Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Friday - January 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   01/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($21K) 45 ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MANI SURPRISE Jan13         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 4.50 5% 17.30    
2  EUROROCKSTAR         (rossi lee )ERAMIA E 123 1.60 13% 6.60    
3  COLEMAN CREEK Jan06         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.50 57% 0.80    
4  MR. WIMBLEDON BAY         (willis mi)TRIANA JR 123 20.00 ★    
5  INFINITE JETSETTER Jan15         (roberts j)STEINBERG GARRETT 123 8.00 ★    
6  VICTOR VALENTINO         (padilla car)HAMILTON WESTON 123 12.00    
7  FEARLESS PRINCE Jan13         (castellanos ja)MORA GERARDO 123 6.00    
 
HOU-2   01/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TESUQUE Jan13         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 3.00    
1A  FIRST EMPRESS Jan21         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 121 3.00 46% 1.20    
2  BREAK AT DAWN Jan06         (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 119 6.00 ★    
3  MUSICAL MILLIE Jan15         (cravens ronn)ALVAREZ L 119 3.50 13% 6.90    
4  SHESMYBROKER         (eoff terry)ERAMIA E 119 4.50    
5  HIGH CLASS EURO         (williams steve)LANDEROS C 119 8.00 ★    
6  BRIGHTEST         (duhon paul)HAMILTON WESTON 119 2.00 10% 8.50    
 
HOU-3   01/28/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 45 ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STUCK         (castellanos ja)LUZZI J 123 15.00    
2  WARRIORS HAVEN         (saavedra mar)ALVAREZ L 123 12.00    
3  MR L B J Jan06         (pruitt jo)TRIANA JR 123 8.00    
4  AQUIMINE         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.80 48% 1.10    
5  OKLAHOMA HEAT         (offolter j)ERAMIA E 123 3.00 20% 3.90    
6  GOSPEL BUZZ         (williams st)HAMILTON WESTON 123 20.00 ★    
SCR  MCKAY Jan21 Jan06       (brooks andre)SANCHEZ M 123 30.00    
8  STEELY CAPER Jan07         (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 123 4.50 9% 10.00    
9  TEMPLE OF LIGHT         (pish da)GONCALVES R 123 6.00 ★    
 
HOU-4   01/28/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE MY RIDE         (offolter j)ERAMIA E 123 1.20 ★    
2  BONHAM         (gustafson aus)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 3.00 49% 1.00    
3  FIFTYSHADESOPURPLE         (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 3.50 ★    
4  GOT KRAMER Jan20 Jan09       (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 10.00 8% 10.80    
5  BALKY Jan08         (duhon paul)DIEGO V 123 30.00    
6  CREATIVE LETTERS         (tracy greg)LUZZI J 123 4.50 10% 8.90    
 
HOU-5   01/28/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. UNUSUAL         (c)DE CRUZ 123 20.00    
2  MILLWOOD Jan14         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 6.00 ★    
3  ATTAIN SUCCESS Jan14         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 1.20 31% 2.20    
4  PADDOCK PICK Jan05         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 4.50 17% 5.00    
SCR  RANCHO BARGO         (williams steve)HUGHES CARLY 118 20.00    
6  ELITCH Jan14         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.50 28% 2.50    
7  PROMISING SHOES         (tracy)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 8.00 ★    
 
HOU-6   01/28/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17.5K) 4UP M/F PT-10:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAPI (CHI)         (jacks karen)HAMILTON WESTON 123 4.50 9% 10.70    
2  TUDELA         (castellanos ja)LUZZI J 123 12.00    
3  SPECIAL INCLUSION         (cravens ronn)ALVAREZ L 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  BEYOND BROWN Jan21         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 15.00 5% 17.30    
5  FASTED         (garza joel)DELGADO RICARDO 118 20.00    
6  MOM'S PASS Jan06         (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 10.00 9% 10.80    
7  IRISH BIZ         (offolter j)ERAMIA E 123 6.00    
8  TEXAS SPRING         (carter r)MORA GERARDO 123 30.00    
9  THORNY ROSE         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 3.00 54% 0.80    
10  ENDLESS ROMANCE         (craddoc)GONCALVES R 123 2.00    
 
HOU-7   01/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT-10:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITZ THE DITZ         (ashford r)HAMILTON WESTON 123 1.60 ★    
2  PYRAMID PRINCESS         (stuart clinto)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 3.50    
3  B'ESAME ME MUCHO         (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 123 6.00 16% 5.30    
4  MISS AMERICANA (PER) Jan13         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.00 42% 1.40    
5  PAYDIEM         (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 123 8.00 15% 5.50    
6  LEMON ROSES Jan13         (love alan)PEREZ E 123 12.00 ★    
 
HOU-8   01/28/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSIE'S OUTLAW Jan15 Jan08       (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 3.50 ★    
SCR  FETCHING         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 118 3.50    
2  ARYESCELESTIC MAN Jan20         (garc)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 10.00 7% 13.10    
3  KING LIAM         (thomas lee)MORA GERARDO 123 4.50    
4  SATURDAY'S GOLD         (thomas lee)WETHEY JR 123 1.80 36% 1.80    
SCR  WONDERS OF HISLOVE         (lucarelli)TRIANA JR 123 3.00 10% 9.10    
6  BELEWS GOLD Jan08         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 6.00    
7  MOVER         (cravens ronn)ALVAREZ L 123 2.50 15% 5.70    
 
HOU-9   01/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($15.5K) 3 ALL PT-11:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITT AMERICA         (barton aman)MELANCON JANSEN 122 15.00    
1A  KING WITT         (barton amand)PIVARAL GERBER 122 15.00 ★    
2  MOOGIE SON         (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 122 12.00 ★    
3  FINISH LINE         (gustafson aus)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 6.00 ★    
4  BOLD N WILD         (eoff terry)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 2.00 51% 1.00    
5  WEIRD YEAR         (hebert matt)MORA GERARDO 122 20.00    
6  HEZA FREAK         (villafranco marti)PEREZ E 122 12.00    
7  SMART BATTLE Jan08         (duhon paul)DIEGO V 122 15.00    
8  COURAGEOUS TIMMY         (silva mig)TRIANA JR 122 4.50    
9  LAB RAT Jan13         (davidson brent)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00 23% 3.40    
10  CONCOCTION         (moquett ronald)LUZZI J 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.