Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Monday - January 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   01/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOU NAME IT Jan12         (gorham robert )DIAZ I 122 8.00 13% 6.50    
1A  MISSION GIRL Jan08         (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 8.00    
NEXT GENERATION         (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00 8% 10.90    
LIONISTIC Jan08         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 2.00 41% 1.40    
LAYITONTHICK Jan08         (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 2.50 16% 5.10    
SPUN PRETTY         (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 4.00    
DANZA MAGIC Jan08         (radcliff do)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 15.00    
AIN'T SHE TWEET         (rone penny)LEON SONNY 122 6.00    
 
MVR-2   01/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN FOR CASH Jan05         (romero jos)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 5.00    
1A  IT'S A MANS WORLD Jan11         (romero jo)CORREA L 124 5.00 54% 0.90    
MONSTER HUNTER Jan11         (faulkner joshua )RIVERA R 126 8.00 8% 11.10    
EXPRIMIR         (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50    
FLASHY KING GEORGE         (anderson susan)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.00 9% 9.70    
NAMBITI         (cline c)LEON SONNY 124 2.00    
KONTAR Jan04         (sc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00    
 
MVR-3   01/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THECHROMEWEKNOW         (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 4.00 9% 10.80    
YOU ARE AWESOME         (inirio ca)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 10.00 8% 11.80    
BOB'S CALLING         (barnes a)DIAZ I 124 5.00    
DANCINGINTODARK         (brownfield claud)LEON SONNY 124 2.50 29% 2.50    
GUCCISSIMO         (bailey rica)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 20.00    
PRETTY STORMY         (murillo rodrigue)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 28% 2.60    
VALEROSO         (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50    
CHOCOLATE SOLDIER         (murillo r)CORREA L 124 8.00    
 
MVR-4   01/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAD BASH Jan12         (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00    
1A  JACK BE FAST Jan05         (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00    
BUCKEYE RUCKUS         (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 124 2.50    
QUALITY MAN Jan11         (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 4.00 18% 4.70    
CAPTAIN RILEY Jan12 Jan05       (spiess m)LEON SONNY 124 10.00    
BUCKITITLEWAVE Jan12         (tumbli)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00 6% 14.80    
OFTEN ENOUGH Jan05         (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 1.80 39% 1.60    
 
MVR-5   01/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAM SATURDAY         (van den)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00 7% 12.40    
1A  HE'S THE SOUPERWON         (van meter)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 8.00    
ACTSPECTATION         (fadlovich m)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 15.00    
FAHRENHEIT         (trevino s)CORREA L 124 10.00    
LOCK ON         (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 12.00    
TOWARDS THE LIGHT         (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 15.00    
OVERBEARING         (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 16% 5.40    
LOVELY HEIR         (schuster rob)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00 39% 1.50    
MAKES GOOD SENSE         (barnes a)DIAZ I 124 3.00 14% 6.30    
NYOMAN         (aguilar rodolfo)LEON SONNY 126 2.50    
 
MVR-6   01/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISSINGER         (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
SIR. REZ         (tooley jenn)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 3.50 23% 3.40    
ACCURATE         (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00    
BIG ON BIG         (cowans d)RIVERA R 126 3.00    
MIDNIGHT WARSHIP         (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 2.50 14% 6.00    
IMA BELIEVER         (tumblin a)HOLLINGSWORTH L 124 10.00    
WEEKEND BUZZ         (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 34% 2.00    
TRUST AND OBEY         (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 15.00    
 
MVR-7   01/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAUSE OF LOVE         (haehn t)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00    
NANCY'S LESLIE         (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
HAMPTON DANCER Jan05         (anderson su)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 3.50    
HAPPY AS YOU GO         (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 124 5.00    
LEXY ANNA         (yoder d)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.00    
ONE GLAMOROUS GAL         (johnson gary )BRACHO A 124 2.50 22% 3.50    
JERSEY BOUNCE         (gorham robert )DIAZ I 124 15.00 7% 14.10    
 
MVR-8   01/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADVENTURE LAND         (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
NORTHERN JOURNEY         (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 10% 8.60    
NATURAL BLING Jan01         (flick julia)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 12.00    
CHARDON Jan14         (inirio carlo)TAPARA BRANDON 124 15.00    
HEIDI'S BACK Jan14         (tumbli)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00    
STATUS SYMBOL         (zielins)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 19% 4.30    
DYNA'S HOLIDAY         (pappada j)CORREA L 124 3.00    
 
MVR-9   01/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET BELEN         (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 12% 7.10    
WEE MONIE CREEK Jan05         (smith osb)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
HOBOKEN HUSTLE Jan01         (poole m)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 3.50 47% 1.10    
SPRING CITY GAL         (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
TUESDAY'S ROSE         (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 10.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  CARINA         (clouston edward)RIVERA R 124 8.00    
MISS SURPRISE         (sullivan elli)TUNON JORDANO 124 4.00    
ARCHIE'S GIRL         (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 2.50    
LADY KIM         (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.