Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - January 26, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   01/26/2022 5400ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAST PROMISE Jan08         (goberdhan chand)CENTENO E 121 2.50    
SCR  BOLD PAYNTER         (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
EL SAMURO Jan08         (romero raf)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 119 6.00 9% 9.80    
CURLIN'S THRILL Jan08 Jan01       (rodriguez dar)MORALES PABLO 123 1.60 32% 2.10    
JO JO KATZ Jan07         (bennett)DE CRUZ 121 8.00    
SOBERANO (FR) Jan01         (hall philip)HERNANDEZ K 119 12.00    
 
TAM-2   01/26/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3 F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY WOOD         (hardesty lesl)ALVARADO JR 120 3.50    
MURUMBI         (bennett)DE CRUZ 120 3.00 45% 1.20    
TAHAWEEL         (escobar alison)BISONO J 120 2.50 7% 12.80    
CALL TONY         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 120 8.00    
MISS ENCISO         (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 120 15.00    
READY TO RUMBLE Jan12         (woodard walter)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00    
MAARTY'S DILEMMA Jan02         (ryan s)HERNANDEZ K 120 3.50 20% 3.90    
 
TAM-3   01/26/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VEGAS SLIPPERS Jan16 Jan05       (nunn douglas)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 8.00    
TIZNOWMORNING         (mc jo)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 15.00    
RUSTON DRILL         (smith rober)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 20.00 6% 16.80    
SCR  MAGIC MIKAELA         (dini mi)DE CRUZ 119 3.00 39% 1.60    
ROYAL ROCKER         (casse ma)GALLARDO A 119 1.80 25% 3.00    
SCR  LIBERTALIA         (granitz a)RODRIGUEZ A 119 6.00    
RACHEL DREAM Jan05         (duncan chri)GARCIA A 119 15.00    
SCR  JEFF'S ANGEL Jan08         (exposito j)LOPEZ E 119 8.00    
SCR  LA MECA         (lopez bernardo )CENTENO E 119 12.00 6% 16.80    
10  MAGIC SURPRISE         (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 119 8.00    
SCR  BALLYMENA (GB) Jan12 Jan02       (negrete javie)ARROYO MIGUEL 112 30.00    
 
TAM-4   01/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOYOUS FAIRY TALE         (ashmore m)MERA C 122 15.00    
NETTE NETTE         (mcgaughey cla)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 29% 2.40    
DIALING VALENTINE         (bordis robert)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 10.00    
EXPECT TO BE READY Jan09         (carvajal luis)ARROYO MIGUEL 115 6.00    
CANDY JAR         (harty eoin)BOWEN ROCCO 122 1.50 44% 1.30    
VENUS OYZO Jan15         (seyler dougl)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 5.00    
LA MAGNOLIA         (dominguez r)MATA F 122 20.00    
 
TAM-5   01/26/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($29K) 3 ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MELINA'S DREAM Jan09         (bennett)DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
SCR  GREAT BRITAIN         (motio)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
FIERCE WARRIOR Jan09         (bowersock mar)ALVARADO JR 118 5.00    
SKIPPERINI         (wasiluk )GALLARDO A 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  AGENT COOPER         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 15.00    
VENEZUELAN TRIUMPH         (barboza victor)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00    
ONWARD AUSTIN Jan16         (acker d)SPIETH S 118 30.00    
BARBERINI         (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 118 2.00 16% 5.40    
 
TAM-6   01/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KWAI CHANG         (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 118 4.50    
SCR  EROS'S GIRL Jan15         (fe)SCALDAFERRI ROSANA 113 6.00    
MORGAN POINT Jan15         (stewart j)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 16% 5.30    
VIVA VICTORY Jan08         (dobber w)WALES GARY 118 8.00    
MY WAY OR NO WAY Jan02         (munoz)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 3.00 39% 1.60    
SUE'S SHOES         (foley thoma)GARCIA A 118 3.50 19% 4.40    
 
TAM-7   01/26/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMMA LIVE         (sims n)JUDE JOHN 123 30.00    
SCR  STARSHIP SARATOGA         (ferraro ant)VALDES ALEXIS 123 4.00 14% 6.20    
VARSITY KICKLINE (IRE)         (escobar alison)BISONO J 123 6.00    
TAMI'S ORCHID         (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 123 2.50 20% 4.00    
TWELVE RED ROSES Jan14         (banks chris)BOWEN ROCCO 123 6.00    
BLUE KENTUCKY GIRL Jan09         (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 123 5.00 19% 4.20    
KITTENS MISS MOJO Jan19         (dobber w)WALES GARY 123 30.00    
FAST FASHION         (dini mi)DE CRUZ 123 3.00 8% 11.80    
SCR  LIZQUEENFLUERDELIS         (pizzo s)PEREZ EDGAR 123 30.00    
10  BOB'S LADY Jan05         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 20.00    
SCR  POWERFUL NATIVE         (wirth kenneth )CASTANON L 123 30.00    
12  SYLLABUS         (dominguez )URDANETA J 123 10.00    
SCR  THATS ALL SHEWROTE         (sasso l)CENTENO E 123 3.50 14% 6.30    
SCR  MORENA DANCER         (bagwandeen p)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 15.00    
 
TAM-8   01/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POLLOCK         (guciardo ka)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 15.00    
SCR  LAUDERDALE Jan08         (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 10.00    
HOT AND HEAVY Jan12         (wilson tony)GARCIA A 122 6.00    
PRICING EXERCISE Jan08         (mc jo)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 30.00    
GEMO         (russo vi)GALLARDO A 122 5.00    
CODETOWIN         (nunn douglas)PANAIJO JORGE 122 1.50 57% 0.80    
DOODLE HOPPER Jan14         (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 122 1.60 16% 5.10    
 
TAM-9   01/26/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHE FLED THE SCENE Jan02         (o'connell kath)MORENO ANGEL 120 5.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  STRONG GEM Jan05         (nunn )DIAZ RAFAEL 120 2.50 14% 5.90    
NOT ORBINARY Jan02         (guciard)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
SAYOH         (ryan s)HERNANDEZ K 120 15.00    
SCR  SUNDRENCHED Jan07         (poole a)FELICIANO R 120 20.00    
LUNA QUEEN Jan05         (schistl rafael)FERRER C 120 6.00    
SCR  GO YEOWOMEN Jan02         (granitz anth)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  ON A TOUR Jan19         (brooks e)CENTENO E 120 8.00    
HELLO ROSIE SAY         (arriagada juan)CASTANON L 120 15.00    
10  WORKING OVERTIME Jan05         (ward dennis)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 10.00    
11  JUST STAY HOME         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.00 6% 14.90    
SCR  POSTINO'S IDOL Jan02         (nunn dougla)GARCIA A 120 2.00 15% 5.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.