Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sam Houston Park
Sunday - January 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HOU-1   01/30/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 45 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORO MERICA Jan21         (williams )STEINBERG GARRETT 123 20.00    
SCR  BLUME Jan05         (johnson henry )MORA GERARDO 123 12.00    
PALUXY Jan06         (calhoun wi)ERAMIA E 123 1.20 38% 1.70    
SKYWAVE         (young sco)TRIANA JR 123 8.00    
SUPPRESSOR         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.80    
WEST TEXAS RAIN         (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 6.00 33% 2.00    
GJALLARHORN Jan22 Jan06       (love alan)LARA EZEQUIEL 123 50.00    
 
HOU-2   01/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3 ALL PT- 3:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M CRENSHAW         (bravo franci)ALVAREZ L 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
KEEN CAT         (gree)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 8.00    
CASEYS MEMORY         (gustafson aust)ROSARIO JOEL 122 15.00    
LUCKY'S SPECIAL Jan07         (whitelaw mi)HAMILTON WESTON 122 3.00 19% 4.40    
PHILO BEDDOE         (stuart clinto)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 6.00 17% 4.90    
TIMED EVENT Jan13         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 4.00 5% 17.30    
SAINT CHARLES         (biehler e)DIEGO V 122 30.00    
SCR  BIRCH         (thomas timot)PIVARAL GERBER 122 50.00    
SPARKY HALE Jan16         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.00 33% 2.00    
10  GOLD DECLARATION Jan06         (eoff )MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 20.00    
 
HOU-3   01/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3 ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCORE KEEPER         (love alan)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 20.00    
1A  SUPER LIAISON         (love alan)PEREZ E 122 20.00    
CINCO RICHIE         (cruz eduardo)ALVAREZ L 122 15.00    
TAPITS KASH         (hebert matt)SORENSON D 122 20.00    
BODYMOOR HEATH Jan20         (gustafson aus)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 6.00    
BIG BAD DON         (pish dann)STEINBERG GARRETT 122 12.00    
UPTOWNEAGLESLANDED Jan07         (padilla a)DIEGO V 122 3.50 24% 3.10    
TOP HAT CAT         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.50 49% 1.00    
KLIMCO         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 8.00    
RED WITT AND BLUE         (barton aman)MELANCON JANSEN 122 20.00    
SCR  JUST HANGIN RIDGE Jan15         (kotara ronald)SANCHEZ M 122 30.00    
11  BOSQUE Jan07         (payne w)MORA GERARDO 122 4.50 6% 15.20    
 
HOU-4   01/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  TEXAS TITAN         (johnston )STEINBERG GARRETT 123 20.00    
SCR  WINGS FOR ENO Jan06         (johnston )STEINBERG GARRETT 123 20.00    
ON THE HONOR ROLL         (eoff terry)LARA EZEQUIEL 123 30.00    
SCR  TEXAS PRADO         (pish danny)SORENSON D 123 12.00    
TEXAN BOY Jan06         (k)DE CRUZ 123 30.00    
FANDO         (uriegas henr)ALVAREZ L 123 10.00    
RUNNING JESSE Jan13         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 15.00    
MAC B QUICK         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 6.00 9% 9.60    
LITTLE MARK         (milligan a)ERAMIA E 123 4.50    
READY EDGE Jan15         (gelner scot)MELANCON JANSEN 123 2.50 57% 0.70    
10  SILVER AND GOLD         (jacks e)DIEGO V 123 30.00    
11  MY GOLDEN M Jan06         (echeverria )GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 3.50 7% 12.70    
12  DARYLSLITTLEDIABLO         (castellanos jaim)MONTALVO C 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
HOU-5   01/30/2022 3300ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEVEN SCENTS Jan14 Jan06       (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 114 4.00    
ARCHIDUST         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00 58% 0.70    
AMERICANUS         (asmussen steven)LANERIE J 123 20.00    
BAD BEAT BRIAN         (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 1.60 13% 6.90    
GRINNING TIGER         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 114 10.00    
SCR  THE CONNECTOR         (hoffman ma)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 4.50    
TUT'S REVENGE         (stuart clinto)EIKLEBERRY RY 117 12.00    
SARCASTIC TONE Jan12         (broberg karl)LUZZI J 120 30.00    
 
HOU-6   01/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLOODLINE         (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 12.00    
DOWAGIAC CHIEF         (amoss m)GRAHAM J 117 8.00    
MALIBU THUNDER         (eoff terry)LARA EZEQUIEL 115 50.00    
CHANCEUX Jan01         (pletcher to)GUTIERREZ REYLU 115 4.00 25% 3.00    
DOWN COLD Jan06         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 115 15.00    
PURE PANIC         (maker mich)ERAMIA E 117 5.00    
STOLEN BASE         (mak)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 115 3.00 28% 2.60    
KAELY'S BROTHER         (cox h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00    
SCREWBALL Jan06         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 115 20.00    
SCR  GRANTHAM         (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 115 6.00    
11  RED RUN         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 115 12.00 22% 3.60    
 
