Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Saturday - February 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   02/05/2022 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUBCONSCIOUS         (mandella r)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.60 46% 1.20    
  (by TAPIT out of SWEET DREAMS by TRICK ME)
SNIPER KITTEN         (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 20.00 28% 2.60    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of CAT ON A TIN ROOF by CATIENUS)
COUNT AGAIN         (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50    
  (by AWESOME AGAIN out of COUNT TO THREE by RED RANSOM)
DELAWARE (GB) Jan01         (gallagher patrick)SMITH E 122 6.00    
  (by FRANKEL (GB) out of ZATSFINE (GB) by OASIS DREAM (GB))
READY SOUL         (d'amato phili)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SECRETARIAT'S SOUL (IRE) by SADLER'S WELLS)
HURRICANE CLOUD (GB)         (sadler john)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 5.00    
  (by FRANKEL out of GOOSELEY CHOPE by INDIAN ROCKET (GB))
 
SA-2   02/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($69K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VEGAN Jan30 Jan01       (glatt mark)HERRERA A 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
BIG SWEEP         (glatt mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.60 50% 1.00    
FOUNDER'S DAY         (hess b)CEDILLO ABEL 124 4.00 10% 8.60    
SHARAPOVA         (eurton peter)VELAZQUEZ R 124 1.80 14% 6.10    
DEL MAR DRAMA Jan16         (kruljac eric)FREY KYLE 124 2.50    
 
SA-3   02/05/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($69K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISCO BALL         (koriner br)VAN DRAYDEN 124 10.00    
SUMO (ARG)         (baffert bob)CEDILLO ABEL 124 6.00 14% 5.90    
TOUCHDOWN BROWN         (koriner brian)FREY KYLE 124 6.00    
NOBLE REFLECTION Jan17         (baltas richard)MALDONADO E 124 15.00    
SHAAZ         (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 124 0.80 31% 2.30    
CALIFORNIA STREET         (alvarado ru)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 5.00 28% 2.60    
MOTOWN MUSIC         (glatt mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00    
 
SA-4   02/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($26K) 3 ALL PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAULAS CAUSE         (aguayo vernon)ESPINOZA JUAN 115 30.00    
AWESOME RHYTHM         (pederson dean)FREY KYLE 122 5.00    
FORT BRIDGER Jan01         (hanson ryan)HERRERA A 117 1.80 61% 0.60    
BESAME MUCHO         (glatt mark)CEDILLO ABEL 122 4.00    
KING ROB Jan01         (papaprodromou geor)BAZE C 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
MR BUG Z         (knapp steve)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 112 20.00    
BIG EVENT Jan15         (periban jorge)VALDIVIA JR 122 12.00    
TAP UNION         (palma hector )CURATOLO RYAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
STATE OF THE UNION         (wong jonathan)PYFER JESSICA 122 6.00    
10  FORGOTTEN VOWS         (drysdale neil)MALDONADO E 120 12.00    
 
SA-5   02/05/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($69K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG FISH Jan15         (hofmans david)FREY KYLE 124 8.00    
NILES CHANNEL Jan16         (barocio li)VAN DRAYDEN 124 12.00    
CANE CREEK ROAD         (o'neill doug)CEDILLO ABEL 122 12.00    
SCR  LI MU BAI (IRE)         (baltas richard)ESPINOZA V 124 5.00    
ENCROACHMENT Jan14         (hanson ryan)SMITH E 122 8.00    
PRINCE ABAMA (IRE)         (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 54% 0.90    
ADARE         (drysdale neil)VELAZQUEZ R 122 12.00    
CARMELITA'S MAN         (pederson d)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00 13% 6.50    
GREGORY'S PRIDE         (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 3.00 8% 11.30    
 
SA-6   02/05/2022 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KALYPSO         (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 124 3.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of MALIBU COVE by MALIBU MOON)
CE CE         (mccarthy michael)ESPINOZA V 124 0.60 62% 0.60    
  (by ELUSIVE QUALITY out of MISS HOUDINI by BELONG TO ME)
MERNEITH Jan02         (baffert bob)MALDONADO E 122 3.50    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of FLATTERMEWITHROSES by FLATTER)
FULL OF GRACE Jan09         (saldana ree)HERRERA A 120 30.00 8% 12.30    
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of LA GLAMOROSA by FIRE SLAM)
PARK AVENUE Jan01         (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of REMARKABLE by RAHY)
 
SA-7   02/05/2022 4290ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASTERN OCEAN Jan02         (glatt mark)FREY KYLE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
WHOOPING JAY Jan15         (papaprodro)VAN DRAYDEN 124 10.00    
EXULTATION Jan02         (eurton peter)SMITH E 122 12.00 15% 5.70    
TIZ PLUS         (puype mike)BAZE C 124 10.00    
COULTHARD (IRE) Jan02         (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 29% 2.50    
COUNT OF AMAZONIA (IRE) Jan02         (baltas richard)ESPINOZA V 124 4.00 15% 5.60    
CREW DRAGON Jan02         (sadler john)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 12.00    
MUCHO DEL ORO Jan17         (cerin vlad)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
VANTASTIC         (eurton peter)VELAZQUEZ R 122 4.00 15% 5.50    
10  GREGDAR         (d'amato phili)CURATOLO RYAN 122 6.00    
SCR  GUILDSMAN (FR)         (falcone robert)CEDILLO ABEL 124 12.00    
 
SA-8   02/05/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISS TODAY GOODBYE         (kruljac eric)CEDILLO ABEL 120 15.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SAVVY HESTER by HEATSEEKER (IRE))
EXPRESS TRAIN         (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
  (by UNION RAGS out of I'M A FLAKE by MINESHAFT)
AMERICAN THEOREM Jan02         (papaprodromou geo)SMITH E 120 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of MIGHTY RENEE by MARIA'S MON)
EIGHT RINGS         (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 120 3.00 15% 5.60    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of PURELY HOT by PURE PRIZE)
SPIELBERG Jan14         (baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50    
  (by UNION RAGS out of MISS SQUEAL by SMART STRIKE)
LAW PROFESSOR         (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 21% 3.70    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of HAUNTED HEROINE by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
SA-9   02/05/2022 4290ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($69K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIKE THE WIND         (koriner br)VAN DRAYDEN 124 6.00    
JAZZ HANDS Jan09         (freeman edw)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 15.00    
HAIL FREEDOM Jan15         (o'neill doug)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00    
CRASH CORRIGAN Jan15         (ruiz loren)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 9% 10.10    
CHARGE CASH Jan09         (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 20.00    
DISCRETIONARY DAY         (bonde jeff)SMITH E 124 12.00    
BRIX Jan01         (baltas rich)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 3.50 7% 14.10    
MIDNIGHT SPECIAL         (hess b)VELAZQUEZ R 124 5.00    
10  IF ID TOLD YOU         (mandella gary)CEDILLO ABEL 124 12.00    
11  FLY TO MARS Jan16         (alvarado ru)HERRERA A 119 6.00 62% 0.60    
12  BANG FOR YOUR BUCK Jan09         (josephson b)ESPINOZA V 124 20.00    
13  DR. TROUTMAN         (uranga jesu)RAMIREZ RICARDO 117 15.00    
SCR  TALLEMARK         ( )TBA null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.