Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sam Houston Park
Thursday - January 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HOU-1   01/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 45 ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FINAL NARRATIVE         (pish dann)STEINBERG GARRETT 123 3.50    
TIZNOWS GRANDSON         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 6.00 11% 7.90    
BRAHMS BOY         (ste)RODRIGUEZ ALBERTO 123 15.00 11% 7.90    
SELLING SHORT         (biehler e)ELLIOTT S 123 1.20 56% 0.80    
SCR  LOUISIANA BLING         (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 123 20.00    
TRIPP SETTER         (pruitt jody)HAMILTON WESTON 123 2.50    
 
HOU-2   01/27/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 45 M/F PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIP Jan02         (baldillez alejand)PEREZ E 123 4.50    
MAGICAL STARDUST         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 10.00    
TEXAS TIDELANDS Jan13         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 12.00    
SUFFRAGETTE Jan13         (pish danny)SORENSON D 123 1.60    
FOREVER HOME         (williamson br)LARA EZEQUIEL 123 3.00 22% 3.50    
WYOME         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 20.00 7% 12.90    
SHOULDAKNOWNBETTER         (cravens ronn)ALVAREZ L 123 4.00 20% 4.10    
 
HOU-3   01/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3 ALL PT- 5:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AUTOCRATIC         (ashfo)LABARRE GRACE 122 3.50 33% 2.00    
POLLARD'S XPRESS Jan08         (pruit)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 20.00    
LINC'S BOY Jan15         (pish danny)SORENSON D 122 20.00    
DOCTOR DO LITTLE         (stuart clinto)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 30.00    
GREAT REALIZATION Jan15         (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 122 1.80 44% 1.30    
CLASSETOGA Jan08         (baldillez alejan)MONTALVO C 122 8.00    
BRO CODE         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 4.50    
DALLAS GOLD         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 4.00    
 
HOU-4   01/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREE EYED RAVEN         (g)DE CRUZ 123 5.00    
JUST ASK JOEL         (roberts blai)SORENSON D 123 8.00 15% 5.90    
SCHOENHARDT         (carrizales )GILES FRANCISCO 123 30.00    
G'S TURN Jan14         (duhon paul)ALVAREZ L 123 2.50 31% 2.20    
SNOW MAN Jan07         (hebert matt)MORA GERARDO 123 1.60 18% 4.40    
ZENUCCI Jan14         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 3.50    
 
HOU-5   01/27/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEPPER JACK         (cravens ronn)ALVAREZ L 119 12.00    
1A  METROPOL Jan08         (castellanos jaim)MONTALVO C 119 12.00    
MISHKO         (silva miguel)LARA EZEQUIEL 119 3.50    
KHOLA         (craddoc)GONCALVES R 119 8.00    
FRED'STWIRLINCANDY         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 2.50    
JOHAN ZOFFANI (IRE) Jan21         (willis mi)TRIANA JR 119 10.00 15% 5.60    
PERFECT STAR         (duhon paul)DIEGO V 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NEWSCASTER         (craddock k)ERAMIA E 119 1.60 48% 1.10    
 
HOU-6   01/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAD TABBY         (villafranco marti)PEREZ E 123 15.00    
ISABELLE'S JOY Jan08         (williamson brian)ELLIOTT S 123 8.00    
SCR  NATALIES JOY Jan14         (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 5.00 8% 11.60    
SALACIOUSACUSATION Jan08         (david)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 4.50 12% 7.20    
SHACKLELACKALACKA         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 6.00    
SCR  LOVELY LOLITA Jan07         (williams f)SORENSON D 123 3.00 46% 1.20    
CUSTOM FOR CARLITA         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 3.50    
BOLD LEGEND Jan06         (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 123 15.00    
SAILSINTHESUNSET Jan08         (whitelaw mi)HAMILTON WESTON 123 12.00 7% 14.30    
 
HOU-7   01/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPLICATOR Jan16         (baldillez alejand)DIEGO V 123 4.00 20% 4.10    
MO TAP         (johnson he)ERAMIA E 123 2.50    
SCR  MISTY'S FOOL         (williams ste)PIVARAL GERBER 123 20.00 15% 5.60    
DECLARATIONOFSPEED         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 6.00    
FIRST AVENUE Jan08         (hurley re)LANDEROS C 123 8.00    
RUMOHR REIGNS Jan08         (tracy greg)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 10.00    
COST AVERAGE         (ashford)GONCALVES R 123 2.00 32% 2.20    
 
HOU-8   01/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3 F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BUNNIE RAE Jan08         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 1.80 34% 2.00    
KIMBELL'S STRATEGY Jan13         (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 122 4.50 6% 15.30    
IT'S ALL A BLUR         (hurley re)LANDEROS C 122 30.00    
NOT THIS LUNA Jan14         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 12.00    
DIAL IT IN Jan14         (barton aman)MELANCON JANSEN 122 20.00    
PROMPTLY DONE Jan13         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
HOT CAVIAR         (villafranco)WETHEY JR 122 10.00    
ARAGON (GB)         (short thomas)DIAZ CARLOS 122 20.00    
ANNA CLAUSE         (duhon paul)HAMILTON WESTON 122 6.00    
10  PREF RIGHT         (young sco)TRIANA JR 122 15.00    
 
HOU-9   01/27/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3 ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOST GOLD         (gelner scot)WETHEY JR 122 10.00    
IMALUCKYCHARM Jan06         (jacks kare)ERAMIA E 117 12.00    
IMA BIG BOPPER Jan07         (payne w)MORA GERARDO 122 10.00    
KING ARTHUR RIDGE         (kotara ronald)SANCHEZ M 122 30.00    
RICHARD'S TX BLING Jan07         (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 8.00    
ROCKED         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 6.00    
STRAWMAN         (whitelaw mi)HAMILTON WESTON 122 20.00    
MR. G T O Jan07         (guzman adan)RODRIGUEZ CELSO 122 15.00    
STANS HOME RUN Jan07         (gustafson aus)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
10  COLD NIGHT AIR         (broberg)GONCALVES R 117 20.00    
11  WILBURNSCLASSYLADY         (pish danny)SORENSON D 117 4.50 22% 3.60    
12  TENQUE         (pish danny)MELANCON JANSEN 122 6.00 22% 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.