Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - January 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   01/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALSA RITA Jan07         (richards ren)BATISTA A 119 6.00    
SUSIKIN         (carrascojr v)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 2.00 25% 3.00    
PEACEFUL WAY         (bennett)DE CRUZ 122 2.50 35% 1.90    
OFFLEE IRISH         (falk jacqueline)JUDE JOHN 119 12.00    
SCR  ORNERY ANGEL Jan07         (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 3.50    
TALE OF V K Jan07         (ochoa gera)ORDONEZ R 119 4.50    
 
TAM-2   01/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANOTHER SAUCY SIX Jan05         (carvajal lui)BATISTA A 122 10.00    
THAWED Jan05         (schistl rafae)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00    
BELLABOO         (lanum crystal)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 30.00    
JULIE'S GRACE Jan08         (wilson tony)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 2.50 75% 0.30    
MISCHIEF REIGNS         (house ga)GALLARDO A 122 8.00    
ADRIANA ES BONITA Jan02         (ubide max)CAMACHO SAMY 122 10.00    
WATER WIZARD Jan08         (o'conne)DE CRUZ 122 8.00    
KATY AND EMMA Jan08         (davis richar)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00    
MYRA FLEENER Jan09         (escobar alison)BISONO J 122 5.00    
10  J D'S VISTA         (wasiluk pet)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 3.00    
11  WINNING MANDATE         (lund valorie)CARDOSO DAVID 122 12.00    
 
TAM-3   01/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASTERING BELA Jan15         (munoz car)RODRIGUEZ A 120 12.00    
PRINCESS JAVONCIA         (hamm timothy)CASTANON L 120 4.00    
SHE DAZZLE Jan01         (o'conno)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
LADY JEAN Jan01         (carrascojr vi)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 19% 4.30    
BION MAGIC Jan01         (vinson j)GALLARDO A 120 4.50 24% 3.20    
CEFALO Jan05         (siddo barrin)BATISTA A 120 5.00    
DR. ANN Jan12         (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 123 2.00 14% 6.00    
 
TAM-4   01/22/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($14.5K) 3 F PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEA'S DREAM         (wasil)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 6.00    
REDZILLA Jan05         (seyler dougla)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 10.00    
DURA THE EXPLORER Jan02         (goberdhan chand)CENTENO E 119 8.00    
TIZ NENA         (munoz carlos)BATISTA A 119 3.50    
TIPHARAH         (lusk r)JUDE JOHN 119 30.00    
BELLE GOSSE Jan02         (bennett)DE CRUZ 119 6.00    
STARSHIP PRECIOUS         (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 119 6.00 8% 11.60    
ANAHIYA'S DREAM Jan12         (carrascojr v)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 3.00    
PRINCESS ZURI         (shaw john)ARROYO MIGUEL 112 15.00 6% 14.40    
10  KATIES A LADY         (o'connell kathl)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 6% 14.40    
SCR  TIZNOWMORNING         (mc jo)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 10.00    
SCR  REAL GOOD VYBZ         (williams oman)CARDOSO DAVID 119 10.00    
SCR  MAGIC MIKAELA         (dini mi)DE CRUZ 119 2.50 56% 0.80    
SCR  RACHEL DREAM Jan05         (duncan chri)GARCIA A 119 15.00    
 
TAM-5   01/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIFTY CENTS Jan08         (delgado )GALLARDO A 120 5.00    
ALL FOOLS DAY Jan09         (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 120 8.00 13% 6.70    
BUSHIDO'S WAY Jan08         (shaw john)CAMACHO SAMY 120 12.00    
UNCLEJACKOMO         (lu)SCALDAFERRI ROSANA 120 30.00    
FRANKIE Z Jan08         (rigattieri)URDANETA J 120 3.50 8% 11.20    
SCR  SKYDIVING         (cooper thomas)ALLEN M 120 20.00    
NANTUCKETER Jan07         (raymond robe)BATISTA A 122 6.00 9% 10.60    
MURCIELAGO         (wright mich)WENC C 120 3.00 45% 1.20    
TITHED Jan08         (berken )DE CRUZ 120 5.00    
10  MIAMI CHROME         (mcgoey moni)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 8.00    
 
