Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Sunday - January 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   01/23/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LANGFUHR'S ANGEL         (wilson shane)RIQUELME J 121 3.50 61% 0.60    
SAFE KEEPING         (zeno benjamin)GREEN AUBRIE 121 12.00    
ST MARIA         (gomez jorge)MORALES ROBERTO 121 12.00    
VERRAZANO ISLAND         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.50    
CREOLE BABY Jan07         (west patri)MARQUEZ L 121 6.00    
I DONT KNOW EITHER         (austin a)CULP BRIANNE 116 4.00    
APHRODITES REVENGE Jan06         (richards a)DIAZ RENE 116 4.00 10% 9.00    
APRIORITY LADY         (thomas lee)COTTO L 121 5.00    
 
FG-2   01/23/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($46K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HENNING Jan07         (delhomme jeff)GRAHAM J 120 5.00    
WAR TRIBUTE         (wilson shane)RIQUELME J 120 8.00    
GUILTY LOVER         (hatcher d)DIAZ RENE 115 8.00 6% 14.80    
LOUISIANA MOON Jan07         (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 120 5.00    
VISION OF ANGELS         (jeansonne jus)VARGAS P 120 10.00    
MR. FOUR SEVENS         (dandridge co)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00    
LIKE MIKE         (schmidt deni)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00 26% 2.90    
IM A COWBOY TOO         (scherer ga)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
CABO'S RUMOR Jan07         (duke steven)MORALES ROBERTO 120 6.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  GUITAR SLIM Jan07         (jeansonne ju)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00    
 
FG-3   01/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TOOL BOX         (cuccia j)MOJICA O 122 8.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  COHERE         (meaux jason )NIEVES EMANUEL 120 6.00    
GYPSY'S SOULMATE Jan03         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 4.00 19% 4.20    
TRIPPER JOHN         (shirer ma)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00    
CIROC O CLOCK Jan03         (singh s)SINGH R 125 10.00    
CYPRIANO Jan03         (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
COACH KENNY         (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 122 4.00    
 
FG-4   01/23/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($47K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREVER DREAMING         (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
GIRL'S ON FIRE         (rubley kell)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00    
SCARLETT LACE         (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
GO BIG GREEN         (amoss tho)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 13% 6.50    
I'M FINE         (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00 7% 14.10    
QUINN MURPHY         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 5.00 11% 8.20    
DRAWN TO RACE (GER)         (stall albert)CARROLL DECLAN 120 1.20 46% 1.20    
SCR  SAINTSATION Jan07         (flint ber)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
SCR  BIG IF TRUE         (amoss tho)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50    
 
FG-5   01/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT SHIFT         (walsh brenda)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 10.00    
SCHMOOZIN         (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00    
PRIME FACTOR         (devaux ch)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
KOOLHAUS         (cox h)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 2.00 35% 1.90    
ON YOUR MARK         (foley greg)GRAHAM J 120 3.50    
PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE         (mcgee pau)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
 
FG-6   01/23/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($46K) 3 F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORDLAND         (margolis stephen)RIQUELME J 120 8.00    
I AM UP         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00    
TRIPLE P Jan01         (margolis steph)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 12.00    
SIN CITY GAL         (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00    
OMKARA         (stidham michael)MOJICA O 120 8.00    
SAY I WON'T         (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
SUMMER TSUNAMI Jan08         (wilson shane)COTTO L 120 6.00 11% 8.30    
ONE MORE LAUGH         (amoss m)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 6% 15.60    
MY FRIEND AMY         (gelner scott)PARKER L 120 3.50 50% 1.00    
10  VINEGAR VEGGIES Jan08         (rubley kel)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00    
SCR  BOMBDIGGITY         (asmussen st)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.00 10% 8.60    
 
FG-7   01/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARDANWOOD         (robertson)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 5.00    
SUPERCOOL         (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 4.50    
SHANGHAI TRICK         (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 120 6.00    
RATIFICATION         (drury tho)HERNANDEZ J 125 5.00 6% 17.20    
ZAP MOTION Jan01         (delhomme jerry)RIQUELME J 125 4.00 12% 7.10    
SPEIGHT'SPERCOMETE         (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 3.50 48% 1.10    
AMERICAN SMOOTH         (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 6.00    
 
FG-8   01/23/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($47K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BALOOK         (courville )BROUSSARD ASHLEY 120 10.00    
SPELLBINDING         (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.50 15% 5.80    
DUEPEG         (brinkman brett)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 20.00    
MILA'S GOLD         (wilson shane)RIQUELME J 120 8.00    
SAVVY SHIPMAN         (shirer ma)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
LIL ASHLEY B. Jan02         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00    
TOP TEN DUCHESS         (thomas lee)MARQUEZ L 120 20.00    
AIR GUITAR STAR         (hargrave k)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 10.00 5% 17.30    
CRIMSON FELINE Jan02         (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00    
SCR  THEBOYZGALAXY Jan02         (dandridge cou)VARGAS P 120 20.00    
11  G'S DEADLINE         (jeansonne justin)PARKER L 120 5.00    
SCR  SPECIAL CONNECTION         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.50 8% 11.60    
SCR  DISTRACTOR FACTOR Jan02         (bourgeois keit)GREEN AUBRIE 120 4.00 9% 10.70    
 
FG-9   01/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3 ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIGADIER GENERAL         (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 122 3.50 55% 0.80    
FEROCITY         (heitzman e)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 8.00    
MARITAL BLISS (FR)         (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 117 6.00    
BRION         (stidham mic)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00    
MAJOR CONTENDER         (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 4.50    
STAYED IN FOR HALF         (asmussen steven )PARKER L 122 10.00    
ZOZOS         (cox brad )HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50    
STRONG QUALITY         (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 4.00 22% 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.