Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Friday - February 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   02/04/2022 6600ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($40K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED KING         (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 1.80 14% 6.30    
DUBBY DUBBIE Jan07         (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 9% 10.70    
CURRENT Jan07         (vanden britt)EMIGH A 124 5.00 12% 7.20    
MOODY JIM (IRE) Jan07         (mullins jeff)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.20 36% 1.80    
KAZAN (IRE) Jan07         (powell leon)HERRERA A 115 6.00 10% 9.50    
 
SA-2   02/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($31K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO HANG CHARLIE         (baltas rich)HERRERA A 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
PERFECTO AMOR Jan16         (brinkerhoff val)FREY KYLE 124 4.00 13% 6.90    
BUD KNIGHT         (powell leonard)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.80 22% 3.50    
MONGOLIAN LEGEND         (o'neill doug)CEDILLO ABEL 124 4.00 14% 6.20    
STAR SAILOR Jan08         (o'neill doug)VELAZQUEZ R 124 2.50    
 
SA-3   02/04/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($39K) 3 F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A CROWN FOR KITTEN Jan08         (yakteen tim)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 3.00 20% 4.00    
LA CHIQUIS         (wicker c)MALDONADO E 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
AN AGENT MISTAKE         (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 6.00 7% 12.60    
TOPOLINA         (o'neill doug)CEDILLO ABEL 122 8.00    
PRETTY RENA         (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
ARDIS Jan14         (papaprodromou )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00    
INDY'S STAR Jan07         (eurton peter)BAZE C 122 10.00    
SCR  DUXONTHEPOND         (desormeaux j )CURATOLO RYAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MAKARA         ( )TBA null      
 
SA-4   02/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSSY SOUL         (periban jorge)BAZE C 122 6.00    
DISCERNMENT         (trela rosemar)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 6.00    
PEACE PIPE Jan09         (dollase craig)PYFER JESSICA 122 4.00    
DESTINY'S JOURNEY Jan07         (hanson ryan)CEDILLO ABEL 122 2.00 35% 1.90    
TAKE A LEAP Jan07         (cerin vladimi)VELAZQUEZ R 122 1.80 33% 2.00    
GOLD INCLUDED         (brinkerhoff val)FREY KYLE 122 8.00 8% 11.90    
 
SA-5   02/04/2022 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($69K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEVOUS PATH         (gaines car)GONZALEZ RICARDO 126 12.00    
GOOD BYE PUTIN         (vallejo gen)HERRERA A 121 8.00    
HAPI HAPI Jan16         (azcarate dan)MALDONADO E 126 6.00    
WILDER THAN MOST         (gaines carla)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 1.80 65% 0.50    
WORSE READ SANCHEZ Jan15 Jan01       (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 4.00    
BALLY'S CHARM Jan02         (mullins jeff)PYFER JESSICA 118 3.00    
RIFEY Jan15 Jan01       (stute gary)BAZE C 126 5.00    
 
SA-6   02/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY FURY         (garcia vic)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 126 4.00 14% 6.20    
GRANDCONCOURSE GUY         (hess b)MALDONADO E 126 1.80 15% 5.50    
DIXIE'S TWO STENTS Jan16         (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 126 2.00 35% 1.90    
CROSS INDIAN         (koriner brian)CURATOLO RYAN 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
SPEED BOAT         (koriner brian)SMITH E 126 4.00    
SURF RANCH         (winick debbie)BLANC B 126 6.00 6% 15.50    
 
SA-7   02/04/2022 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFECTIONISTIC Jan02         (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 8.00    
SASH (GB)         (glatt mark)FREY KYLE 124 6.00 16% 5.40    
FLASHIEST         (powell leonard)CEDILLO ABEL 122 3.00    
DICEY MO CHARA (GB)         (powell leonard)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 35% 1.90    
EVENING SUN (GB)         (mullins je)VAN DRAYDEN 122 2.50 23% 3.40    
OFFLEE NAUGHTY         (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.00    
 
SA-8   02/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOOK CHARGE         (baltas rich)HERRERA A 117 2.50 25% 3.00    
CANADIAN PRIDE         (eurton peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50    
VITTORIO Jan14         (callaghan simon)SMITH E 122 3.00    
DIRECT LINE Jan22         (eurton peter)BAZE C 122 8.00    
FASHIONABLY FAST         (pederson dean)CEDILLO ABEL 124 2.00 47% 1.10    
 
SA-9   02/04/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3 F PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABHITA         (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
COUNCILWOMAN JILLY         (gallagher patrick)BLANC B 122 30.00    
LADY SASSAFRAS         (mccarthy sean)BAZE C 122 15.00    
BUSKER ALLIE         (d'amato phili)PYFER JESSICA 122 4.00 13% 6.80    
MADIHA Jan15 Jan02       (solis walther)FREY KYLE 122 2.50 11% 8.50    
ROUBAIX Jan02         (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
EXACTLY WENDY Jan02         (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 4.00    
COMMAND ANNA         (rosales richa)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 30.00    
BONNIE BRAE Jan08         (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 48% 1.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.