Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Thursday - January 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   01/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME NOW         (zeno benjam)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 4.00    
MAJOR FREAK Jan12         (dison phill)RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 8.00 15% 5.70    
MY BOY SAM Jan12         (ward ronnie)ROMAN KEVIN 120 2.00 15% 5.70    
ACTIFDASH Jan12         (melancon)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
UNSPOKEN MEMORIES Jan12         (gomez david )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.00 31% 2.30    
MACHO BOB         (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 123 5.00    
SCR  HEATH'S STAR         (latour)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00    
 
DED-2   01/27/2022 4950ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($42K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIMITLESS MAZIE         (bruno do)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 10.00    
STORIED TRIP         (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 1.80 29% 2.50    
MI LIA         (arceneaux victor)FUSILIER C 118 6.00 27% 2.60    
SMOK'N RITA Jan13         (guidry conn)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 5.00    
KRIS T.         (larrosa a)BIRZER E 118 4.50 20% 4.00    
TECATE TIME         (flint steve)THORNTON G 118 2.50    
 
DED-3   01/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVER KING         (latour)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00    
HIP FOUR O FOUR Jan12         (nelson r)ROMAN KEVIN 123 6.00    
LAST BATTLE Jan06         (briley lonni)TAYLOR BETHANY 123 3.50 13% 6.50    
FUNNY ACTOR         (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 8.00 9% 9.70    
RUNNER         (ramire)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 123 5.00    
ROBTADI STORM         (ramirez julio)BIRZER E 120 5.00 22% 3.60    
TRAELEE Jan05         (harrison co)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 15.00    
GONNA GETCHA         (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 2.50 29% 2.50    
 
DED-4   01/27/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3 ALL PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORN POP         (pomier de)KENNEDY TY 118 10.00    
SILENT POWER         (gelner scott)POMPELL L 118 4.50 17% 4.90    
ROMAN POET         (amoss m)THORNTON G 118 1.20    
TOTALIZER Jan05         (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 5.00 10% 9.20    
SPECIAL BREED         (ali anci)MCMAHON J 118 3.50 50% 1.00    
OVERSEAS LETTER         (berndt joel)ROMAN KEVIN 118 10.00    
 
DED-5   01/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENDURING PEACE Jan19         (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 4.50 8% 11.40    
SCRAPBOOK Jan01         (beavin judy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 118 10.00    
KASEN'S SISTER Jan06         (ramirez eduardo)ROMAN KEVIN 118 6.00    
BEYOND D'ORO         (simon lest)BROUSSARD ASHLEY 118 6.00    
SCR  HEART THAT BINDS Jan19         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 3.50 23% 3.30    
JENNIFER'S ARCH         (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 4.50    
BIND ON EARTH Jan19         (white dale)STOKES J 118 2.50 42% 1.40    
 
DED-6   01/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($38K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEORGIA DAWN Jan13         (godfre)GUERRERO ANDRES 115 10.00    
SHE A HOT MESS Jan13         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 4.00    
SCR  VISIONOFWILDTIMES Jan03         (gomez david )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 5.00    
FLURRY OF FEATHERS         (beavin judy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 118 10.00    
BOW BOW GIRL Jan13         (richard chris)MELANCON G 118 3.50 22% 3.40    
WHIPUM NAENAE         (dupuy allen)MCMAHON J 118 6.00 14% 5.90    
TIZAFEELIN         (amoss m)THORNTON G 118 2.00 33% 2.00    
 
DED-7   01/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONE STAR SECRET         (gomez c)ROMAN KEVIN 118 10.00    
NON BINDING Jan01         (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 6.00    
GOODNIGHT GRACIE Jan08         (magnon jason)MAGNON H 118 4.50    
BIND ME UP         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 2.00 17% 5.00    
ROCKETT MAGIC         (hebert)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 10.00    
FOURSWEETNIECES         (white dale)STOKES J 118 5.00    
DOBBY SUE         (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.00 51% 1.00    
 
DED-8   01/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEYTON'S HIPPIE         (segura kearney)STOKES J 120 6.00    
MONZZA Jan05         (chatters bena)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 2.50 40% 1.50    
UNBRIDLED PULPIT Jan06         (guilbeau charles)FUSILIER C 120 15.00    
MAJESTIC SOCIETY Jan13         (bernard joh)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 5.00    
DRIVER Jan12         (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 10.00    
SHOT ON WINDY HILL         (larrosa )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 5.00 28% 2.60    
DURITZ         (tracy greg)BIRZER E 123 12.00    
HOPE FOR CHANGE Jan12         (milburn kat)FLORES S 120 15.00    
HAIL SOUTHERN Jan08         (ramire)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 123 4.00 10% 8.60    
 
DED-9   01/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  C. F. SHELAUH Jan19         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 3.50    
SCR  LUKES SECRET Jan19         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 3.50 23% 3.40    
SWEET AMELIA Jan15         (derousselle pete)MELANCON G 115 8.00    
SCR  MY LITTLE JEN Jan13         (beavin judy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 115 12.00    
A WISH FOR MADELYN Jan01         (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 5.00    
WICKED FLASHBACK Jan01         (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 118 2.50 27% 2.70    
DA DUE RUN RUN         (grudzien ryl)MAGNON H 115 5.00    
SCR  TWN TAWFEERS PARTY Jan15         (shamsie randy)FUSILIER C 115 20.00    
STREETTALKINHOTTIE Jan15         (melancon do)FLORES S 117 15.00    
IZEONPOINT         (gelner scott)KENNEDY TY 118 6.00 24% 3.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.