38% 1.70    
CALM DOWN         (mileni ni)HERNANDEZ A 122 12.00    
YANKEE JOE         (chircop steven)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 23% 3.40    
VICTORY IS OURS         (rodriguez migue)BEATO INOEL 122 3.50 6% 14.50    
MIDNIGHT ROYALE         (nunley randy)FLORES E 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
COMPACT Jan28         (beattie sandee )WHITNEY G 122 12.00    
10  SMARTY BROWN         (kulp brando)INIRIO J 122 10.00    
 
PEN-4   02/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ PROMISING RVF Jan07         (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 124 6.00    
AMIGOS TUNE Jan07         (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 124 1.40 26% 2.90    
GROTON ST SCOUT Jan12         (martinez a)AGUILAR M 124 6.00 14% 6.00    
LUNA AZTECA Jan12         (pessanha ne)INIRIO J 124 10.00 9% 10.30    
MAGALIE Jan04         (ferreira fer)BERRIOS C 124 20.00    
BECCA'S WISH Jan25 Jan04       (huertas n)VARGAS L 124 1.50 29% 2.50    
 
PEN-5   02/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINDY GLO SAL Jan19         (stites w)AGUILAR M 124 3.00    
SISTER SADIE Jan14         (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 6.00    
KATESALUCKYGIRL Jan14         (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
ROSES FROM HEAVEN Jan14         (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00    
SCR  NOW PRAMELA Feb08 Jan26 Jan07     (valdez mois)CAMILO D 122 10.00    
HOLLYWOOD GINA         (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 2.00 30% 2.30    
 
PEN-6   02/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALCULATED THINKIN         (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 40% 1.50    
YES IT'S ROO Jan14         (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50    
HEY CONGRATS Jan12         (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 21% 3.80    
KITTEN'S MAN         (velez irving)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 6.00    
READY AND RICH Jan12         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 118 3.50    
KITTEN'S SOLUTION Jan12 Jan04       (chircop steven)WHITNEY G 120 6.00    
 
PEN-7   02/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KATY THE CAT         (kravets m)OTERO P 120 4.00    
LAVELLO         (cifarelli fr)VILLEGAS JERRY 118 12.00    
SCR  ALLURE FORTUNE Jan02         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 3.00 19% 4.30    
GAVIE         (mcclellan c)FLORES E 120 3.50 8% 11.40    
KIRBY Jan19         (morris kenton)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 5.00 26% 2.90    
HONORABLE LILLY Jan14         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 26% 2.80    
 
PEN-8   02/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPABLE Jan19         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 13% 6.50    
BETTER YET Jan12         (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 124 4.00    
IL MIO AMORE Jan12         (sells rac)VARGAS L 122 8.00    
SCR  RAISETONEW HEIGHTS Feb08 Jan04       (fields kevin)CORA D 122 6.00    
INTOXICOLOGIST Jan19         (rogers micha)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00    
COLOR FORCE Jan28 Jan12 Jan04     (salinas jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
INTROSPECTION         (kravets m)OTERO P 122 2.00 52% 0.90    
 
PEN-9   02/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOUSE IMPEACHMENT Jan25         (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
MY MAGICAL MAN Jan25         (carpio erin)CORA D 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  PAULINO Jan14         (carpio erin)AGUILAR M 124 3.00    
DON TATTO Jan11         (bobadilla j )BERRIOS C 124 10.00    
NOTORIOUS REY         (o'hearn heather)BEATO INOEL 124 3.50    
MISTER ARANGUIZ Jan11         (bobadilla j)CAMILO D 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.