Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Thursday - January 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   01/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($39.6K) 4UP ALL PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL THUNDER Jan01         (mcmahon hug)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 2.00 28% 2.60    
MONSTER MASON         (mcfarl)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 15.00    
BUGLE OF WAR Jan16         (cash norm)CARRASCO R 123 15.00    
HE'S ORIENTATE Jan16         (heil b)PEREZ XAVIER 123 5.00    
JOHN THE BEAR Jan01         (gonzalez clau)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 3.50 18% 4.40    
MAGIC MULE         (mcmahon thomas)RUIZ JORGE 123 1.60 32% 2.10    
 
LRL-2   01/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($38.4K) 4UP ALL PT-12:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAKENEKO         (gonzalez cl)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 3.50 19% 4.30    
BADGER TOOTH         (bailes rober)ARAUJO DENIS 123 6.00    
SCR  RAD PAISLEY Jan23         (bailes robert)MONTERREY R 123 12.00 11% 8.30    
UNCOMMON VALOR Jan16         (corrales jose)ALVELO C 119 4.00    
ANTIPOISON         (vick timoth)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 4.50    
NARMER         (maldonado jon)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.50 35% 1.90    
TRIPLE TITOS Jan01         (capuan)ENRIQUEZ JR 116 6.00    
 
LRL-3   01/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($46.8K) 45 M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMER ODDS         (mcclure )BUTTERFLY L 119 8.00    
BESTLA         (bourne)ENRIQUEZ JR 119 15.00    
POLISH COOKIE         (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 126 4.50 19% 4.30    
THIEF OF DREAMS         (samaniego jose)ACOSTA D 126 15.00    
PEACE OUT         (meister s)DELGADO A 126 12.00    
UTTERLY COURAGEOUS         (hall d)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 1.40 38% 1.60    
GWYNEDD         (perkins jr)BOYCE FOREST 126 2.00 19% 4.30    
 
LRL-4   01/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEVERLY PARK Jan23 Jan14 Jan02     (cash norm)CARRASCO R 126 0.50 31% 2.20    
SNEAKINESS Jan04         (penaloza mig)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 4.00 31% 2.30    
TOP BOSS Jan01         (mohan r)TREJOS JOSEPH 123 20.00    
KINGSTON PIKE Jan14         (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 123 5.00 16% 5.30    
GRUMPELSTILTSKIN         (pickett cry)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 15.00    
MYSTIC TIMES Jan16         (trujillo elvis)MONTERREY R 123 20.00    
AMEN CORNER         (aguirre anthony)RUIZ JORGE 123 15.00    
 
LRL-5   01/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($57.6K) 3 F PT- 2:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAZINGA C         (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 121 5.00 19% 4.20    
PAYNT BY NUMBER         (perkins b)CARRASCO R 121 15.00    
ISTHATYOURHARLEY         (trombetta m)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 10.00    
SCR  REDWHITEANDTACOS         (dilodovico dam)ARAUJO DENIS 121 15.00    
SWEET GRACIE         (allen f)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 6.00    
SHE IS WISKY         (corrales jose)KARAMANOS A 121 3.50 35% 1.80    
MOODY WOMAN         (mcmullen marilyn)RUIZ JORGE 121 8.00    
SCR  JACRODRA'S DEVIL         (gonzalez cl)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 6.00 5% 18.60    
CLICK TO CONFIRM         (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPARKLE SPRINKLE         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 8.00 13% 6.60    
11  PREPAREFORTAKEOFF Jan14         (maldonado jon)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 15.00    
 
LRL-6   01/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIX ME A SANDWICH Jan14         (gonzalez claud)ROSADO JOHAN 123 4.50    
BIG TALL DAWG         (testerman v)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 10.00    
COMMANDING GENERAL Jan14         (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 123 8.00 6% 16.10    
COMBINATION         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 2.50 54% 0.90    
FAST CASH         (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 122 2.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  ZEN PI Jan16         (capuano dale)ALVELO C 119 4.50    
SUBJECT TO CHANGE Jan02         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 15.00    
 
LRL-7   01/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($30K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARBUTUS Jan02         (vick timoth)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 20.00    
POSTINO'S SECRET         (worton doroth)KARAMANOS A 123 10.00    
MI CLEOPATRA AND I Jan16         (sanchez-salomon)GARCIA LUIS 126 1.20 37% 1.70    
SIERRA LEONA Jan02         (mcmahon tho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 4.00    
SAMMIE SUNSHINE         (gorham mich)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 2.00 38% 1.60    
TWEET AWAY ROBIN         (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 116 10.00    
OFFLEE GRAYSFUL Jan01         (ovando melvin)TREJOS JOSEPH 123 30.00    
 
LRL-8   01/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($57.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IMAGINE VICTORY Jan02         (pickett cry)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 30.00    
PETTIGO GIRL Jan17         (contessa )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 15.00 15% 5.50    
RUNAWAY MONET         (jenkins rodney)MONTERREY R 123 4.50 17% 4.80    
AWARD WANTED         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 5.00    
ACADIAN GIRL         (geralis emanuel )ACOSTA D 123 15.00    
HOT CHOICE         (howard)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 20.00    
FROST POINT         (mott will)CARRASCO R 123 0.60 23% 3.40    
NANA'S SHOES Jan16         (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 12.00 14% 6.30    
 
LRL-9   01/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICE RAIN         (milosevic milan)CRUZ ANGEL 126 3.50    
GOLDIE'S BOY         (bailes robert)MONTERREY R 126 2.50 39% 1.60    
IRON PEARLS Jan21         (meyers madiso)ALVELO C 115 15.00 9% 10.60    
SPEIGHTSTER RED         (gaudet lace)CORUJO LEONARDO 126 3.00    
JACK GAVE BACK         (robb john)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 2.00    
KING ALAN         (trombe)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 10.00 18% 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.