Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Friday - February 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   02/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MULETRAIN Jan22         (melancon do)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 6.00    
SIR OVERANALYZE Jan20         (ramirez rosa )PUSAC ALBERTO 123 1.80 32% 2.10    
KASENS TRAIN Jan20         (de al)MCMAHON J 123 3.00 29% 2.50    
THISGUYCANFLY Jan20 Jan03       (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 15.00    
SCR  HE'S A CLASSIC Jan20         (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 10.00    
DALE'S LIL BRO         (dison m)POMPELL L 123 4.50 8% 10.80    
SASSY'S PROSPECTOR Jan15         (sam w)STOKES A 123 5.00    
 
DED-2   02/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  UNBURNT Jan14         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 1.60 42% 1.40    
SCR  CLOSE TO ME Jan09         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 1.60    
MSCHITCHATTOUR Jan13         (zeno benjam)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 8.00 22% 3.50    
2B  BE A BANDIT         (zeno benjam)DEL-CID VICENTE 110 8.00    
SUSAN STRONG Jan03         (reeves jeffer)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 12.00    
STAYTHIRSTYMYAMIGO Jan06         (gelner scott)ROMAN KEVIN 118 2.00    
ORB'S SOUL Jan21         (vance jame)BROUSSARD ASHLEY 118 6.00 13% 6.70    
KIND WAYS Jan13         (mojica a)MCMAHON J 118 4.50    
 
DED-3   02/04/2022 4950ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3 F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARDI GRAS GORMLEY Jan22         (fuselier jonah)STOKES A 121 15.00    
SCR  EAGLEOVERTHEMOON Jan22         (gomez c)MCMAHON J 121 2.50 38% 1.70    
SCR  NOT ALONE         (ward ron)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 6.00    
READY READY Jan07         (devereux patric)ROMAN KEVIN 121 3.50 24% 3.20    
CZAR'S BALLERINA Jan22         (courville )BROUSSARD ASHLEY 121 6.00    
SMILING ANGEL Jan16         (dodson clif)FLORES S 121 10.00 18% 4.60    
START WELL         (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 10.00    
VIOLET SHADOWS Jan21 Jan02       (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 121 4.50    
BOUGIE MARIE Jan16         (dodson clif)RAMIREZ PAULINA 121 20.00    
 
DED-4   02/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY TY FU PEG Jan12         (segura kearney)THORNTON G 115 15.00 5% 18.60    
GETCHA Jan06         (berndt joel)BIRZER E 123 2.50 27% 2.70    
MACHO MARK Jan07         (gelner scott)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 6.00 27% 2.80    
SOBEK Jan07         (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 6.00    
MEAN CRUISER Jan22         (segura kearney)STOKES J 115 8.00    
FLAMIN FIRE Jan20         (dison m)POMPELL L 123 3.00 7% 13.10    
TROPHY DADDY Jan07         (antwine mic)FLORES S 118 12.00    
COCO'S MAN Jan22         (breaux samuel)ROMAN KEVIN 115 4.50 13% 6.80    
 
DED-5   02/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
M AND M'S CUSTOM         (hebert)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00 7% 13.00    
OSCAR CHOICE         (ramirez julio)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 3.00 17% 4.80    
PARALISSFRMANALYSS Jan07         (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
SWEETSWEETSONG Jan20 Jan05       (beavin judy)POMPELL L 120 15.00    
TOO TUFF TO CRY         (bourque warren)STOKES J 120 8.00    
CYBER GUN Jan15         (larrosa a)ROMAN KEVIN 123 8.00    
TOOCAN DANCE Jan15         (lara jorge)GUZMAN JORGE 120 5.00 8% 10.90    
SCR  LULLABY BANDIT Jan15         (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 6.00 16% 5.10    
MY LITTLE JUNIOR Jan12         (zeno benjami)JOURNET JARRED 123 15.00    
 
DED-6   02/04/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCTOBER SURPRISE Jan14         (prejean raymond)STOKES J 118 12.00    
HUMPHREY         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 3.50 6% 16.00    
TAKEN BACK Jan07         (harrison co)DEL-CID VICENTE 110 12.00    
APPLEWOOD         (matthieu r)BROUSSARD ASHLEY 118 8.00    
WAR ROGUE Jan14         (roberts roy)BACA L 115 12.00    
CHOP CHOP CHARLIE Jan08         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 2.00 41% 1.40    
SUCH Jan14         (vance w)ROMAN KEVIN 115 5.00    
HOODOO BROWN         (dixon tim)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 4.00 27% 2.70    
 
DED-7   02/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOTTA LOVE IKE Jan12         (reeves jeffer)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 8.00    
SCR  PARK RIDGE BENNY Jan15         (segura kearney)STOKES J 118 6.00 7% 12.90    
SCR  SWEEPING EDGE Jan15         (holden mark)FUSILIER C 118 10.00    
COROT         (tracy greg)BIRZER E 118 3.00 36% 1.80    
CRIMSON ZIP         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 4.00    
NATEALYZE         (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 15.00    
LUNAR LIGHT Jan07         (cox l)MCMAHON J 123 8.00 33% 2.00    
SUMMER APPEAL Jan15         (bernard )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 15.00    
PERFECT MISTAKE Jan15         (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 123 5.00    
 
DED-8   02/04/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 3 F PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUSTOM FOR TINA         (johnson henry )GUZMAN JORGE 120 6.00    
WON DAY Jan20         (landry ray)STOKES J 120 3.50 29% 2.50    
VALTESSE Jan19         (landry ra)POMPELL L 120 10.00    
MILA'S KAT Jan06         (breaux samue)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 15.00    
BASALT STREET         (scherer gary)MELANCON G 120 2.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  IRONIT         (courville )BROUSSARD ASHLEY 120 15.00    
FIRST I'VE SEEN Jan07         (arceneaux victor)FUSILIER C 123 4.50 17% 4.90    
FLASHY MEG         (segura kearney)THORNTON G 120 8.00    
CHARLIE T         (thomas lee)KENNEDY TY 120 10.00 9% 9.90    
 
DED-9   02/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARILYN'S MAGIC Jan22 Jan13       (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 2.50 39% 1.60    
BABY LOCKOUT Jan21         (davis veronic)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 6.00    
SCR  SHOOTING STICK Jan08         (melancon do)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 10.00    
MY BABY BELE Jan08         (zeno benjamin)ROMAN KEVIN 120 4.00    
MACKENZIE'S HALO Jan14         (thibodeaux l)ATEMPA LIANDRO 120 20.00 9% 10.50    
SCR  DEBS GIRL Jan05         (einerson ker)JOURNET JARRED 123 15.00    
HOLY PEARLS         (guillory ja)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MISS SVENGAIL Jan21         (nelson eric)FLORES S 123 3.50 15% 5.50    
CANDY CALL Jan14         (tracy tanner)BIRZER E 123 8.00    
10  CLOUDYWITHACHANCE         (perkins )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 20.00    
SCR  HAIRTRIGGER HEART         (trahan walte)ATEMPA LIANDRO 120 12.00 10% 8.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.