Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Tuesday - February 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   02/08/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NABRUZZI         (williams abdul)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
NOW PRAMELA Jan26 Jan07       (valdez moises)CAMILO D 122 8.00    
HAPPYCREST         (hillegass alexandra)FLORES E 122 2.00    
POSITIVE POWER         (gonzalez clau)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 1.50 38% 1.60    
SOCIAL EXCLUSION Jan14         (hillegass alex)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 8.00 13% 6.80    
 
PEN-2   02/08/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIA ANGELINA Jan14         (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 35% 1.90    
TEACHER DRAMA Jan14         (salinas jose)INIRIO J 120 15.00    
KITTEN'S PEEBLES Jan28         (moreno tito)OTERO P 120 4.00    
RAISETONEW HEIGHTS Jan04         (fields kevin)CORA D 122 3.00 8% 11.50    
BONITA LASSIE Jan14         (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 31% 2.20    
MERINO WOOL Jan14 Jan04       (rojas e)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00    
 
PEN-3   02/08/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ST. PADDY'S DADDY Jan19 Jan07       (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00    
JUSTINTHENICKOTIME         (rivera justin)BEATO INOEL 120 4.00 9% 10.40    
JOJOMAR Jan19         (kreiser timot)INIRIO J 120 3.50 21% 3.70    
ELUSIVE JESTER Jan26         (kulp l)WHITNEY G 124 3.00 20% 4.00    
MIAMI MUMBLES         (johnston rob)CORA D 120 5.00 26% 2.80    
LOXODROME         (maymo j)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00    
SUPER HOUDINI Jan25 Jan11       (moreno-barban )VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00    
PRATT Jan19 Jan07       (stites p)CHIAPPE R 122 12.00    
 
PEN-4   02/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3 ALL PT- 7:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEWS ITEM         (kravets m)OTERO P 122 3.50    
CHAIN REACTION Jan12         (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 122 2.50 14% 6.10    
LTL BEAR SALOON Jan12         (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 6.00    
SCR  CARPE SOGNO         (crook-demasi kathle)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 13% 6.70    
BUFF AND SHINE Jan04         (salvaggio michael)WHITNEY G 122 2.00 43% 1.30    
NAZARENO Feb01 Jan12       (carpio erin)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00    
 
PEN-5   02/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN THE BLUES AWAY Jan25         (jacavone j)LLOYD W 122 15.00    
FIRST LADY MAGGIE Jan25         (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.60 41% 1.40    
LIFE ON THE EDGE Jan28         (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 122 1.40 16% 5.30    
WAVERLY SUNSET         (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00 10% 8.70    
SCR  MARIE FROM PARIE         (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 15.00 7% 13.10    
GRACEYGAB Jan19 Jan04       (miller marl)VARGAS L 122 15.00 5% 18.70    
 
PEN-6   02/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOVIE SCORE Jan14         (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00    
WILL TAKE ROSES Jan14         (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00    
SCR  BIG CHEEKS         (mileni nick)CORA D 120 8.00    
SPIRIT OR SPITE         (harigeorgiou konsta)AGUILAR M 120 30.00    
DETERMINED LOVE Jan14         (mileni nick)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
ARCHER'S HALL Jan07         (woolley tim)OTERO P 122 4.00    
PRETTY EDGY Jan14         (sillaman richar)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 2.00 51% 1.00    
SNIFF Jan12         (huertas ni)DAVIS A 120 8.00 11% 7.80    
 
PEN-7   02/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POSSE CAN DISCO         (levine bruce)CORA D 122 1.80 52% 0.90    
ASHRAQ         (crook-demasi)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 20% 4.00    
SHADOW BOAT Jan11         (bobadilla f)BERRIOS C 120 15.00    
SCR  COOS BAY Jan25 Jan07       (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00    
JOHNY LIGHTNIN         (zalalas michael)AGUILAR M 120 4.00    
EXPENSIVE (CHI) Jan25         (krebs steven)CHIAPPE R 124 3.50    
 
PEN-8   02/08/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHNNY ICE         (stowers michelle)BAKER J 124 15.00    
GOLD FELLOW Jan11         (gonzalez)ENRIQUEZ JR 117 1.80 18% 4.50    
FLAHERTY Jan25         (o'callahan c)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 12.00    
TOUCH OF PRINCE Jan25 Jan11       (kreiser timot)INIRIO J 124 3.00 16% 5.20    
VATICAN MOON Jan25 Jan11       (kulp l)WHITNEY G 124 1.40 46% 1.20    
TASTY'S BULLSEYE Jan25         (mick r)FLORES E 124 12.00    
 
PEN-9   02/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IRON CLASH Jan25         (sinnefia paulina)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00    
METHODTOTHEMADNESS         (stites w)AGUILAR M 122 20.00    
ROYAL KAZ         (sinnefia paulina)OTERO P 122 2.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  AWESOME YET AGAIN Jan25         (johnston rob)CORA D 122 4.00 26% 2.90    
PHIL THE BANKER Jan25 Jan07       (hillegass ale)INIRIO J 122 5.00    
DREAMING OF LOVE Jan25 Jan07       (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 122 6.00    
GOTANDA Jan25 Jan09       (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 22% 3.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.