Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - February 02, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   02/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSSY CAT         (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
2  CHILLING SECRET Jan13         (reynolds )RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 11% 8.50    
3  HOLD THE IRISH Jan07         (martinez a)AGUILAR M 122 2.50    
4  JOZANI R V F Jan07         (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 5.00 ★    
5  LOVEDISC         (bobadil)BERRIOS JOSEPH 122 4.00 11% 7.90    
6  HAPPY GUY Jan25 Jan07       (jacavone j)LLOYD W 122 8.00 7% 12.50    
 
PEN-2   02/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BREITHORN         (penaloza mig)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 1.60 ★    
2  WHAT'S TO BLAME         (klesaris )RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 28% 2.50    
3  KUDURO Jan11         (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 13% 6.50    
4  I SEE THE STARS Jan11         (mick r)FLORES E 120 5.00    
5  EQUAL JUSTICE Jan11         (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 124 3.00 16% 5.40    
6  HESASMOKIN Jan11         (hillegass al)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00 8% 11.90    
 
PEN-3   02/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABOVE THE LINE Jan19         (miller a)CORA D 120 10.00    
2  QUEEN'S DREAM Jan19         (ferreira fe)INIRIO J 120 6.00 35% 1.80    
3  SUNSHINE BAY         (graci joseph)BERRIOS C 120 50.00    
4  BEST CAUSE         (kravets m)OTERO P 120 3.00 ★    
5  FAIRFIELD         (rodriguez)VARGAS L 120 15.00    
SCR  BALI Jan14         (rodriguez frankli)LLOYD W 120 4.00 17% 4.90    
7  COUNTESS SHANAKILL Jan19         (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 10.00    
8  GRAY LOLLIPOPS Jan19         (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 16% 5.30    
9  SEEKING THE THRONE         (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00    
SCR  ARTEMIS RISING         (rojas eduardo)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.50 9% 10.40    
SCR  STARSHIP BLANCA         (ashton patr)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 113 10.00    
 
PEN-4   02/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KIKKERLAND         (englehart)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.60 44% 1.30    
2  MIDDLE EARTH Jan04         (fields kevin)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 6.00 9% 10.10    
3  MACHO SMOKE         (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 10% 9.50    
4  HELLO CARLO         (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 4.50 ★    
5  CRAFTY JACK         (albright amy)CORA D 122 2.50 16% 5.30    
6  JOCULARITY         (mileni nick)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00    
 
PEN-5   02/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON ISLAND TIME Jan26         (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 120 2.00 6% 14.80    
2  JUSTKISSMYGRITS Jan14         (stites w)WHITNEY G 120 4.00 5% 18.10    
3  DISCREET SISTER Jan14         (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 8% 11.70    
4  WIRETAP         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 55% 0.80    
5  SWEET MESA Jan14         (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 ★    
6  GOLDEN LAW         (houghton thoma)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
 
PEN-6   02/02/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL SUSPECT Jan11         (huertas nirk)BERRIOS C 124 8.00    
2  SOUPER CATCH         (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 29% 2.50    
3  SHANE'S JEWEL Jan17         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 3.00 20% 4.10    
4  MIDNIGHT ACT Jan21         (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 ★    
5  YES SIR COLONEL         (lingenfelter )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00    
SCR  PUBILIUS SYRUS         (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 31% 2.20    
7  PRIME TIME PLAYER Jan26         (synnefias dimitri)OTERO P 120 6.00 ★    
 
PEN-7   02/02/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3 F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZEALACIOUS Jan11         (gonzalez claudi)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 3.00 ★    
SCR  VACCINA Jan11         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50 32% 2.20    
SCR  STIMULATING MISS         (cooney s)CONNER TYLER 122 12.00    
SCR  FOXYNBOSSY         (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 122 12.00 17% 5.00    
5  TINA BURNER Jan11         (sells rache)CAMILO D 122 4.00 ★    
SCR  SHE'S A GUNFIGHTER         (albright )VARGAS L 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
7  SIMPLE JUSTICE Jan11         (mick r)FLORES E 122 30.00    
SCR  NOBLE CITY Jan25         (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 5.00    
 
PEN-8   02/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIME'S ON MY SIDE         (velez irv)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00    
2  LAURA'S ANGLE Jan14         (nichol kevi)INIRIO J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SILVER LOCKS         (johnston rob)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00 24% 3.20    
4  MELODIA Jan11         (zalalas michael)CORA D 122 20.00    
5  TOOTSYSROCKNROLLER         (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 122 5.00 13% 6.80    
6  SUNSHINEANRAINBOWS         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 122 2.00 ★    
7  WHO KNOWS WHAT         (trombetta micha)GARCIA LUIS 122 1.60 31% 2.20    
 
PEN-9   02/02/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED SOLUTION Jan04         (sillaman )HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
2  LOLANITA Jan04         (fields kevin)CORA D 124 10.00    
3  NEARLY MISSED Jan04         (beattie sandee )WHITNEY G 124 4.50 ★    
4  BIRD TRAFFIC Jan25         (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 124 4.00 33% 2.00    
5  ALLISON K Jan14 Jan07       (valdez mois)CAMILO D 124 6.00    
6  PRIDE IN THE BIZ Jan19 Jan04       (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 124 3.50 ★    
7  GIZMO'S DESTINY Jan04         (beattie s)RODRIGUEZ R 124 10.00 ★    
8  GOTTAFLATHAVEHER Jan07         (bobadilla j )BERRIOS C 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.