Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turfway Park
Saturday - January 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TP-1   01/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  C F V WICKED RED Jan14         (gonzalez lilia)FELIX E 122 3.00    
SCR  C F V NOBODYCARES         (gonzalez lil)MORALES JOSHUA 122 3.00    
ROUSING SIREN Jan14 Jan02       (garcia genaro)CANUTO THIAGO 115 2.50 9% 9.80    
GO NUTS Jan01         (greenhill jeff)BEJARANO R 122 3.00 16% 5.10    
G FOR GERRY         (barker sc)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 112 30.00 6% 16.00    
MEMPHIS PRAYER Jan01         (mulcahy g)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 10.00    
SONIC BURN Jan01         (peterson annett)ACHARD ALEX 122 10.00    
AMES MISTER Jan14         (west aaro)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 3.50 35% 1.80    
DO YOUR BEST         (fernandez kel)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 122 12.00    
 
TP-2   01/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KITTEN ROCKS Jan08         (fernandez edward)FELIX E 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
PRINCESS CELESTE         (lyster s)MCKEE J 120 20.00    
TOP HAT INVASION Jan08         (adams l)MORALES EDGAR 120 30.00    
QUEEN LOUISE Jan07         (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 8.00 11% 8.30    
SOLAR KITTEN Jan07         (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 6.00    
WOKE UP TO ACES         (kenneally edd)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.50 41% 1.40    
GENERAL GINNY         (forston roy)MOJICA JR 120 30.00    
SUPER READY         (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 120 5.00    
FIONA POWER Jan07         (taylor brent)ACHARD ALEX 120 8.00    
10  SEVEN KINGDOMS         (estvanko )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 8.00 8% 11.00    
11  MAYAPRETTY Jan07         (asmussen )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 4.00 13% 6.60    
12  TRENDY NEVE         (noltemeyer ke)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 12.00    
SCR  CLASSY LYNN Jan08         (hester hale)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 15.00    
SCR  NARROWS BRIDGE Jan14         (jarvis kathy)RAMOS D 120 20.00    
 
TP-3   01/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($62K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSPIRATION POINT         (maker michae)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 4.50    
BABYLON         (reed r)FELIX E 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LASTTRAINTOBOSTON         (royal madelyn)LEZCANO ABEL 122 50.00    
RUN RUN RAPIDASH         (kordenbrock m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 3.50 10% 9.10    
LOFTY ADJUDICATOR         (navarrete a)JIMENEZ J 122 10.00    
BRONZE HALO         (drury thoma)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 12.00    
SCR  HANDCARVED         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
HOW IT GOES         (helmbrech)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 20.00    
COUNTERSTRIKE Jan08         (walsh brendan)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 3.00 17% 4.80    
10  BIG PAPER         (correas )GUTIEREZ ALEJANDRO 122 15.00    
 
TP-4   01/29/2022 6600ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($64K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KIMBERLEY DREAM Jan09         (winston d)OUZTS W 120 30.00    
LEMON POPPER         (greenhill jef)CANUTO THIAGO 113 20.00    
POLKA POLENTA         (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00    
BELLE BELISA (IRE)         (dickinson mich)ROCCO S 120 8.00 35% 1.90    
HOT HEELS         (fletcher ke)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 30.00    
PALLAS ATHENE         (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00    
TILTINGATWINDMILLS         (reed r)LEON SONNY 120 10.00    
ASIAAF (GB) Jan09         (walsh brenda)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 3.50 36% 1.80    
ELKE DO JAGUARETE (BRZ) Jan09         (correas )GUTIEREZ ALEJANDRO 120 3.50    
10  DANCE RECITAL Jan09         (correas ignacio )BEJARANO R 120 12.00 8% 11.80    
SCR  HIGH FASHION Jan09         (oliver victoria)ACHARD ALEX 120 8.00    
SCR  SAVING SOPHIE         (nihei michell)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 20.00    
13  WONDER BLONDY         (fernandez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 15.00    
 
