Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - January 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   01/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT-12:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHILL HAZE         (amado enri)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 118 15.00    
YAK Jan19         (arriagada )ROWLAND MADELINE 110 5.00    
ACE DESTROYER         (cruz jesus)BOWEN ROCCO 120 1.20 43% 1.30    
SCR  OHIO EAGLE Jan04         (dye steven)PEREZ EDGAR 118 8.00    
IMTAKINITTOTHEBANK Jan01         (o'connell kat)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00    
NICK THE CARDSHARK Jan14 Jan01       (delgado )GALLARDO A 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
TAM-2   01/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TAP FIRST Jan07 Jan01       (baxter georgi)ARROYO MIGUEL 113 2.00 56% 0.80    
HAMMER D Jan01         (hunt donald)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 15.00    
BROADWAY RUCKUS Jan14         (wilson tony)LOZADA CARLOS 120 3.50    
THEJIGISUP Jan16         (carrascojr victo)FERRER C 120 3.00 9% 10.60    
GENERAL COMMAND         (azpurua edu)GARCIA A 120 12.00    
SCR  BAM BAM WARRIOR Jan05         (carrascojr vi)VALDES ALEXIS 120 10.00 8% 12.10    
MENELAO Jan14         (tsirigotis )SPANABEL SKYLER 120 3.50    
 
TAM-3   01/29/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($23K) 3 F PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESTILO DIFERENTE Jan02         (bowersock mar)ALVARADO JR 118 5.00 26% 2.80    
TACTICAL RANGE         (ryan s)CASTANON L 118 2.00    
SASSY LIKE JULIA         (tsirigotis )SPANABEL SKYLER 118 8.00    
SCOOP THERE IT IS Jan02         (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
FOLK HERO Jan02         (delgado jorge)PEREZ EDGAR 118 1.80 40% 1.50    
FALL CAMPAIGN Jan02         (ryan s)CENTENO E 118 4.00    
 
TAM-4   01/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER PACKAGE         (macha)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 20.00    
LOVIN LIVIN Jan15 Jan09       (morzan javier )CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
JARA Jan14         (davis richard)PANAIJO JORGE 120 3.00 29% 2.40    
MONIQUES DAREDEVIL Jan15         (machado anton)MORALES PABLO 120 8.00    
GRANDMARY Jan09         (bennett)DE CRUZ 120 3.50 21% 3.70    
CHARGE IT JENN Jan16         (hayford jen)GARCIA A 120 6.00 15% 5.60    
TIZ HERSELF Jan09         (nunn douglas)CASTANON L 123 5.00    
BE BOP A LOLA Jan14         (nunn douglas)BATISTA A 120 4.00    
 
TAM-5   01/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMANDER KEITH Jan07         (lusk r)JUDE JOHN 122 8.00    
SIAKAM Jan16         (hall phi)GALLARDO A 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
MR. EINSTEIN Jan15         (wasil)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 3.00    
RIP IT RYAN         (tsirigotis )SPANABEL SKYLER 119 4.00    
STARSHIP OREO Jan15         (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 119 6.00 21% 3.70    
MR. SARCASTIC         (granitz)DE CRUZ 119 8.00 8% 10.80    
ACTION WARRIOR Jan15         (dobber w)WALES GARY 119 30.00    
PHARAOH FANCY PANT         (schistl rafae)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 15.00 11% 8.00    
GOLD CZAR Jan05         (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 4.50    
 
TAM-6   01/29/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.45K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRADO'S PLAYBOY Jan07         (gulick james)BATISTA A 120 20.00    
VIOLENT FIGHT Jan02         (banks chris)BOWEN ROCCO 123 6.00 17% 5.00    
ROBINSON         (lund valorie)CARDOSO DAVID 120 6.00 12% 7.40    
VINTNER Jan07         (yanez mois)ALONSO LUIS 120 4.50    
GOLOVKIN Jan07         (guciardo kathy)FERRER C 120 12.00    
LION CHARMER Jan07         (o'conno)DE CRUZ 120 10.00 36% 1.80    
KING ANDRES Jan12         (poole a)FELICIANO R 120 10.00    
HOLD THE SPICE         (rhone berne)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 3.50    
OSPREY         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.00 8% 11.60    
10  INITFORTHELOVE Jan07         (a)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 120 8.00    
SCR  HIGHLY NOTED Jan07         (raven kerri)CASTANON L 120 10.00    
SCR  BUC'S INVESTMINT         (raymond robe)BATISTA A 120 20.00    
SCR  CASTLE KING Jan12         (bowersock maria)LOPEZ E 120 15.00    
SCR  SWINGIN FRIAR Jan19         (blair jordan)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 15.00    
 
