Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sam Houston Park
Saturday - January 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HOU-1   01/29/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.75K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEMINATOR Jan14         (clary jaylan)MORA GERARDO 123 12.00 19% 4.40    
MONSTER RIVER         (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 2.00 22% 3.60    
CONCRETE FINISHER         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 3.00 22% 3.50    
D TOWN BABY         (duhon paul)DIEGO V 123 8.00    
ISTAN WARRIOR Jan14         (eoff terry)LARA EZEQUIEL 123 4.00    
SMART CALL Jan14         (rober)LABARRE GRACE 123 8.00    
HEAROSEONEASTER Jan08         (davidson )TRIANA JR 123 6.00    
 
HOU-2   01/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($12K) 45 M/F PT- 8:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FALYN'S GOLD RULER Jan01         (gilbert riley )MORA GERARDO 123 12.00    
IMA CRUEL GIRL         (scholl )GONCALVES R 123 1.60    
WHY KENZLY         (mitchell billy)HUGHES CARLY 118 30.00    
SCR  ALIMONY BLUES         (davidson m )MELANCON JANSEN 123 3.50 31% 2.20    
AMANTE DE SARA         (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 2.50 15% 5.80    
SWIFTY DAWN         (pruitt m)DIEGO V 123 6.00    
SCR  MOM'S PRAYER Jan21 Jan06       (brooks andre)BROOKS B 123 10.00 15% 5.90    
 
HOU-3   01/29/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($15.5K) 45 ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONGRATS FOR GLORY         (short thomas)DIAZ CARLOS 123 2.50 11% 8.50    
SUPER D'ORO         (davidson m )MELANCON JANSEN 123 20.00    
WILTON Jan07         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 3.00 24% 3.10    
GOOD SWIMMER         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 4.00    
SCARYATCANTERBURY         (silva miguel)LARA EZEQUIEL 123 6.00    
AIR FORCE ANGEL Jan06         (jacks kare)ERAMIA E 123 3.50 38% 1.70    
PARABELLUM Jan21         (castellanos ja)MORA GERARDO 123 15.00    
 
HOU-4   01/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($21K) 45 M/F PT- 9:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KARAKONTINA Jan14         (cruz eduardo)ALVAREZ L 123 8.00    
LA TRESS GRAY         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 6.00    
BLING ON THE LIGHT         (scholl )GONCALVES R 123 10.00    
SCR  KYLIE'S TWO SOX         (young bob)MELANCON JANSEN 123 15.00 23% 3.40    
EURORICHGIRL Jan14         (castellanos j)LARA EZEQUIEL 123 3.50    
WOO HOO Jan14         (rossi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 3.00    
MY RACING HEART Jan14         (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 2.00 48% 1.10    
 
HOU-5   01/29/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMARDINE         (grudzien ryl)MAGNON H 123 6.00 7% 12.50    
PRINCESS ARANTZA Jan13         (silva miguel)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 30.00    
SARDABLING         (castellanos ja)LUZZI J 123 30.00    
DOC'S DENITA Jan07         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 20.00    
LEMONS IS GONE         (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 12.00    
HAWKEYE GIRL         (echeverria he)LARA EZEQUIEL 123 20.00    
GRAY ZONE         (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 2.50 23% 3.30    
RUMPUS         (g)DE CRUZ 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
STALEMATE Jan07         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 5.00 6% 16.00    
10  GRAYGIRLGO Jan07         (barton aman)MELANCON JANSEN 123 4.00 39% 1.50    
11  SWEET PERFECTION         (duhon paul)HAMILTON WESTON 123 20.00    
12  CAUSE SHE'S MINE Jan13         (pruitt jo)TRIANA JR 123 30.00    
 
HOU-6   01/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 45 M/F PT-10:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SULWE         (moque)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 3.50 27% 2.80    
1A  CANCAN SAREE         (moquett ronald)LUZZI J 123 3.50    
CHERISH THE DAY Jan08         (villafranco)WETHEY JR 123 20.00    
ALPHA THIRTY EIGHT         (hurley re)LANDEROS C 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
BERING'S SPECIAL Jan06         (whitelaw mi)HAMILTON WESTON 123 15.00 12% 7.30    
MISS EMPIREMENT Jan13         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 0.60 31% 2.20    
INDY LOVER         (eoff terry)MONTALVO C 123 8.00    
PROUD FOOT Jan13         (hall john)TRIANA JR 123 4.50    
 
HOU-7   01/29/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17.5K) 4UP ALL PT-10:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHARME'S PHAITH         (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 30.00    
HIGH TONE Jan07         (villafranco mart)MONTALVO C 123 10.00 9% 9.80    
YIP YIP KIP         (bravo fran)ERAMIA E 123 3.50 38% 1.60    
TWILITE LIASON         (applebee david)MORA GERARDO 123 20.00    
TIME MACHINE         (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 12.00    
FALSELY ACCUSED         (lucarelli)TRIANA JR 123 8.00    
VETERAN'S HOLIDAY         (scholl )GONCALVES R 123 15.00    
DREWPOWER Jan02         (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 123 4.50 11% 7.80    
CARPE EROS Jan07         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 3.00 16% 5.40    
10  WHISKEY NOT WINE         (lucarelli f)HAMILTON WESTON 123 6.00    
11  SIGN OF WAR         (g)DE CRUZ 123 30.00    
SCR  THE INFLUENCER         (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 30.00    
 
HOU-8   01/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($15.5K) 3 F PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUE BLUE SKY         (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 122 6.00 10% 8.90    
SCR  TALKATIVE         (calhoun wi)ERAMIA E 122 4.50    
ATHENIAN PRINCESS         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 10.00    
SCR  WITTS QUESO         (barton amand)PIVARAL GERBER 122 20.00    
SOUL SET FREE         (david)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 15.00    
MS. LINA         (short thomas)DIAZ CARLOS 122 30.00    
BEAUTIFUL JUDGE         (padilla a)DIEGO V 122 20.00    
NOODLE SALAD         (biehler m)TRIANA JR 122 3.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  QUEENSCABALLO         (biehler e)ELLIOTT S 122 1.40 49% 1.00    
 
HOU-9   01/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3 F PT-11:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAN'S TURN TO WIN Jan20         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 3.00 60% 0.70    
SCR  KELLEY SAID READY         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 3.00    
IMA SKY TRAVELER Jan06         (cravens ronn)ALVAREZ L 122 6.00    
OPTIMISTIC COWGIRL         (cruz eduar)ERAMIA E 122 30.00    
CHARMINGSIDE         (pish dann)STEINBERG GARRETT 122 20.00    
MADAME RUE         (w)DE CRUZ 122 15.00    
ONE RACY LADY         (eoff terry)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 8.00    
RUN WITT RUN         (barton aman)MELANCON JANSEN 122 20.00    
LITESTER         (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 122 4.00 7% 12.60    
REUNION BLING         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 1.80 9% 10.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.