Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Oaklawn Park
Saturday - January 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
OP-1   01/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($43K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONG TERM THINKING Jan01         (asmussen)SANTANA JR 124 2.00 32% 2.20    
SUBSTANTIAL         (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 119 5.00 8% 11.20    
STURGILL         (haran john)BAILEY CHEL-C 117 4.50 12% 7.30    
ULTIMATE         (martin ti)TORRES A 118 3.50    
COLD AS HELL Jan16         (lukas wayne)COURT K 118 15.00    
BULL HOLLOW Jan07         (mason ingrid)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 12.00    
WILD BEHAVIOR Jan07         (sharp joe)GARCIA MARTIN 124 6.00 18% 4.60    
FLAT LUCKY Jan07         (moquett ronal)CABRERA DAVID 118 8.00    
 
OP-2   01/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVERBOAT GAMBLER         (maker mi)SANTANA JR 119 4.00    
LONELY PRIVATE         (hawley wesley)CABRERA DAVID 119 15.00    
TOWN CHAMP Jan01         (mck)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 10.00    
TAPPIN FORA DANCE Jan07         (mason ingrid)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 12.00    
SKYSCANNER Jan01         (shorter a)TORRES A 119 30.00    
VERRAZANO FIRST Jan07         (asmussen stev)PEREIRA TIAGO 119 10.00    
STORM ADVISORY         (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 5.00 17% 4.80    
CALIFORNIA SWING Jan07         (villafranco fre)VAZQUEZ A 119 12.00    
DON'T FORGET         (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 119 3.00 51% 1.00    
10  THE QUEENS JULES         (van thomas)COURT K 119 6.00    
11  ALEX'S STRIKE Jan07         (martin e)TOHILL S 124 10.00    
12  ARCHIEMYBOY         (becker scott)HIRALDO JOHN 119 20.00 5% 17.30    
SCR  FUTILE Jan07         (vance thomas)CONTRERAS LUIS 119 8.00    
 
OP-3   01/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REPLETE Jan14         (green aidan)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 12.00 6% 16.10    
PAST POST         (haran john)BAILEY CHEL-C 117 15.00    
GOLD ENDEAVOR         (hartman alex)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 10.00    
PRESS SNOOZE Jan02         (chl)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 6.00    
HORSE GREEDY Jan14         (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 124 4.00    
WOBBERJOD Jan07         (moquett ronal)CABRERA DAVID 124 3.00 56% 0.80    
FIRERY TALE Jan14         (matthews )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 5.00    
PETIT VERDOT         (van thoma)HIRALDO JOHN 116 10.00    
SEAU         (mcknight norman)VAZQUEZ A 119 3.50 13% 6.90    
 
OP-4   01/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HYPERSPORT         (mason ingrid)PEREIRA TIAGO 115 8.00 11% 7.80    
PRINCESS PAULINE Jan14         (asmussen )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 115 8.00 13% 6.50    
COMO SQUARE         (cox h)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.50    
OPTIONALITY         (asmussen)SANTANA JR 122 1.80 40% 1.50    
CUPID'S MUSIC         (durham danele)QUINONEZ S 115 20.00    
SECRET OATH         (lukas wayn)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 2.00    
 
OP-5   01/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($84K) 3 ALL PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWENTYTWENTYREDO Jan07         (creighton bret)LOPEZ ALBERT 108 30.00    
ATTA PARTY Jan09         (silva miguel)CANCHARI ALEX 120 8.00    
CHALECO         (witt ii)WALES T 120 10.00    
MUCHO ROCKET CAT Jan01         (martin william )COHEN DAVID 120 20.00    
GENTLEMENS JET         (moquett ronald )VAZQUEZ A 120 15.00    
ALLO ENRY Jan09         (deville c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 6.00    
WHERE'S RANDY Jan09         (morse l)HIRALDO JOHN 115 3.00 33% 2.00    
JUSTDENNIS Jan22         (hewitt michael)BOREL H 120 30.00    
WHELEN SPRINGS Jan09         (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
10  POINT BLANK Jan16         (fires h)COURT K 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
11  MO VODKA         (milligan alle)GARCIA MARTIN 120 10.00    
12  MAX'S HEART Jan01         (smith p)CABRERA DAVID 120 5.00 8% 11.80    
SCR  KILGORE Jan09         (moquett ronal)VELAZQUEZ R 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
OP-6   01/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($43K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON FRONTIER Jan01         (pot)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 5.00 25% 3.00    
ALEX JOON         (schultz linds)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00    
LORD DRAGON         (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
PATS PROPERTY         (haran john)HARR KELSI 124 30.00    
LAST MARTINI         (fires h)COURT K 124 30.00    
LEADER OF MEN         (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 10.00    
RIVER ECHO (GB) Jan01         (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 118 12.00 6% 15.70    
SHORTLIST         (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00    
KERSHAW Jan01         (amescua rene)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 4.00 13% 6.60    
10  LASTCHANCEATGLORY         (contreras ci)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 12.00    
11  HYPERFOCUS         (mcknight norman)COHEN DAVID 118 6.00    
12  EGO Jan09         (holthus e)HIRALDO JOHN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MOROCCO         (compton greg)VAZQUEZ A 118 10.00    
 