TAM-7   01/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS MIAMI Jan09         (romero raf)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 6.00    
MY SARASOTA STAR Jan09         (raymond rob)MARIN A 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
ROLLING MO Jan09         (russell rand)BATISTA A 122 10.00    
TEE UP         (dye steven)BOWEN ROCCO 122 8.00    
LETS RACE LADYS         (russell ran)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 12.00    
GLORY ROLL         (axmaker w)FERRER C 122 1.80 37% 1.70    
MAMBO DANCER (CHI) Jan09         (bennett)DE CRUZ 122 12.00    
MY BLONDE MARY Jan15         (es)SCALDAFERRI ROSANA 122 20.00    
CLEM GEM Jan05         (dye steven)JUDE JOHN 122 12.00    
 
TAM-8   01/29/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HASN'T HAD ENOUGH         (yanez r)PEREZ EDGAR 122 12.00    
MONAASIB         (escobar ali)GARCIA A 122 30.00    
TOUR OF DUTY         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50 7% 12.80    
HARPOON HARRY Jan07         (blair jordan)CASTANON L 122 3.50 12% 7.40    
BATTLE OF BRITAIN         (mcgaugh)DE CRUZ 122 5.00 48% 1.10    
LE COSTE Jan07         (carvajal luis)ARROYO MIGUEL 115 10.00    
BROTHER IN ARMS         (harty eoin)BOWEN ROCCO 122 10.00    
MOUNT KENYA         (oliver victoria)CENTENO E 122 6.00 5% 18.80    
AUSSIE PRIDE         (mott william )MORALES PABLO 122 5.00 5% 18.30    
10  COASTAL WATERS         (lund valorie)CARDOSO DAVID 122 20.00    
 
TAM-9   01/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($29K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGICAL TALE Jan14         (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 118 10.00    
WELD         (nichols priscilla)JUDE JOHN 118 20.00    
DECIMATOR         (wright michae)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00    
HPNOTIQ RHYTHM Jan08         (l)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 118 8.00    
MYSTERY MAN Jan02         (banks chris)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 5.00    
RECORDER         (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 118 15.00    
HIGH FIVE COTTON Jan08         (delgado )GALLARDO A 118 3.00 61% 0.60    
SWAGGY GEORGE Jan08         (alvarado diane)BOWEN ROCCO 118 6.00    
ELLAS MY LOVE         (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 118 2.50 16% 5.20    
 
TAM-10   01/29/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($29.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARIES MELODY Jan01         (nichols priscilla)JUDE JOHN 118 30.00    
BERNIE'S MISTRESS         (sweezey )GALLARDO A 118 10.00    
HANNAH DANCES         (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 118 15.00    
CAFE FLEUR (FR)         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.00 20% 3.90    
CLASSY WOMAN Jan08         (yanez r)PEREZ EDGAR 118 12.00    
ZARINA Jan08         (stewa)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 12.00 5% 17.50    
SCR  TAP DANCE FEVER Jan19 Jan08       (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 118 6.00    
GENNIE HIGHWAY         (wright michae)HERNANDEZ K 118 15.00    
SLIME QUEEN Jan08         (arnett jon )GARCIA A 118 4.50    
10  PUGILIST Jan01         (delgado h)FERRER C 118 3.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  STOLEN HOLIDAY         (mcgaughey cla)MORALES PABLO 118 2.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  BRAMBLE BAY Jan08         (dini mike)CENTENO E 118 4.00 14% 6.30    
13  ITSAKEYPER         (albertrani t)GARCIA GEOVANY 118 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.