HOU-7   01/30/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($400K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VELVET CRUSH         (stidham micha)EIKLEBERRY RY 116 8.00    
  (by TAPIT out of WHITE CLOVER by EXCHANGE RATE)
AUDREY'S TIME         (pessin l)LANERIE J 118 3.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of UNFORGOTTEN (IRE) by EXCEED AND EXCEL (AUS))
PAULINE'S PEARL         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 120 1.20 25% 3.00    
  (by TAPIT out of HOT DIXIE CHICK by DIXIE UNION)
BECCA'S ROCKET         (gelner scott)BESCHIZZA ADAM 116 10.00    
  (by ORB out of IDOITMYWAY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
CHAMPAGNE AFFAIR         (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 30.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of HAPPY TO GO by SAINT ANDDAN)
GOLDEN CURL         (davis shaw)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00 8% 11.40    
  (by CURLIN out of HAILEY D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
THE MARY ROSE         (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 20% 4.00    
  (by MACHO UNO out of WOOD ROSE by TIZNOW)
 
HOU-8   01/30/2022 7920ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONVICTION TRADE Jan21         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 118 20.00    
  (by EXCHANGE RATE out of STREET RUMOR by STREET SENSE)
HIERARCHY (IRE)         (sharp joe)LANERIE J 120 5.00 10% 9.10    
  (by MEHMAS out of CHEWOREE by MILK IT MICK (GB))
TIDE OF THE SEA         (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 10.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of ROUTINE by EMPIRE MAKER)
STRONG TIDE Jan09         (lau)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 12.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of DREAMIN BIG by STUTZ BLACKHAWK)
DECISION MAKER         (van berg )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 15.00    
  (by COURT VISION out of TOWN QUEEN by WILLIAMSTOWN)
FANTASIOSO (ARG)         (correas iv)GRAHAM J 116 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by STRATEGIC PRINCE (GB) out of SOY MAJA by LUCKY ROBERTO)
MALTHAEL         (maker micha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of ENDER'S SISTER by A.P. INDY)
LOGICAL MYTH         (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 6.00 47% 1.10    
  (by DATA LINK out of UNDO by FLATTER)
ANOTHER MYSTERY         (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 8.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of IOYA TWO by LORD AT WAR (ARG))
10  DYN O MITE Jan22         (desormeaux keit)ELLIOTT S 120 20.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of BOOM BOOM DYNAMITE by LANGFUHR)
11  AJOURNEYTOFREEDOM         (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50 18% 4.60    
  (by HARD SPUN out of IMPRECATION by FIRST DEFENCE)
12  PARROT HEAD         (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 30.00    
  (by TOURIST out of BIRKENHEAD by MIZZEN MAST)
SCR  SHADY MCGEE (IRE)         (maker mich)ERAMIA E 116 30.00    
  (by ZOFFANY out of NAJAM by SINGSPIEL)
SCR  CELERITY Jan16         (cundiff waylon)DIEGO V 116 50.00    
  (by CITY ZIP out of ALPINE GARDEN by LEMON DROP KID)
 
HOU-9   01/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNTY FINAL         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.50 34% 2.00    
GREELEY AND BEN Jan08         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
DIRECT DIAL         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 8.00    
RED N WILD Jan15         (eoff )MANRRIQUE JOSE 120 20.00    
KNEEDEEPINSNOW Jan14         (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.00    
TOP GUNNER         (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 15.00    
SCR  ISOLATE         (amoss m)LUZZI J 120 8.00    
SCR  MOJO MAN Jan14         (divito p)BAIRD T 123 12.00    
SCR  VERB         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 123 20.00    
10  MR MONEY BAGS         (clar)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 12.00 14% 6.10    
11  BYBEE         (caramor)GONCALVES R 120 30.00    
12  GIVE IT EVERYTHING         (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 120 10.00    
 
HOU-10   01/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAID OF HONOR         (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
BREEZE RIDER Jan08         (manley steve)BAIRD T 123 3.50 51% 1.00    
LAVENDER (IRE) Jan15         (davis shawn )BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.50    
SHE'SSKYSTHELIMIT Jan13         (villafranc)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 15.00    
ARM CANDY (IRE)         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
BRANDONS BABE         (jacks e)DIEGO V 120 20.00    
CATCH A BID         (sharp joe)LANERIE J 123 3.00 21% 3.70    
QUINN ELLA Jan15         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 20.00    
SHIRLEY'S TEMPLE Jan15         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 120 50.00    
10  LADY GWEN         (davidson b)ALVAREZ L 120 30.00    
11  BARISTA         (baker james)LUZZI J 116 12.00    
SCR  EMPRESS ELEANOR         (correas iv)GRAHAM J 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
13  VALENTINES DAY         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 116 30.00    
SCR  DR FRANCES         (a)DE CRUZ 120 50.00    
 
HOU-11   01/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HORNSWOGGLE         (correas iv)GRAHAM J 123 30.00    
SCR  HORN OF PLENTY Jan20         (fullerton k)HAMILTON WESTON 123 20.00    
STANS HOOKIN BULL         (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 15.00    
OLD SOT Jan08         (cravens ronn)ALVAREZ L 123 8.00 7% 13.90    
SWEET MEDICINE Jan22         (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 123 15.00 7% 13.00    
LETHAL MOVE Jan08         (pish danny)SORENSON D 123 20.00    
PUBLIC INFORMATION         (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 1.80 48% 1.10    
PAYNTER PARTY Jan08         (duhon paul)DIEGO V 123 4.50 10% 9.30    
SCR  CHARLIES TICKET         (johnson he)ERAMIA E 123 50.00    
SCR  JACKMAN Jan21         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 10.00    
11  HALF OURS TO KEEP Jan20 Jan08       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.50 7% 12.50    
12  CHAMPS SUCCESS         (moreno carl)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.