OP-7   01/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($84K) 3 ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL KING         (robertson mclea)COHEN DAVID 122 20.00    
INSOLITO         (cox h)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
UNSTABLE PRINCE Jan02         (martin willia)CABRERA DAVID 122 12.00    
PAID IN FULL Jan15         (hartlage g)JOHNSON M 122 20.00    
FAVORITE OUTLAW         (asmussen)SANTANA JR 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
DRIVEN ONE         (mason ingrid)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 30.00    
ISLAND MUSIC Jan02         (lukas wayn)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 10.00    
IMPROBABLE JOURNEY         (jones larry)QUINONEZ S 122 4.50    
SKYLINE         (milligan alle)GARCIA MARTIN 122 20.00    
10  SLIM MAN         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.00 15% 5.90    
 
OP-8   01/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALACE COUP         (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 121 5.00    
MIACOMET Jan08         (lukas wayne)HIRALDO JOHN 116 10.00    
QUARTERBACK DAK         (cates al)GARCIA MARTIN 121 12.00    
SCR  MINE OWN STAR         (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 15.00    
MARTINI BLU Jan01         (robertson mcl)CABRERA DAVID 121 10.00    
DIVINE ARMOR Jan02         (hollendorfer )VELAZQUEZ R 121 6.00    
INDIMAAJ Jan01         (diodoro roberti)VAZQUEZ A 121 3.00 63% 0.60    
FAN CLUB Jan02         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.50 9% 9.60    
CALIBRATE         (asmussen)SANTANA JR 118 4.00    
SCR  HUNT THE FRONT         (zito p)HARR KELSI 121 20.00    
 
OP-9   01/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($750K) 3 ALL PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEN DIESEL Jan01         (stewart dallas)COURT K 117 10.00 11% 8.40    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of GIRLS SECRET by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
DASH ATTACK Jan01         (mcpeek kenneth )COHEN DAVID 122 3.50 17% 5.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of CERCE CAY by HARD SPUN)
DON'TCROSSTHEDEVIL Jan01         (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 117 30.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of THE DEVIL IS MINE by DEVIL HIS DUE)
KAVOD Jan01         (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 117 12.00    
  (by LEA out of WEEKEND CONNECTION by PULPIT)
COSTA TERRA         (asmussen stev)PEREIRA TIAGO 117 12.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TEARDROP by TAPIT)
OSBOURNE         (moquett ronal)CABRERA DAVID 117 8.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of PLANET ROCK by ROCK HARD TEN)
IGNITIS Jan01         (lukas wayn)CONTRERAS LUIS 117 10.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of ZAHARIAS by GRAND SLAM)
BARBER ROAD Jan01         (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 117 5.00 16% 5.20    
  (by RACE DAY out of ENCOUNTER by SOUTHERN IMAGE)
CLASSIC MOMENT         (asmussen stev)GARCIA MARTIN 117 12.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of VICTORY PARTY by GUILTY CONSCIENCE)
10  NEWGRANGE Jan01         (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.00 18% 4.60    
  (by VIOLENCE out of BELLA CHIANTI by EMPIRE MAKER)
11  CALL ME JAMAL         (puh)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 117 30.00 10% 9.20    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of JARAMAR RAIN by THUNDER GULCH)
12  VIVAR Jan01         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 12.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of DEBIT by TAPIT)
 
OP-10   01/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLLIS         (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LONG RANGE TODDY Jan15         (stewart dallas)COURT K 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
HOME BASE Jan01         (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 115 12.00    
COLLUSION ILLUSION         (glatt mark)VELAZQUEZ R 115 3.00    
DOUBLE CROWN         (amoss thomas )CABRERA DAVID 115 12.00    
NASHVILLE         (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 115 2.50 69% 0.40    
BOB'S EDGE         (jones larry)QUINONEZ S 119 5.00    
BOLDOR         (asmussen steven)COHEN DAVID 117 8.00    
SEVEN NATION ARMY Jan14         (moquett ronald )VAZQUEZ A 115 8.00    
 
OP-11   01/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($84K) 3 ALL PT- 6:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOIN TO THE SHOW         (puhich mi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00    
ETHEREAL ROAD         (lukas wayn)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 10.00 10% 8.70    
SKATE TO HEAVEN Jan15         (diodoro roberti)VAZQUEZ A 122 3.50 18% 4.50    
QUICK TO BLAME         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.50 27% 2.80    
LIFE ON THE NILE         (hollendorfer )PEREIRA TIAGO 122 12.00    
SEVEN FLAT         (moquett ronal)VELAZQUEZ R 122 12.00    
TEN GAUGE Jan02         (asmussen)SANTANA JR 122 5.00 17% 4.90    
MISTICAL CURLIN         (mcpeek kenneth )COHEN DAVID 122 8.00    
CURLY TAIL         (stewart dallas)COURT K 122 15.00 6% 14.80    
10  MINICONJOU Jan02         (milligan alle)GARCIA MARTIN 122 12.00    
11  MUMAYAZ         (peitz c)HIRALDO JOHN 117 10.00    
12  KING DOODLE         (mak)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 20.00    
SCR  DEPUTY CONNECT         (cox h)VELAZQUEZ R 122 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.