Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Friday - February 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   02/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($38.4K) 4UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRAYWING Jan01         (gaudet l)BUTTERFLY L 116 3.00 15% 5.50    
WHATCHASAID         (merryman michael)RUIZ JORGE 123 3.50 24% 3.10    
TRIPLE TITOS Jan27 Jan01       (capuan)ENRIQUEZ JR 116 5.00    
POWER BACK Jan01         (graham l)BOYCE FOREST 123 5.00 7% 12.60    
UNCLE ROAMIE Jan12 Jan01       (smith lawrence )HINDT KATIE 113 15.00    
PEDERSON'S COURAGE         (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 1.80 28% 2.60    
 
LRL-2   02/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($41.4K) 4UP M/F PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DECOUPAGE         (gorham michae)ALVELO C 118 3.00 17% 4.70    
GIFTED HEART Jan02         (schoentha)CARRASCO R 126 1.60 27% 2.60    
NOTION INTERRUPTUS Jan22         (mohan da)BUTTERFLY L 115 15.00    
UNREQUITED LOVE Jan16 Jan02       (magee kiero)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 4.50    
PROPER ATTIRE Jan02         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 1.80 29% 2.40    
 
LRL-3   02/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAIR OF THE DOG Jan23         (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 126 3.50    
CHARM CITY BAND         (pickett cry)CORUJO LEONARDO 126 5.00 26% 2.80    
IT'S SIZZLING TIME Jan16         (smith )ENRIQUEZ JR 119 10.00    
DEGAS         (frock l)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 8.00    
MUTAKAAMIL Jan01         (magee kieron)ALVELO C 121 3.00 12% 7.20    
STAY IN         (capuano dale)RUIZ JORGE 126 2.50 35% 1.80    
TOP BOSS Jan27 Jan01       (mohan da)BUTTERFLY L 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-4   02/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 Claiming ($5K) Purse ($20.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAT DARES GOLD Jan01         (cox m)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 4.00 10% 9.00    
LADY MAGICA Jan22 Jan01       (serey ma)BUTTERFLY L 116 4.50 51% 1.00    
COUGAR VISION Jan20         (bennett dale)TREJOS JOSEPH 126 3.00 14% 6.00    
ELOQUENT LADY Jan22         (pradenas serg)KARAMANOS A 126 5.00    
PARCHED GHOST Jan21 Jan01       (mcmahon tho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 2.00    
SHERIFF'S KID Jan28 Jan14       (frock )ENRIQUEZ JR 119 10.00    
 
LRL-5   02/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 Allowance Purse ($57.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHNNY SACK         (englehart)CARRASCO R 123 5.00    
ABUELO PAPS         (salazar marco)CRUZ ANGEL 123 6.00 6% 15.30    
SEA GHOST         (cole c)WHITACRE GRANT 123 10.00    
MOHAAFETH Jan22         (trujillo elvis)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 4.00 25% 3.10    
SWING WEST Jan22         (mohan da)BUTTERFLY L 116 5.00    
SPITBALL Jan20 Jan01       (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 123 8.00    
KID D'ORO Jan23         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.50 44% 1.30    
TREASURE TRADITION Jan16         (jenkins rodney)MONTERREY R 126 5.00    
 
LRL-6   02/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($37.8K) 45 ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMAZING ROCKET Jan14 Jan01       (cash norm)CARRASCO R 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
RAHMER Jan16         (barr h)ARAUJO DENIS 126 4.00 16% 5.30    
ORO GRIS Jan01         (graham l)BOYCE FOREST 126 30.00    
MR. MOSLEY         (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 126 8.00    
GET OFF MY CLOUD         (casey m)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 15.00    
CALLYOURIGHTBACK Jan30 Jan20       (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 122 6.00 10% 8.70    
IMAGE MAKER Jan16         (sillaman rich)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 0.60 51% 1.00    
 
LRL-7   02/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($57.6K) 3 ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEINBECK Jan07         (cash norm)CARRASCO R 124 10.00 9% 10.30    
SUNDAY MISCHIEF Jan22         (salzma)ENRIQUEZ JR 117 2.00 29% 2.50    
SUBURBAN COURT         (beattie cody)ROSADO JOHAN 121 4.50    
SHARP RED EAGLE         (bentley fen)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 6.00    
GALLANT GOLD Jan20         (salzman e)ARAUJO DENIS 121 8.00    
HEFFNER Jan01         (geralis emanu)KARAMANOS A 121 1.60 31% 2.20    
 
LRL-8   02/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAMEITONTHEFUN Jan21         (barr d)ENRIQUEZ JR 117 8.00    
GARITOFF Jan16         (salazar marco)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
KEEN ON YOU         (mcmahon hu)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 10.00 8% 11.10    
MONEY CODE Jan13         (gonzalez cl)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 2.50 17% 4.90    
AUKSINE KULKA Jan16         (aguirre antho)ALVELO C 119 6.00 14% 5.90    
SHANGHAI CANDY Jan16         (mancilla carl)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 10.00    
PIT STOP MAN Jan13         (allard edward )BOYCE FOREST 124 1.60 36% 1.70    
MADE TO BE LUCKY Jan23 Jan12       (smith lawrence )HINDT KATIE 110 30.00    
VIRGINIA FULLA Jan22 Jan16       (cooney s)BUTTERFLY L 117 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.