Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Saturday - January 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   01/29/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PADIOLI         (granger randall)KENNEDY TY 123 15.00 7% 14.40    
2  TINCANDANCE Jan01         (lara jorge)GUZMAN JORGE 123 8.00 14% 6.40    
3  REMI'S ROSE Jan05         (toups brent)STOKES J 123 15.00    
4  APRIORITY GIRL         (ali andrea )RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 12.00    
5  SOUVENIR CHANNEL         (noel dane)ROMAN KEVIN 123 3.50 25% 3.00    
6  ELLIE'S A WILDCAT Jan14         (broussard j)LEDET THEODRICK 123 4.50    
7  LA SMOOCHIE         (pomier chasey )THORNTON G 123 5.00 ★    
8  TIME TO SLEEP Jan13         (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.50 26% 2.80    
9  CHARLIE SKY Jan05         (thomas lee)BROUSSARD ASHLEY 123 10.00    
 
DED-2   01/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOODNIGHTSUGAR         (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 8.00 13% 6.70    
2  FABULOUS GIRL         (chatters benard)ROMAN KEVIN 123 2.00 ★    
3  HONEST WOMAN Jan01         (turner patt)FLORES S 120 6.00    
4  PRETTY PRODUCTION         (zeno benjam)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 10.00    
5  FIANNA HILLS Jan12         (reeves jeffery)THORNTON G 123 8.00 ★    
6  LULUMARU         (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 123 4.00 38% 1.60    
7  SUPER LEGS Jan12         (gonzalez v)BIRZER E 123 3.00 15% 5.70    
 
DED-3   01/29/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3 F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS EMMA JEAN Jan15         (ward ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 4.00 ★    
2  ZIPITY Jan15         (roberts kenneth)ROMAN KEVIN 121 15.00    
3  MY GAL CHARLOTTE Jan06         (thomas lee)BROUSSARD ASHLEY 121 12.00 9% 9.90    
4  TRICKY MOM Jan06         (brinkman bret)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 2.50 38% 1.60    
5  SPORT PALACE         (johnson henry )GUZMAN JORGE 121 8.00 ★    
6  POINT ME OUT Jan20         (hebert dori)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 3.50 32% 2.10    
7  E R'S MIREYA Jan01         (ramire)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 15.00    
8  CUPIE CUTIE         (gelner scott)MCMAHON J 121 5.00    
9  KEEP ON DREAMING         (beavin judy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 121 12.00    
 
DED-4   01/29/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAT ME DOWN Jan15         (fuselier jonah)MCMAHON J 115 6.00    
2  SHAR'S TREASURE Jan10         (cordero ang)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 4.50 16% 5.20    
3  FLAT OUT LOVE Jan15         (landry ray)STOKES J 118 3.50 ★    
4  KING NATE Jan15         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 2.00 41% 1.50    
5  SLOW Jan12         (barnes david)JOURNET JARRED 115 15.00    
6  LAST TO KNOW Jan07         (rubin donald)MELANCON G 115 8.00 5% 18.00    
7  QUANA DUDE         (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 10.00 13% 6.90    
8  HOT LE ROY Jan12         (larrosa a)BIRZER E 115 10.00    
 
DED-5   01/29/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($24K) 3 ALL PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRIAR         (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 3.50 27% 2.80    
2  BAYOU SARGE         (turner patt)FLORES S 118 8.00    
3  BLUE RIDGE RED         (klanfer ala)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 6.00 15% 5.80    
4  IM JUST JOKIN         (tracy greg)BIRZER E 121 2.50 18% 4.60    
5  FAMOUS YANKEE         (segura kearney)FUSILIER C 118 5.00    
6  THE BIG SHOW Jan12         (hibdon)RUIZ GARCIA 121 4.50 ★    
7  MISCHIEVOUS DEVIL Jan05         (morris rowdy)ROMAN KEVIN 121 12.00    
8  WEDINGTON         (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 12.00 11% 8.50    
 
DED-6   01/29/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EZEE ENOUGH         (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 115 2.50 38% 1.60    
2  ROSE CROWN Jan14         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 115 4.00    
3  MISS CASEY BETH         (dixon tim)FLORES S 118 8.00    
4  COUNTRY DREAM Jan06         (reeves jeffery )MCMAHON J 118 12.00 15% 5.70    
5  UNTETHERED SOUL Jan01         (bruno do)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 115 8.00    
6  MISS INVASIVE         (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 118 12.00 5% 18.90    
7  SHE'S SEVENTEEN Jan14         (gonzalez v)KENNEDY TY 115 3.50 18% 4.70    
8  MISS UNDERRATED         (larrosa juan )PUSAC ALBERTO 115 5.00 ★    
 
DED-7   01/29/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WONDER RUN Jan06         (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.50 21% 3.80    
2  RISKY STEPS         (cormie)RUIZ GARCIA 120 20.00    
3  CROCODILE JACQUES         (zenon charles)BURNINGHAM J 120 20.00    
4  FAZIO Jan06         (roberts kenneth)MCMAHON J 120 12.00 8% 11.90    
5  LENAPE DRIVE Jan06         (thomas lee)POMPELL L 120 6.00    
6  CAJUN BERTI Jan07         (degeyter ran)JOURNET JARRED 123 3.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  BROAD DECISION Jan07         (robbins han)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 12.00 13% 7.00    
8  B B MOODY Jan15         (barnes davi)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 10.00 12% 7.10    
9  KENSLEY'S HIPPIE Jan06         (segura kearney)STOKES J 120 8.00    
10  I'M A SPECIAL STAR Jan14         (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00    
 
DED-8   01/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($38K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONATIVE Jan13         (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 2.50    
SCR  EASY TO MISS         (rubin donald)MELANCON G 115 12.00    
3  PAT'S KARMA         (de al)MCMAHON J 118 6.00 15% 5.50    
4  PIPES AND DRUMS Jan08         (arceneaux victor)STOKES J 123 4.50 ★    
5  LIKEN IT Jan08         (ward ron)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 20.00    
SCR  FORESTDUNGONE Jan07         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 115 6.00 21% 3.70    
7  LOUISIANA HERO Jan06         (magnon jason)MAGNON H 115 15.00    
8  MISCHIEF'S MACHINE         (arceneaux victor)FUSILIER C 118 3.50 17% 5.00    
9  FLYING HONEYPOT         (chatters bena)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 8.00 22% 3.50    
 
DED-9   01/29/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNOCKALITTLELOUDER Jan15         (vance w)POMPELL L 115 15.00    
2  JONATHAN WHO         (rubin donald)MELANCON G 118 15.00    
3  MCLEAN Jan13         (ward ronnie)ROMAN KEVIN 115 6.00    
4  IMPACT PLAYER         (tracy greg)MCMAHON J 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  LION HEART LEGEND Jan06         (toups brent)STOKES J 115 12.00 ★    
6  PRAY IDE SING         (ramirez jos)DEL-CID VICENTE 110 20.00    
7  NOSBOR Jan06         (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 118 4.00    
SCR  FRESH ONE Jan21         (gustafson aust)THORNTON G 118 3.00 71% 0.40    
9  O'L RED Jan13         (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 115 4.50 ★    
10  PAPA BRO Jan13         (breaux samue)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 8.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.