Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sunland Park
Tuesday - January 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SUN-1   01/25/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST AWESOME M Jan07         (card)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 8.00    
TORRIE THE RAPPER Jan01         (marquez)FUENTES T 124 10.00    
SIR AMNESTY         (gonzalez a)CARRENO J 124 12.00 12% 7.00    
PALICE REVENGE         (van rober)PEREZ A 124 3.00    
EPIC ADVENTURE Jan07         (cappellucci dic)NEGRON LUIS 124 1.60 62% 0.60    
RIO CUTIE         (gonzalez jos)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 2.50    
TIZ A SLAYER         (young d)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 15.00    
 
SUN-2   01/25/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESTEEMED Jan11         (hone bart)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 3.00    
ATTILA'S LEGEND Jan11         (douglas)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 10.00    
HIT A NOTE         (gonzalez jos)FUENTES A 123 3.50 27% 2.70    
ARCH CITY         (buechler sim)MEDELLIN ERICK 118 3.50 19% 4.30    
ALEXANDER WHO Jan08         (quiroz filibe)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 5.00    
DOM WAYNE         (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 123 4.00 16% 5.40    
SMOOTHING IRON Jan11         (gonzalez carlos)REYES FRANK 123 8.00    
 
SUN-3   01/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIFE ON THE ROAD Jan11         (gree)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 6.00    
DIRT ROAD RED Jan15         (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 5.00    
FEEL THE BERNING Jan04         (fincher tod)CHIRINOS ROIMES 123 3.00    
BIG MAC DADDY Jan04         (fincher todd )ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 3.50 11% 8.10    
SKY JUMPER Jan04         (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 3.50 46% 1.20    
SIGALERT         (armstrong sherr)NEGRON LUIS 123 4.00    
BRICKBAT         (barrios bern)SIGALA ALFREDO 123 15.00 10% 9.00    
 
SUN-4   01/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR LEVI CANYON Jan01         (fincher leroy)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 21% 3.90    
ZESTY JAZZMAN Jan01         (payan rub)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 8.00    
IT'S OVER DUDE         (lambert)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 12.00    
DAN WHO         (gonz)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 8.00    
ROAD TO HEAT Jan01         (payan ruben)JUAREZ J 124 12.00    
KEY TO THE CITY Jan08         (smith a)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 10.00    
JEWEL OF NAVARONE Jan01         (cardenas arn)FUENTES A 124 4.00 12% 7.40    
IMA SAINT TOO         (green greg)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
SMOOTH BLUES Jan01         (rojero c)REYES FRANK 124 10.00 7% 12.80    
10  PUB         (lambert t)CARRENO J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
SUN-5   01/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3 F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TENER PASION         (gonzalez r)REYES FRANK 121 10.00    
MISS JAX Jan08         (hudson jeff)JUAREZ J 121 6.00 29% 2.50    
SOUNDOFME NOTCALLN Jan08         (lambert t)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.00 13% 6.60    
LOADED GUN         (gonzalez jos)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 10.00    
MAMIE'S WARRIOR Jan15         (lambert)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 2.50 7% 12.70    
SCR  DYNAMIC WOMAN Jan08         (aldavaz herm)BEVERLY JR 121 15.00    
I GET STORMED Jan08         (cross gary)MEDELLIN ERICK 116 20.00    
EXPRESS WARRIOR         (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 8.00    
WAY RITE Jan04         (fincher todd)FUENTES A 121 4.00 20% 3.90    
 
SUN-6   01/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($12.2K) 3 ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HENNESSY MARK         (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 121 3.50    
LAUGHING STORM Jan11         (gutierrez j)PEREZ A 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
QUARTANO Jan11         (sedillo tony)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 8.00    
ROLLIN IN DIAMONDS         (fincher todd )ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 2.50 22% 3.50    
AMERICAN SOLO Jan11         (gonzales james )REYES FRANK 121 4.00 28% 2.60    
THE LAST CHARLIE Jan11         (aldavaz herm)BEVERLY JR 121 10.00    
DYNASTY SMOKE         (munoz guadal)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 12.00    
MR. MERCEDES Jan11         (fincher todd)SIGALA ALFREDO 121 10.00    
GO RED RASCAL Jan11         (munoz guadalup)VERA GERARDO 121 6.00 8% 12.30    
10  RARE COIN         (cappellucci dic)NEGRON LUIS 121 8.00 13% 6.90    
11  AX 'S SHORE         (barrios)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 12.00    
 
SUN-7   01/25/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($10.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IZA DADDY         (cappellucci dic)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00    
PHOENIX FIRE         (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 2.50 35% 1.80    
BECOME AN INSIDER         (salazar mich)SALAZAR TERESA 119 15.00    
JEN'S BIG O         (gherardi j)CARRENO J 124 12.00    
JUST CALL ME KEN Jan02         (rust terri)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00 13% 6.90    
LEATHERNECK Jan15         (gonzalez jos)FUENTES A 124 3.00 18% 4.50    
MEMORY TAKER         (armstrong sh)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 6.00 8% 10.80    
HEREDITARY         (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 8.00    
TRES CHIFLADOS Jan02         (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 12.00    
 
SUN-8   01/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PULPITS FOX         (olguin ever)SIGALA ALFREDO 124 8.00    
SCR  ON A WARPATH Jan04         (gutierrez j)PEREZ A 124 4.50 11% 8.40    
GOLDEN BAND         (fincher todd)FUENTES A 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
DELBERT TOO         (quiroz filib)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 8.00    
SUNSCREEN Jan04         (lambert t)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 18% 4.70    
CATCH TEN         (cross gary)JUAREZ J 124 6.00 10% 9.20    
FLYING FALCON Jan04         (fincher tod)CHIRINOS ROIMES 124 6.00    
CHARLIE COMANCH Jan04         (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 4.00    
SCR  AZTEC EMPEROR Jan11 Jan04       (quiroz filibe)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 12.00    
 
SUN-9   01/25/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCOTTY WHO Jan04         (armstrong sherr)NEGRON LUIS 123 4.00 36% 1.80    
MCTHANKS Jan04         (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 123 3.00 11% 8.50    
HAPPY FORTY EIGHT Jan04         (buechl)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 8.00    
NO DOUBT Jan16         (lambert clif)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 10.00    
KICK IT Jan04         (gonzalez carl)JUAREZ J 123 8.00 7% 13.20    
LATIGO RIO Jan04         (mora)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 6.00    
STRYDER Jan04         (rojero c)REYES FRANK 123 5.00 18% 4.70    
DOM STRAIT Jan04         (lambert t)CARRENO J 123 12.00    
MISS RULES         (navarro eloy)SIGALA ALFREDO 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.