Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - February 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   02/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AVE FENIX Jan01         (mcgoey monic)BATISTA A 120 3.50 13% 7.00    
ADIOS BABY         (shaw joh)GALLARDO A 120 4.00 5% 17.90    
I'M A CUTIE Jan05         (bennett)DE CRUZ 120 1.80 36% 1.80    
ACACIAHELPME         (o'connor rober)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 20% 3.90    
SASSY CHARLEE         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 6.00    
PAPA DIAMANTE         (robinson earl)ARROYO MIGUEL 113 12.00 5% 17.90    
 
TAM-2   02/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.45K) 4UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JACK RABBIT QUICK Jan09 Jan01       (schistl rafae)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
BROADWAY PETE Jan05         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 3.00 17% 5.00    
SAVVY LAYLA Jan05         (bennett)DE CRUZ 119 3.50    
BLAKENSTEIN Jan05         (guciardo kathy)FERRER C 119 4.00    
LAST INVESTMENT         (hendry stac)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 5.00    
STRAIGHTOUTADUTTON         (russell randa)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 8.00 10% 9.40    
 
TAM-3   02/04/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($19.95K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISAIAS DREAM Jan22         (azpurua edua)BATISTA A 121 2.50 39% 1.60    
EMPHASIZE Jan09         (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 121 3.50    
HYPE MAN Jan21         (mazza joseph )VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 15.00    
SCR  G FRIDAY         (foley thom)ORDONEZ R 119 20.00    
MAGICAL ADVENTURE Jan09         (manning denni)MORALES PABLO 119 3.00    
CLEVER FELLOW Jan21         (carrascojr v)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 5.00 16% 5.30    
IN HONOR OF ARTIE         (dominguez luis)HENRY WESLEY 119 12.00    
SUNNY SAINT         (minieri j)HERRERA R 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
VAN Jan02         (albertrani t)GARCIA GEOVANY 119 6.00 16% 5.10    
 
TAM-4   02/04/2022 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORT'N ASONG Jan19 Jan01       (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 3.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  MR. WHO         (nunn douglas)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 12.00    
IT'S FATE Jan01         (morrow s)GALLARDO A 118 3.50    
THANK YOU Jan02         (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 118 6.00    
CANDY CRUSHEM Jan19         (russell randall)FERRER C 118 2.00 23% 3.30    
KIGER         (richards renal)CAMACHO SAMY 118 10.00    
UNCLE NED Jan08         (einho)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 6.00    
 
TAM-5   02/04/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($29K) 3 ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JUST SO YA KNOW Jan09         (ryan s)CASTANON L 118 15.00    
VLADISLAV Jan05         (avila ca)ALVARADO JR 118 12.00 13% 6.40    
HIGH STOCK Jan08         (motio)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 4.00    
BENS MALICE Jan08         (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 3.00 15% 5.90    
SHIMMERING LEROID Jan08         (mccarthy bre)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 20.00    
NIGHT JUMPER         (isbell dan)ALONSO LUIS 118 10.00 14% 6.10    
UNANIMOUS CONSENT (GB)         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.40 30% 2.30    
SCR  GRUMLEY Jan08         (bennett)DE CRUZ 118 6.00    
 
TAM-6   02/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THATS ALL SHEWROTE         (sasso l)CENTENO E 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
SARATOGA LULLABY Jan19         (wirth kenn)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 20.00 8% 11.40    
MILENITA         (mejia in)MORENO ANGEL 122 6.00 17% 4.90    
OSTARA         (dominguez luis)HENRY WESLEY 122 3.50    
AS IT SEEMS Jan14         (dominguez lui)ARROYO MIGUEL 115 20.00    
TEXAS MAGIC         (bordis robe)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 6.00    
SCR  STREAKING GREY Jan21         (boland sharon)PEREZ EDGAR 122 4.50    
LA LENA         (nunn douglas)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.50 12% 7.70    
 
TAM-7   02/04/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($29.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARAMEL CHIP         (me)SCALDAFERRI ROSANA 118 20.00    
GOOD GOVERNANCE (GB)         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.20    
PATRIOT DRIVE Jan15         (ward dennis)MORALES PABLO 118 8.00 5% 18.50    
SCR  DOUBLE DEMON         (barbazo)DE CRUZ 118 15.00    
WINNING FACTOR         (englehart je)BRIDGMOHAN X 118 4.00    
TWO STEPPIN KLUKI Jan15         (pimental j)URDANETA J 118 15.00    
AFRICAN HERITAGE         (mejia in)MORENO ANGEL 118 12.00    
OBIWAN         (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 118 10.00    
SCR  LORD BARNA Jan08         (o'connell kath)CASTANON L 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  DRIFTWOOD Jan15         (potts g)FERRER C 118 10.00    
SCR  GRAN RUNNER         (barboza victor )PEREZ EDGAR 118 4.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  MYSTIC LINK Jan01         (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 120 3.50 34% 2.00    
 
TAM-8   02/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 ALL PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THAT'S MY BOI TOY         (raymond rober)ARROYO MIGUEL 113 10.00    
SCR  ZIPPER ZAPPER         (boland sharon)PEREZ EDGAR 120 20.00    
DADASHEV Jan22         (lecesse michael)JUDE JOHN 120 15.00    
SWIFTWISH         (wilson tony)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 2.50 57% 0.70    
CINNAMONJAWBREAKER         (foley thomas )SANTOS ADEMAR 120 10.00    
ROCKY DICE Jan22         (raymond rob)MARIN A 120 3.50 12% 7.20    
STREET LAMP         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00    
MAGICAL WARRIOR         (granitz)DE CRUZ 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
EL FANTASMA         (boland sha)ALONSO LUIS 120 6.00    
 
TAM-9   02/04/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.95K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAMI'S ORCHID Jan26         (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 123 10.00    
REAL WILD SOLUTION         (einhorn skip)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 57% 0.70    
BIONDA SUPRISE Jan23         (schistl rafae)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 8.00    
SCR  IMINCOMUNICADO Jan07         (ryan de)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
DONTMESSWITHTESS Jan23         (allen lisa)ALLEN M 120 6.00    
FARCICAL         (aguayo ramon)ALVARADO JR 120 12.00    
UNEXPLAINABLE         (sweezey )GALLARDO A 120 2.50    
MISS GHISLAINE         (richards r)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 15.00    
IRISH DREAM GIRL         (vinson g)BISONO J 120 4.00 16% 5.30    
10  BEAUTY GENIUS         (smith g)CENTENO E 120 10.00    
11  SAYOH Jan26         (ryan s)HERNANDEZ K 120 15.00    
SCR  V K STAR         (ochoa gera)ORDONEZ R 120 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.