Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Thursday - February 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   02/03/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($30K) 45 ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BUCHAREST         (gaudet l)BUTTERFLY L 119 5.00    
CHAUFFEUR Jan20         (salzman e)ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00    
I AM THE CASH MAN         (progno christophe)BAEZ JOSE 126 3.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  MOSES WATER         (davis samuel)CALDERON JORGE 126 15.00    
THRUSTER         (barr h)BOYCE FOREST 126 5.00    
SCR  GLORIOUS MAHOMES         (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 126 2.50    
JOHNNY SWISH Jan16 Jan04       (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 3.50 34% 2.00    
 
LRL-2   02/03/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28.8K) 4UP ALL PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONTRAFLOW         (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 1.80 22% 3.60    
BELLARMINE HALL Jan22         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00 47% 1.10    
LUDICROUS MODE Jan21         (sanchez-salomon)GARCIA LUIS 119 15.00    
SCR  FAST LOADED Jan21         (pickett cry)MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 12.00    
SOLOMONIC Jan22         (magee kieron)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.50    
EVEN THUNDER Jan23         (gorham michae)ALVELO C 118 4.00    
 
LRL-3   02/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($46.8K) 3 F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTHAPPY Jan02         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 1.80 34% 2.00    
I CAN RUN         (gonzalez claudi)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 5.00    
QUEEN CADENCE Jan14         (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
SALAGADOOLA         (samaniego jose)PEREZ XAVIER 124 20.00    
PELLETIER Jan08         (beattie t)CARRASCO R 124 5.00    
DAILY PLANET         (milosevic m)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 6.00 11% 8.40    
 
LRL-4   02/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($39.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHERIFF CHIP         (capuano dale)RUIZ JORGE 123 2.00    
ONE NATION (GB) Jan17         (ness j)LOPEZ EDUARDO null      
INK Jan22         (gonzalez claudi)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 4.50 15% 5.60    
ASSEMBLY POINT (BRZ)         (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 5.00    
ARTISTIC REASON         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 1.80 48% 1.10    
SCR  UNCLE ROAMIE Jan12 Jan01       (smith lawrence )HINDT KATIE 113 30.00    
RAPID RESPONSE         (gaudet la)CARRASCO R 123 12.00 10% 9.40    
 
LRL-5   02/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($20.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FYVIE         (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 121 1.20    
WIN THEN GRIN Jan01         (maldonado)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 10.00 16% 5.40    
ELLIE BE DANCING Jan13 Jan01       (ramirez sa)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 126 20.00    
DIAL EMMA REILLY Jan22         (mancil)ENRIQUEZ JR 119 15.00    
CORAL SUMMER Jan16         (d'angelo ri)CORUJO LEONARDO 126 30.00    
SCR  FEARLESS LASSIE Jan16         (mckenz)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 1.60    
LA DAME Jan01         (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 126 15.00 53% 0.90    
YOUKNOWWHATITIZZZ Jan22 Jan01       (hall aim)BUTTERFLY L 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CAPTIVATING GAL Jan01         (rodriguez jesu)ROSADO JOHAN 126 10.00    
 
LRL-6   02/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($20.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY SACRED PLACE Jan16         (sillaman richa)BOYCE FOREST 126 3.00 25% 3.10    
PASCAL CHANT Jan16         (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 3.00 17% 4.70    
CONFUSION BABY BOY Jan16         (frock charl)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 15.00    
MYSTIC TIMES Jan27 Jan16       (trujillo elvis)MONTERREY R 123 15.00    
CHRISATUDE         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.00 30% 2.30    
GRUMPELSTILTSKIN Jan27         (pickett )BUTTERFLY L 116 15.00    
CHAMPIONSHIP ALLEY         (tessore bruno)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 3.50    
 
LRL-7   02/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R AVERIE LYNN         (gorham michae)ALVELO C 118 6.00    
DEVILISH AFFAIR Jan22         (vukelic robert)BOYCE FOREST 126 5.00    
GRACE ISABELLA         (graham robin )KARAMANOS A 123 12.00    
RAVENEL         (harting )BUTTERFLY L 116 6.00    
SHACKABOOM         (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 123 3.00 49% 1.00    
GLOWING STAR         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50 12% 7.60    
JOYFUL NOISE Jan20         (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 119 5.00 9% 10.60    
 
LRL-8   02/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($20.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PETION LASS         (geralis emanue)BOYCE FOREST 123 3.50    
GALLINELLA         (capuano d)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 2.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  FAMILY FORTUNE         (serey mari)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 5.00    
JEANIE'S ANGEL Jan20         (capuano dale)RUIZ JORGE 123 2.50 14% 5.90    
MY WAY OR ELSE Jan20         (maldonado jo)BATISTA A 123 10.00    
DANNY DEEP CUTS Jan22 Jan01       (haughton donn)ALVELO C 121 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.