Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Tuesday - January 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   01/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOINT AND SEVERAL         (ashton patrick)CORREA JULIO 120 2.00 33% 2.10    
STONE SCULPTOR Jan12         (bobadilla j)CAMILO D 120 30.00    
COOS BAY Jan07         (beattie c)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
YES FOR LESS Jan11         (mcclellan c)FLORES E 120 6.00 16% 5.20    
MARKET Jan11         (bobadilla j )BERRIOS C 120 8.00    
RUN FAST         (penaloza mig)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
BAVARIA         (farro patric)HERNANDEZ ANDY 113 6.00    
EYES OF ZEUS Jan11         (salinas jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 30.00    
 
PEN-2   01/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCREEN STAR Jan07         (houghton thoma)CONNER TYLER 122 2.00 34% 1.90    
PHIL THE BANKER Jan07         (hillegass a)INIRIO J 122 3.50 15% 5.90    
DREAMING OF LOVE Jan07         (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 122 8.00    
SCR  METHODTOTHEMADNESS         (stites w)AGUILAR M 122 10.00    
EXPENSIVE (CHI)         (krebs steven)CHIAPPE R 122 1.60 22% 3.60    
BATTLE OF THE NILE         (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 122 8.00    
 
PEN-3   01/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKIN CLASS Jan04         (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 10.00    
MORGANS MELODY Jan07         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
MAE SAI PRINCESS Jan13         (brown keith )VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00    
SCR  MOSCOWS GOT TALENT         (jacklin s)FLORES E 120 50.00    
RUN THE BLUES AWAY         (jacavone j)LLOYD W 122 30.00    
FIRST LADY MAGGIE         (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
BIRD TRAFFIC         (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
BRITESIDEOFTHEROAD         (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 122 4.50 10% 8.70    
BECCA'S WISH Jan04         (huertas n)VARGAS L 120 6.00    
10  STORMY SPELL Jan14         (zalalas michael)OTERO P 120 8.00    
SCR  WAVERLY SUNSET         (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00    
 
PEN-4   01/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE BEST CANDY Jan11         (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 3.00 19% 4.20    
SMIRK (GB) Jan11         (maymo j)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.50    
BOAT OVER THE HILL         (farro patric)HERNANDEZ ANDY 117 6.00 16% 5.10    
GEMS MINESHAFT RVF Jan11         (kravets m)OTERO P 124 4.50    
POCOPSON STATION Jan11         (ippolito mark)LLOYD W 124 8.00    
CRAZY KATER         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
 
PEN-5   01/25/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICHIGO Jan07         (meister w)HERNANDEZ A 122 12.00    
MIDTOWN Jan07         (kravets m)OTERO P 122 3.00    
SCR  COMBATING Jan07         (moreno tito)CAMILO D 122 6.00 10% 9.40    
SILVER TOKEN         (o'callahan)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 8.00    
BERMONDSEY Jan07         (nunley randy)FLORES E 122 12.00    
AMERICAN FORCES         (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 55% 0.80    
SUPER HOUDINI Jan11         (moreno-barba)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 4.50    
SCR  LEAVE 'EM LOADED Jan04         (kravets bru)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 6.00    
 
PEN-6   01/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETTER BOOGIE Jan04         (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00    
SATCHEL DE RITCHES Jan02         (simoff andr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 6.00    
DON'T LOSEMYMONEY Jan04         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50 6% 15.90    
ODIE         (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 122 8.00    
PAPA TONY Jan11         (dimitriou harry)WHITNEY G 120 15.00    
MEMORY BOUQUET Jan11         (kravets m)OTERO P 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
BRAZEN         (riviezzo ral)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 5.00 27% 2.70    
HIGHWAY BOUND         (lawrence )CARRASCO R 120 8.00    
SCR  UNCLE ROAMIE Jan12 Jan01       (smith lawrenc)ALVELO C 113 15.00    
 
PEN-7   01/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY GUY Jan07         (jacavone j)LLOYD W 122 20.00    
GOTANDA Jan09         (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00    
IRON CLASH         (sinnefia paulina)OTERO P 122 6.00    
GEM JUAN Jan07         (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 3.50 41% 1.40    
SCR  MR CLIPBOARD Jan04         (dunham )BERRIOS JOSEPH 122 10.00    
CHOCLATE BODIE Jan03         (catalano l)OCASIO M 122 3.00    
AWESOME YET AGAIN         (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 122 2.00 26% 2.80    
 
PEN-8   01/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3 F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FUELED UP         (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 8.00    
NOBLE CITY         (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 6.00    
ESTA CHUCK         (pecoraro antho)CEDENO CAROL 122 5.00 20% 4.00    
OUR GOLDEN COLLEEN         (hillegass a)INIRIO J 120 8.00    
LEGS LIKE SHACK         (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 56% 0.80    
SMOKE AND MIRRORS         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00    
DENALI RAE         (carpio erin)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00    
MY BRIDGET VERDOT         (mcclellan c)FLORES E 122 15.00    
AWESOME TAP         (nunley rand)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 3.50    
 
PEN-9   01/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUCH OF PRINCE Jan11         (kreiser t)VARGAS L 124 6.00    
DOUBLE KATZ         (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 124 4.00 47% 1.10    
HOUSE IMPEACHMENT         (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 124 6.00    
FLAT BUSTED         (stites w)AGUILAR M 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
MY MAGICAL MAN         (carpio erin)CORA D 124 15.00    
DREAM OF WARRIOR         (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 124 2.50 23% 3.40    
TASTY'S BULLSEYE         (mick stephe)INIRIO J 124 30.00    
FLAHERTY         (o'callahan ca)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 30.00    
CROSSING VERAZANNO         (sells rachel)FLORES E 124 30.00    
10  VATICAN MOON Jan11         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.