Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Tuesday - February 01, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   02/01/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOW MAID         (valdez mois)CAMILO D 122 3.50 12% 7.30    
SWITCHRATTLENROLL         (zalalas michael)CORA D 120 4.00    
HONESTA Jan14         (jacavone john )CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
ARCTICA         (flores l)FLORES E 120 12.00    
SCR  SPEED ZONE         (sells rac)VARGAS L 122 2.00 26% 2.90    
EARLY FROST         (moreno-barba)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
PEN-2   02/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
S W BRIAR ROSE         (albright r)CORA D 120 4.50 15% 5.80    
PARTY AT PAGE'S Jan02         (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
TIMELY TRADITION         (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 14% 6.10    
TANYA'S GEM         (sinnefia paulina)OTERO P 120 6.00    
LADY MUNNINGS         (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 36% 1.80    
LOVELY LYDIA         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 15.00    
FLATTERING RUBY         (stites f)DAVIS A 120 2.50 11% 8.40    
 
PEN-3   02/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3 ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WISH FOR PEACE         (stites w)AGUILAR M 122 12.00    
ROBBY'S RANSOM         (stites flin)INIRIO J 122 12.00    
DRAGON BALLET         (sells rache)CAMILO D 122 10.00    
DONTSHAKETHEROCKET         (kravets m)OTERO P 122 15.00    
MAJOR THOMAS         (houghton thoma)CONNER TYLER 122 15.00    
NAZARENO Jan12         (carpio erin)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 20.00    
THINKIN OUT LOUD Jan12         (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00    
KAZ SWEET HEIST Jan04         (synnefias dimitri)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 31% 2.30    
FED CHAIR         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 13% 6.70    
10  RISEN SAVIOR Jan04         (kulp l)WHITNEY G 122 3.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  UNCLE YUDI         (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 15.00    
 
PEN-4   02/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3 F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASGATA         (sinnefia paulina)CHIAPPE R 122 3.50 8% 11.80    
NYX AND CHAOS         (kravets m)OTERO P 122 2.50    
DWELLER         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 67% 0.50    
PSYCHE         (stites w)CONNER TYLER 122 12.00    
HOPE EVER LASTING         (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 4.50    
COSMOLOGICAL         (albright r)FLORES E 122 10.00    
BELLA PRIMA         (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00    
ECLIPTICALS SHORTY         (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 122 12.00    
 
PEN-5   02/01/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOU MUST CHILL Jan05         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 1.50 48% 1.10    
COPPERHEAD CREEK         (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 14% 6.30    
TRIPLE A. PLUS Jan19         (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00    
HOCKEY PUCK         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 10% 9.40    
SARATOGA JACK Jan21         (vera m)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 12.00    
KNOWN QUANTITY         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 12.00 8% 11.60    
 
PEN-6   02/01/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR HOOVER Jan11         (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00    
GALILEE Jan07         (mcclellan c)FLORES E 120 6.00    
FIRE'S FINALE         (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00    
INDIAN COUNSELOR         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 2.50 8% 11.70    
SASSY KING Jan22         (davis samuel)CALDERON JORGE 120 30.00    
DOLLARIZATION Jan11         (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 120 3.00 66% 0.50    
A T M AWESOME Jan14         (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 20.00    
THE HONORABLE ONE         (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00    
 
PEN-7   02/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGAINST THE ODDS Jan19         (zalalas michael)CORA D 122 4.50 5% 18.40    
START CASHIN         (kreiser t)VARGAS L 122 5.00    
TORAZO Jan12         (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 122 1.60 19% 4.40    
WONDER IN         (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
PAGE DOWN Jan12         (crane f)WHITNEY G 122 8.00 17% 5.10    
COAST TO COAST         (sinnefia paulina)OTERO P 122 8.00    
 
PEN-8   02/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMART TWO A T         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50 18% 4.40    
G DADDY         (graci a)CHIAPPE R 122 4.50    
BLUEGRASS POSSE         (sinnefia pa)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 10.00 8% 11.10    
CIGAR BOX         (taylor joseph)WHITNEY G 122 5.00    
ROCKET BLAST         (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 122 4.00    
VICTORY ELEMENT         (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
TRUE WISDOM         (beattie ryan)OTERO P 122 8.00    
 
PEN-9   02/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FALSE RULING         (farley j)FLORES E 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
BIG EYE JOY Jan19         (penaloza mig)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
REGAL JORDAN Jan11         (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00    
SMART TART Jan12         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 8.00    
AS YOU WERE         (sells rac)VARGAS L 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
KASTANYAS Jan04         (sells rache)CAMILO D 124 30.00    
MEEMOO Jan12 Jan04       (kravets bruce)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00 9% 9.80    
NIKKIS KITTEN Jan12 Jan04       (harigeorgiou konstan)CORA D 124 30.00    
WINNIPEG WONDER Jan03         (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 3.00 35% 1.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.