TP-5   01/29/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRAISE AND HONOR         (beattie m)MCKEE J 120 12.00    
DELTA GAMMA CATS Jan16         (west w)FELIX E 120 15.00    
LADY EDITH         (drury j)ROCCO S 120 12.00    
BEYOND MYBUDGET Jan01         (casse mark)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.50 11% 7.90    
VINTAGE READY         (reed r)LEON SONNY 120 20.00    
PRINCESS CAUSEWAY         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 3.00 6% 16.20    
DONTLETSWEETFOOLYA         (medina ro)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 12.00    
GHOSTING KIM Jan02         (correas ignacio )BEJARANO R 122 12.00    
MARY OF BETHANY Jan01         (cox h)ACHARD ALEX 122 20.00    
10  BULLSEYE BEAUTY         (mckeever andr)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 2.50 60% 0.70    
11  ROGUE TOO Jan15         (danner doug)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 15.00    
12  WAIT FOR NAIROBI         (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00    
 
TP-6   01/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($18K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIRECT APPROACH         (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 120 6.00 13% 6.40    
INCLUSIVE Jan02         (cundiff waylon)MOJICA JR 120 10.00 58% 0.70    
WILE E PEYOTE Jan07         (cook bria)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 6.00    
TALLESTOFTHETALL         (campbell joel)ACHARD ALEX 120 10.00    
COUNTER OFFER         (handal ray)CORRALES GERARDO 120 1.80    
BUGLE BARRY Jan09         (walsh d)BECKMAN ALICE 111 12.00    
SCR  CAN'TBETEMALL Jan02         (grubbs ja)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 4.00    
MARKITOFF         (ennis john)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 12.00    
TOMAHAWK KITTEN Jan02         (jarvis kathy)RAMOS D 118 20.00    
10  JOLTING JOE         (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 120 10.00    
 
TP-7   01/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($63K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS NINA Jan08         (andrade h)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 10.00 18% 4.70    
HOSTILE PRINCESS         (west w)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
ALMADRINA (GB)         (meah anna)ACHARD ALEX 120 12.00    
MAOILIN         (brisset rodol)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 12.00    
DREAMFUL         (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00    
KULTHUM         (colebrook ben)ROCCO S 120 12.00    
AIZU         (nihei michell)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00    
POCA MUCHA         (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.50 37% 1.70    
TEMPER TIME         (romans dale)BEJARANO R 120 3.50 18% 4.60    
10  INCESSANT         (sisterson j)PETERSON FERRIN 120 30.00    
11  BLUEGRASS BELLE         (casse mark)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
12  GRAVITRON         (ortiz joh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 10.00    
SCR  RUNAWAY MOM Jan09         (kinmon keith)MOJICA JR 120 30.00    
SCR  SLIP SLIDING AWAY Jan09         (hamilton sarah)MCKEE J 120 30.00    
 
TP-8   01/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECIAL CONQUEST         (cook brian)FELIX E 120 20.00    
SCR  JANE'S GOLD TOUR         (cook brian)FELIX E 120 20.00    
TAMI ANN Jan15         (manning joh)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 6.00 26% 2.80    
TRADITIONAL ARCHER         (salas felipe)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
PAULAS GAME Jan15         (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
DRAKAINA         (wittek kary)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 15.00    
MI ENLACE Jan02         (wittek karyn)ACHARD ALEX 123 10.00    
EUROPA (SPA)         (gonzalez lil)MORALES JOSHUA 120 4.00 10% 9.40    
HOT DAME         (caramori edua)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00    
SCR  VOW SAVER Jan15         (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 12.00 9% 10.00    
10  BIG LIZ Jan15         (connelly tere)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 12.00    
11  MIZSHIPMAN Jan14         (raines lind)PETERSON FERRIN 120 30.00    
12  MACHISIMA Jan15         (beck rowe)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.