Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Monday - January 31, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   01/31/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BILLY BEACOUP Jan15 Jan05       (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 118 0.60 37% 1.70    
WINK DON'T THINK Jan22 Jan05       (schuster robi)BRACHO A 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
CARSON'S ROCKET Jan15         (langemeier j)ROMERO GREGORY 126 6.00    
DANES HEART Jan22 Jan05       (vazquez iv)SMITH DIOGDINABI 118 20.00    
DEVINE PRIDE Jan15         (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 126 20.00    
WESTERN HOPE Jan15         (langley joshua)YARANGA Y 126 15.00    
BRILLIANTBENNY Jan15         (skerrett je)MARTINEZ R 126 2.50 35% 1.90    
 
MVR-2   01/31/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACT OF BOB         (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 1.20 34% 1.90    
SCR  ACTSPECTATION Jan24         (fadlovich m)FRANKLIN MALCOM 126 5.00    
ASTRO JAK Jan04         (vickers ric)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 2.50 33% 2.00    
KOSCIUSZKO Jan19 Jan12       (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
K W CAPTAIN HOOK         (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00    
APACHE Jan19         (elliott mich)KEISER CHELSEY 126 8.00 8% 11.00    
 
MVR-3   01/31/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  LADY VALENTINA         (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  SHARPIN         (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 4.00    
BAREBACK FUN         (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
TEMPLEMENT Jan01         (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 18% 4.70    
TIZ INDEPENDENCE Jan01         (skerrett je)MARTINEZ R 124 15.00    
KINGSTON TIME         (baird michael)RIVERA R 124 5.00    
SCR  IMMACULATE HEART         (atala jose)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00    
SIERRA DIAMOND Jan01         (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 126 3.50 8% 12.30    
COWGIRL KIMMIE         (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 8.00    
 
MVR-4   01/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONDADA         (bryant)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 6.00 12% 7.10    
MASTER         (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 122 5.00    
MONOLITO         (reed r)LEON SONNY 122 0.80 47% 1.10    
VIOLENT SURPRISE         (schuster robi)BARBARAN ERIK 122 20.00    
JUJU NINETEEN         (hamm timoth)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 2.50 18% 4.70    
FLYING GUILLOTINE Jan21         (bailey ricar)TAPARA BRANDON 122 15.00    
 
MVR-5   01/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL THE BEST         (trevino stephen )LEON SONNY 124 10.00 7% 14.00    
SCR  CRYPTONIC CATWALK         (brown john )MARTINEZ R 124 10.00    
BAY MAGIC         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.50    
TREASURE WILBURNYA         (haehn terry )WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 6.00    
HIDDEN PRIDE Jan15         (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00    
SKIPSHOT LILLY         (faulkner c)VELEZ J 124 8.00    
WELLOILEDCAT Jan15         (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00    
BUSYBEING FABULOUS Jan22         (johnson gary )BRACHO A 116 3.50 42% 1.40    
PAYTON PRETTY Jan15         (reust megan)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.00 26% 2.80    
WHERETHERE'SSMOKE Jan22 Jan14       (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 124 20.00    
 
MVR-6   01/31/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE MATILDA Jan14         (bird danny)TAPARA BRANDON 126 1.60 33% 2.00    
BACKSPLASH Jan14         (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 3.50 18% 4.60    
BAD KARMA Jan14         (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 25% 3.10    
QUARANTINA         (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 20.00    
HIDATSA PARK Jan19 Jan01       (bailey rica)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 8.00    
LONGLEGGEDLAVERNE Jan14         (richa)ULLOA PATRICIO 124 6.00    
MORNING LIGHT Jan08         (reed r)LEON SONNY 126 10.00    
 
MVR-7   01/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG TRIP         (in)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
FRITTONS GOLD         (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 2.50    
HONOR LIFE Jan14         (cain crystal)RIVERA R 124 10.00 5% 17.60    
PAT DADDY Jan14         (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 4.50 32% 2.10    
CENTRIST         (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00    
SPINSTER ROAD Jan14         (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 6.00    
KEYED ON TOP Jan14         (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 8.00    
 
MVR-8   01/31/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PAINTED ROCKET Jan14         (kocijan marcus)AVILES YAN 119 20.00    
CHARGE IT ALL Jan14         (hamm timoth)MARTINEZ R 124 2.50 22% 3.50    
MAGIC CREDIT         (gerich fra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 15.00 9% 10.20    
BLUE ROCKETTE         (poole c)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 15.00 14% 6.40    
ILLUSIONS OF LOVE         (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00    
BIRDIE BLUE Jan14         (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 12.00    
COOKIN ROSES         (hughes w)DIAZ I 124 6.00    
HARD TO ACCESS         (leitch dani)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 1.80 27% 2.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.