Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Friday - January 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   01/28/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRUSH IT         (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
RON DON SCORESE         (kreiser t)VARGAS L 120 3.50    
MUCHO MACHO EDDIE Jan07         (ness jami)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 15% 5.90    
JAYJAYDEE         (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50    
BREEZE BURNER         (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 120 5.00 15% 5.60    
DEVINE DENTAL         (graci k)BERRIOS JOSEPH 120 6.00    
 
PEN-2   01/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3 ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER REIGN         (albright ge)INIRIO J 122 6.00 17% 4.80    
GANDI Jan12         (albright r)AGUILAR M 122 1.40    
COMPACT         (beattie sandee )WHITNEY G 122 6.00    
ASLUCKWOULDHAVIT         (kravets m)OTERO P 122 6.00 17% 4.80    
AKINGISALWAYSKING         (simoff andr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 2.00    
MASON MANIA         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 15% 5.90    
 
PEN-3   01/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIXIE CANNONBALL Jan07         (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 124 2.00 52% 0.90    
SPOOKY ONE Jan07         (albright ge)INIRIO J 124 6.00    
DEB'S GUNFIGHTER Jan07         (albright r)FLORES E 124 12.00    
MR DUBAI Jan07         (martinez a)AGUILAR M 124 30.00    
MY MAN GEORGIO Jan07         (carpio erin)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00    
GREY QUEST Jan14         (sinnefia paulina)OTERO P 124 3.00    
FICTIONALFAIRYTALE Jan07         (bedard alan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
MISTER GARY         (carpio erin)CORA D 122 8.00    
 
PEN-4   01/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3 ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORASHI Jan12         (albright r)AGUILAR M 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
UNCLE GARY G Jan18         (taylor jo)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 25% 3.00    
ADY'S MUNNY Jan12         (kulp l)WHITNEY G 122 8.00    
BENCH PRESS         (agnew naois)INIRIO J 122 6.00    
BLO MY BUDGET Jan12         (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.80 44% 1.30    
SCR  BET THE QUEEN         (agnew naoise)BEATO INOEL 117 5.00    
JUMP FREE         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00    
 
PEN-5   01/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOIS'S CAUSE Jan07         (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT FLING         (brown keith )VILLEGAS JERRY 124 15.00    
SPUNKY ZOEY Jan07         (stites fl)RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.50 49% 1.00    
SAW         (hillegass alexandr)FLORES E 124 30.00    
RUN LAURA RUN Jan07         (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 124 1.60 23% 3.40    
GUSSIE'S NOTION         (shea h)CORA D 124 5.00    
 
PEN-6   01/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNO TIGRESS Jan05         (wyner har)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
COLOR FORCE Jan12 Jan04       (salinas)BERRIOS JOSEPH 122 12.00    
KITTEN'S PEEBLES         (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00    
LIFE ON THE EDGE         (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00    
NOTE TO SELFIE Jan12         (kravets m)OTERO P 122 4.00 13% 6.80    
MS TEEK         (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00    
CUCKOO FORCONONUTS Jan04         (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 124 1.60 38% 1.60    
 
PEN-7   01/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUNNY CALL         (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SHAKEM         (martinez a)AGUILAR M 122 30.00    
WARRIOR'S BLADE         (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 19% 4.30    
WOW FACTOR         (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 122 1.50 54% 0.90    
SCR  REAWAKENED Jan14         (meister wil)INIRIO J 122 5.00    
SWEET SAVAGE         (wyner harold)BOWMAN ADAM 122 6.00    
SCR  NEEDACARCALLLOUIE         (brown keith )VILLEGAS JERRY 122 8.00    
 
PEN-8   01/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTERCEPT         (beattie c)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.80 28% 2.50    
OFF DUTY Jan12 Jan03       (aristone philip)WHITNEY G 124 4.00 19% 4.10    
SCR  DIDNT DO IT Jan18         (klesaris )RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50    
EXECUTIVE DECREE Jan12         (hillegass alexandr)FLORES E 124 30.00    
HERE WEGO         (rodriguez migue)BEATO INOEL 124 1.60 28% 2.60    
NAUTICAL NATURE         (o'hearn heather)CHIAPPE R 124 30.00    
SCR  RANDOM THOUGHTS Jan12         (maymo j)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 30.00    
 
PEN-9   01/28/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOON MEISTER         (ferreira fe)INIRIO J 122 12.00    
CARGO SHIP Jan11         (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 122 1.60 44% 1.30    
BOYS OF QUEENS Jan07         (ippolito mark)BAKER J 122 12.00    
FUEL THE BERN Jan12         (sells rac)VARGAS L 122 5.00 18% 4.70    
BUILT THAT WAY Jan19         (ferreira fernan)WHITNEY G 122 4.00 11% 8.20    
PAL CAL Jan07         (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00    
ESPRESSO CALIENTE Jan12         (penaloza mig)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.