Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - January 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   01/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE RED WRAITH         (shaw john)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.50    
JUMP BACK JACK         (dye steven)BOWEN ROCCO 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
QUICK INTRO Jan21         (terranova jo)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.00    
FIFTY TWO PICKUP         (winebaugh chery)PEREZ EDGAR 122 4.00 11% 8.40    
SANDY KISS Jan21         (munoz carlos)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 4.50 39% 1.60    
CALLE DE BOYD         (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00    
 
TAM-2   01/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BABY BEE MERRY         (rhone bernell)CENTENO E 118 8.00    
THE OTHER CAT         (m)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 118 15.00    
ATLANTIC PRINCESS Jan07         (raymond robe)BATISTA A 118 3.00    
PROBABLY GRACE Jan01         (arriagada )ROWLAND MADELINE 108 2.00 56% 0.80    
CELESTIAL ORB         (march)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 4.00 9% 10.10    
SUSIKIN Jan22         (carrascojr v)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.50 11% 8.30    
SCR  TAKESTWOTOWIGGLE Jan14         (lawrence dalto)HENRY WESLEY 118 12.00    
 
TAM-3   01/30/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LYING KAREN         (lanum crystal)ARROYO MIGUEL 113 15.00    
MERICATHEBEAUTIFUL         (skelton dawn)ALLEN M 122 4.00 14% 6.20    
LYLA'S MARK Jan05         (paramo mar)ROWLAND MADELINE 112 15.00 11% 8.50    
CASARENA HOTTIE         (lusk r)JUDE JOHN 120 15.00    
AMERICAN EMPRESS Jan14         (philipp karyn)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.00 18% 4.70    
UPPER SPEED DS Jan14         (dobber w)WALES GARY 122 3.00 28% 2.50    
PHONE A FRIEND Jan14         (lu)SCALDAFERRI ROSANA 122 8.00    
MAY BEAU Jan14         (wasiluk pet)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 5.00    
 
TAM-4   01/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3 ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RUNAWAY TOM Jan16         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 2.00 48% 1.10    
BANCO MEDICI         (lecesse michae)CAMACHO SAMY 120 12.00    
BANDITOFTHEPRAIRIE Jan12         (lanum crystal)ARROYO MIGUEL 113 8.00 13% 6.50    
ONE LUCKY DAY         (o'connell ka)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.50    
INDIYS TREASURE         (raymond robe)BATISTA A 120 15.00    
PAYITO Jan16         (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 120 6.00    
RULING FRONT         (munoz car)RODRIGUEZ A 120 5.00    
SNAKERATTLEANDROLL         (bennett gerald )PEREZ EDGAR 120 4.00 15% 5.80    
 
TAM-5   01/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($23K) 3 ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITS OVER         (munoz carlos)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 12.00    
MEROKEE Jan09         (dini mik)GALLARDO A 118 10.00    
PANADERO Jan09         (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50    
ANGELUS DIAMOND Jan19         (blanco g)CHAVEZ DEIVY 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
GREAT BRITAIN         (motio)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 2.50 49% 1.00    
PAPI BELLO Jan09         (romero rafael)CASTILLO A 118 15.00    
PHARAOH'S PROPHECY Jan09         (maker michael)MORALES PABLO 120 2.00 21% 3.80    
KISS PRINCIPAL Jan07         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-6   01/30/2022 5400ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGENT COOPER         (hamm timothy)PEREZ EDGAR 118 20.00    
CLOUD PLAY Jan07         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 8.00    
GLIDER Jan06         (casse ma)GALLARDO A 122 4.50    
EMMANUEL         (pletcher todd)MORALES PABLO 120 1.00 32% 2.10    
BOITANO Jan07         (harty eoin)CASTANON L 118 4.50 26% 2.90    
IN THE UNION Jan08         (pletc)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
 
TAM-7   01/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.45K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEGLA Jan16         (jehaludi moham)HENRY WESLEY 120 20.00    
NANCY WORK Jan16         (glyshaw tim)CENTENO E 120 8.00    
PLATINUMCENTS         (wasil)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.00    
SIP'N DIP Jan16         (mc joh)BATISTA A 120 8.00 6% 14.80    
MUSETTA (ARG) Jan15         (delgado jos)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 3.50 46% 1.20    
KISSMELIPS         (padilla tim)FELICIANO R 120 6.00    
BEAUTIFUL TIZ         (machado an)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 15.00    
TAKE ME AS I AM Jan16 Jan01       (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 19% 4.20    
WHISTLER DIXIE Jan16         (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 15.00    
10  DR KAAK Jan16         (o'conne)DE CRUZ 123 10.00    
SCR  AUDRINA'S CITY         (fennessy john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 8.00    
SCR  PLAY THAT TONE Jan01         (paramo ma)RODRIGUEZ A 120 20.00    
 
TAM-8   01/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  J'S SILKY         (hunt donald)MBATHA LUCKY 110 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DRILL'S VALENTINE Jan15         (chavez a)LOZADA CARLOS 120 30.00    
MARICOPA Jan09         (delgado jose)BATISTA A 122 3.50 16% 5.40    
MS. MALEVOLENCE Jan05         (nunn douglas)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 2.50 54% 0.90    
SO MOXIE         (dominguez lui)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 10.00    
MANGROVE MAMMA         (wasiluk pet)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 5.00 5% 17.70    
TAMIAMI Jan09         (escobar alison)BISONO J 120 15.00    
ROYAL ATHENA Jan09         (cahill f)BOWEN ROCCO 120 12.00    
CATIRUSIA Jan15         (machado)DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
10  SIMONELA         (dye steven)PEREZ EDGAR 120 6.00    
11  MISS UNDERSTANDING         (davis richar)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 20.00    
 
TAM-9   01/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOLDAT TEMPTATION         (azpurua eduar)LOZADA CARLOS 123 10.00    
SUCH A LADY         (heinen h)JUDE JOHN 123 30.00    
STARSHIP SARATOGA         (ferraro ant)VALDES ALEXIS 123 2.50 36% 1.80    
POWERFUL NATIVE         (wirth b)BOWEN ROCCO 123 10.00    
EMMA LIVE Jan26         (sims n)ALLEN M 123 30.00    
SCR  MATCHA Jan09 Jan02       (fennessy john)WALES GARY 123 6.00 11% 7.90    
KIZZY Jan19 Jan02       (mcgoey monic)BATISTA A 123 3.00 28% 2.50    
LADY MANHATTAN Jan19         (es)SCALDAFERRI ROSANA 123 10.00    
LIZQUEENFLUERDELIS         (pizzo s)PEREZ EDGAR 123 10.00    
10  AWILDAS TREASURE Jan19         (cordero antonio)BISONO J 123 4.00    
SCR  SHES SKY HIGH         (puckett e)FERRER C 123 10.00    
12  MA COCO Jan08         (dominguez luis)HENRY WESLEY 123 15.00    
SCR  THATS ALL SHEWROTE         (sasso l)CENTENO E 123 2.00    
SCR  MYRA FLEENER Jan22 Jan09       (escobar alison)FERRER C 123 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.