TAM-6   01/22/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3 F PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS VOODOO         (cleme)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.00 21% 3.80    
CONSISTENTLY         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 21% 3.80    
NOVEL IDEA         (stidham )GALLARDO A 120 6.00    
ALLEZ LELE         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 120 20.00    
SWEET DUTCHESS         (o'conne)DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
COFFEE BEAN         (delacour arna)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50 37% 1.70    
DREAM NORTH         (motion graham)CENTENO E 120 4.50    
SAFE TRAVELS         (gulick m)PEREZ EDGAR 120 20.00    
STANDUP COMEDIENNE         (arnett jon )GARCIA A 120 20.00    
10  SABELLE         (albertrani tho)CASTANON L 120 15.00    
SCR  LAZARA         (mcgaughey re)CASTANON L 120 6.00    
SCR  POINT WELL TAKEN         (mcgaughe)GALLARDO A 120 5.00    
 
TAM-7   01/22/2022 5400ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICARAGE Jan08         (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 119 3.50 20% 4.10    
GUINESSEY Jan01         (ward dennis)FERRER C 122 10.00    
STYNER         (c)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 12.00    
IRISH VALOR         (ferraro ant)MORALES PABLO 119 4.50 37% 1.70    
CORRADO Jan01         (mcgaughe)GALLARDO A 119 3.00 11% 8.30    
DREAM KEEPER Jan01         (boyce michele)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00    
ALLEN Jan01         (glyshaw tim)CENTENO E 119 3.50    
SCR  ROARING RIVER Jan05         (bennett)DE CRUZ 119 12.00 6% 16.80    
 
TAM-8   01/22/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATREYU Jan01         (pickett crystal)CENTENO E 116 5.00    
THOMOND PARK         (ryan s)CASTANON L 116 12.00    
FAST FIRE         (albertrani thom)BOWEN ROCCO 116 15.00 8% 12.20    
ISAIAS DREAM         (azpurua edua)CASTILLO ISAAC 112 30.00    
MOTATAABEQ Jan01         (escobar alison)BISONO J 116 10.00    
FLY FLY AWAY Jan01         (wilson tony)GARCIA A 117 8.00    
SANDY LANE KITTEN Jan01         (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 117 4.00 33% 2.00    
AND WON         (goberdhan chan)CAMACHO SAMY 116 20.00 8% 12.30    
DAZZLING TRUTHS Jan01         (rodriguez dar)MORALES PABLO 121 2.50 17% 4.80    
10  BIRD'S EYE VIEW Jan01         (dini mi)DE CRUZ 118 3.00 10% 9.20    
SCR  MYSTIC LINK Jan01         (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 117 3.00    
SCR  SOBERANO (FR) Jan01         (hall philip)HERNANDEZ K 114 20.00    
SCR  GENERAL (FR)         (smith g)FELICIANO R 113 30.00    
 
TAM-9   01/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($14.5K) 3 ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PELLEGRINI Jan02         (mc john)PANAIJO JORGE 120 4.00 23% 3.30    
OXBOW KID         (hunt donald)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 8.00    
DADASHEV         (lecesse micha)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 10.00    
CHARLIE'S NO SAINT         (arnett jon )GARCIA A 120 10.00    
BUSTER BURNS         (williams oman)CARDOSO DAVID 120 20.00    
DANCING SOLDAT         (carrascojr v)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00 25% 3.00    
REGAL HOLIDAY         (dye steven)BOWEN ROCCO 120 2.50 26% 2.80    
MIL DOSCIENTOS         (rondon-mora ca)CHAVEZ DEIVY 120 20.00    
SCR  STREET LAMP         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
10  ROCKY DICE         (raymond rob)MARIN A 120 20.00    
11  TAPINTOYOURBEER         (ubide max)PEREZ EDGAR 120 15.00    
12  EXQUISITE DUDE         (gazader danie)GAZADER RAYAN 120 15.00    
SCR  CINNAMONJAWBREAKER         (foley thomas )VALDES ALEXIS 120 10.00    
 
TAM-10   01/22/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3 F PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHESASCOLDASICE         (ferraro ant)VALDES ALEXIS 120 20.00    
AFRAID NOT         (ryan derek )QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 4.00 14% 6.30    
SALIMAH (IRE)         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 44% 1.30    
XCARET Jan01         (stewart )GALLARDO A 120 12.00    
CHANGE PLANS         (proctor thomas)CASTANON L 120 5.00    
CROSS FLEET         (smith rober)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 20.00    
SOCIAL ANIMAL         (harty e)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
CUPIDS DREAM         (bennett ge)URDANETA J 120 10.00    
DAWN         (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 120 4.00 22% 3.60    
10  DONNA LIRICA         (cordero antonio)BISONO J 120 15.00    
SCR  LIKING IT TWISTED         (a)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 120 10.00    
SCR  LAVISH HABITS         (hiles a)CASTANON L 120 15.00    
SCR  HAPPY TWEET         (barbazoniii l)CARDOSO DAVID 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.