Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Saturday - January 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   01/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOUISIANA THUNDER Jan20         (moran clyd)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00    
DAVES FRIEND DEWEY Jan06         (williams ke)MORALES ROBERTO 121 6.00 14% 5.90    
GRAND PRIORITY Jan03         (calhoun will)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 3.00 23% 3.40    
YOAKAM         (core )MONSERRATE A 121 8.00    
CUSTOM SIERRA Jan20 Jan03       (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 2.50 21% 3.70    
CRYPTORITHM Jan06         (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 121 15.00    
P T'S FLASH Jan20         (zenon cha)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 4.50 20% 4.00    
BROOK IS GOLDEN Jan20         (singh s)SINGH R 121 15.00    
RICHARDS DREAM         (charles jonath)CULP BRIANNE 116 20.00    
 
FG-2   01/29/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RONITHELIMODRIVER Jan02         (leonard georg)VARGAS P 122 4.50 12% 7.30    
1A  FIFTYFIVE STRONG Jan01         (leonard georg)VARGAS P 122 4.50    
ANICLUDE Jan08         (wilson shane)RIQUELME J 122 12.00    
FULL DINNER JACKET Jan02         (rubley kelly)GRAHAM J 122 12.00    
HOLY EMPEROR Jan08         (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 3.00 10% 8.70    
GUNNER PAUL Jan08         (lovell michelle)PARKER L 122 8.00    
HOT STOVE LEAGUE Jan13         (amoss tho)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50    
BOLD MINISTER Jan01         (richard c)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 15.00    
FLYING CURLIN Jan17         (casse mark)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00    
GROOM LAKE Jan08         (barnett bobby )SANJUR SANTO 122 8.00    
10  EXCLAIM         (desormeaux keit)DIAZ RENE 109 12.00    
SCR  LEROY JENKINS Jan02         (alonzo ho)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 8.00    
SCR  EKATI'S VERVE Jan03         (hartman chris)MOJICA O 122 4.00 56% 0.80    
 
FG-3   01/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MONEY AND ME Jan03         (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
NOSY BANKER Jan09         (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 120 4.50    
GOLD PUNCH         (bourgeois keith)RIQUELME J 120 6.00 9% 9.70    
SCHNELL         (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 18% 4.60    
JANETS JAY JAY Jan08         (alonzo howar)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 2.50 31% 2.30    
MUCHO MARVIN Jan08         (courville rick)COTTO L 120 15.00    
TOTALLY ADDICTED         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00    
BOURBON ST TAPPIN         (ducoing s)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 15% 5.80    
 
FG-4   01/29/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWE SHACKLE Jan02         (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.50 13% 6.40    
1A  HALEYS SAILOR Jan13         (duhon o)GRAHAM J 121 4.50    
POLICY OPTION Jan08         (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 5.00 6% 15.90    
SCR  BRIAR JUMPER         (crowder m)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 15.00    
ELUSIVE D'ORO         (delahouss)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00    
CITADEL Jan08         (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 124 12.00    
COURAGEOUSLY Jan13         (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 3.50    
SCR  AKHNAS         (tracy greg)DIAZ RENE 116 8.00 21% 3.90    
CAVE HILL Jan08         (maker j)PARKER L 121 4.00 29% 2.40    
SMOKEY HARBOR Jan08         (faucheux ron)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.50 10% 9.10    
 
FG-5   01/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($54K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUKI         (shirer a)PARKER L 120 4.50 23% 3.40    
1A  GOOD PENNY         (shirer a)PARKER L 120 4.50    
2B  MISTY VEIL Jan07         (amoss m)GRAHAM J 122 2.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  LADY FROSTED Jan13         (amoss m)GRAHAM J 122 2.50    
FIRE CORAL         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 10% 8.80    
PERFECT CHOICE         (cox brad )HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 22% 3.50    
JUDY'S WAY Jan14         (silva carl)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
GIANNA'S GIFT Jan15         (miller jer)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00    
 
FG-6   01/29/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($46K) 3 F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOLA FLO Jan13         (cash l)PARKER L 119 15.00    
PEARL EARRING Jan01         (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 20% 4.10    
MAXINE MACHINE Jan01         (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 3.00    
NEW YEAR'S EVE         (walsh brenda)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.50 10% 9.20    
WHENTHEDAWNBREAKS         (cox brad )HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 38% 1.60    
MISSION BELLE         (amoss m)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 11% 8.40    
CHARGING NELLIE         (roussel lo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00    
BIZYMALINE Jan01         (scherer ga)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00    
SCR  MYSTIQUE SABOTEUR         (margolis s)HERNANDEZ J 116 8.00    
 
FG-7   01/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THE COMPLETE COURT         (singh s)SINGH R 117 20.00    
AIN'T SHE DAHRLIN Jan06         (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 5.00    
MELODY ROSE         (mouton patric)VARGAS P 120 20.00    
AUNT JOIE Jan03         (glover tracey)PARKER L 122 6.00    
ROOKERY         (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 9% 10.10    
SCR  LATTE DOLCE         (heitzman eri)LAVIOLETTE S 120 12.00    
CURVETTE         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.40 65% 0.50    
LOVE OF MY HEART         (forster g)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-8   01/29/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROOKE MARIE         (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.50 12% 7.30    
SHE CAN'T SING Jan01         (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00    
PATHETIQUE         (bauer a)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
EUPHORIC         (flint bern)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
SCR  ACTING OUT         (sherman alan)PARKER L 118 12.00    
ELLE Z Jan01         (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 2.50 52% 0.90    
SCR  OFFSPRING Jan07         (roussel l)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 12.00    
CHANGE OF CONTROL         (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 10% 9.20    
DRAPES         (baker james)SANJUR SANTO 118 12.00    
10  ONEROLLOFTHEDICE Jan07         (wilson shane)RIQUELME J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-9   01/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOTPIN         (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 6.00    
COFFEE COUNTY         (cuccia j)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 6.00    
MAXIMUM FURY         (hodges e)GRAHAM J 125 20.00    
HALF MAGIC Jan08         (faucheux ron)MOJICA O 125 12.00    
MR ELVIN Jan08         (derousselle )BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 2.50 5% 19.00    
IT'S A BIRD Jan14 Jan05       (ali ancil)PARKER L 125 6.00    
INTHEALY Jan01         (glover tracey)GREEN AUBRIE 125 5.00    
DUVEE Jan06         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 4.50 66% 0.50    
ADIEU LE CHAT Jan08         (alonzo howard)COTTO L 125 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.